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Deterrence and Proliferation

Description

The issues of nuclear deterrence and weapons proliferation are back in the balance of power between states. China, Russia, Iran, North Korea: arsenals are growing and modernizing.

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Nuclear weapon on a stand. Weapon of mass destruction. bomb.
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The Future of Europe’s Strategic Deterrence is (also) at Sea

Date de publication
11 June 2024
Accroche

A cursory look at both France and the UK suggests that the future of European nuclear deterrence is at sea.

French thinking on AI integration and interaction with nuclear command and control, force structure, and decision-making

Date de publication
13 November 2023
Accroche

This paper analyses the French literature on France’s perception of military AI, especially its consequences on strategic systems and competition, and nuclear deterrence.

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Strategic Signaling: A Lever for France in the Competition Between Powers?

Date de publication
16 May 2023
Accroche

From the joint and combined Orion 2023 exercice to the deployment of Leclerc tanks in Romania, through the qualification fire of new missiles, the French armed forces conduct many manoeuvres and activities that are now described as falling under the "strategic signaling".

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Chinese Nuclear Force Modernization and Doctrinal Change

Date de publication
19 August 2022
Accroche

Dating back to the first test in 1964, the Chinese nuclear force modernization process is motivated by other nuclear powers’ modernization across the years, mostly from the United States and the Soviet Union, but also by domestic factors such as economic debates and tensions in the scientific community.

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La paix par la force. La modernisation de la défense sud-coréenne sous la présidence Moon Jae-in

Date de publication
04 May 2022
Accroche

South Korea's defense modernization plan, Defense Reform 2.0, represents a significant effort in terms of military capabilities since 2018. The outgoing president, Moon Jae-in, has placed particular emphasis on high-tech acquisition as well as transforming the Korean defense industrial and technological base into a major domestic and international supplier.

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Arctic: Toward the End of the Exception? Strategic, Nuclear and Maritime Issues in the Region

Date de publication
26 April 2022
Accroche

Through multiple international initiatives, including the creation of the Arctic Council at the end of the Cold War in 1996, the Arctic appears to be one of the last areas of peaceful cooperation in the world. This “Arctic exception” is also devoid of any serious territorial dispute between the neighboring countries, some of which are nevertheless great powers: Russia, the United States, Canada, but also Sweden, Norway, Denmark (via Greenland), Iceland and Finland.

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The regional economic order: Four scenarios

Date de publication
28 May 2021
Accroche

What will the economic order in the Indo-Pacific region look like twenty years from now? What are the major trends shaping it, and how are they likely to evolve in the near future?

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Strategic Risk Reduction between Nuclear-Weapons Possessors

Date de publication
15 January 2021
Accroche

The topic of nuclear risk reduction has gained momentum in the international security debate among policymakers, nongovernmental organizations, and experts. 

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The European Equation of Nuclear Deterrence, Variables and Possible Solutions

Date de publication
06 July 2020
Accroche

Ever since nuclear weapons were developed by the United States and the Union of Socialist Soviet Republics, Europe has lived under the nuclear shadow. A major direct confrontation between “the West” and “the East” could have very likely resulted in the detonation of nuclear weapons on the continent. As the Cold War ended, massive reductions in the US and Soviet arsenals (from 70,300 in 1986 to 13,890 in 2019) and a new security architecture radically transformed the European security environment.

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L’Iran et ses “proxys” au Moyen-Orient. Les défis de la guerre par procuration

Date de publication
30 March 2020
Accroche

If Iran is a key player in the Middle East, it is in no small part because of its extensive network of armed militia, which it uses as proxies.

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Nuclear weapon on a stand
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