Iraq after Daesh
Going beyond the numerous claims of rupture, is Trump overturning the international order and the place occupied in it by the United States?
The Contrechamps column in this issue think yes, at least by his outright criticism of multilateralism. A criticism that could leave the country alone and side-lined by a multilateralism that is being re-established without it. However, Trump must also be seen as a symptom: that of the crisis of a liberal order which in recent years has divided people and played them off against each other, paving the way for populism of all kinds.
Will Iraq recover and how after decades of dictatorship, a US invasion, a civil war, and enforced fragmentation nowadays between the militias, communities, jihadists and outside influences? The key feature of this issue questions the future of the Iraqi state, the capital for an entire region where all the existing political structures seem to have broken up or disintegrated. Will the “sovereign, independent, and democratic” Iraq that President Obama hoped for, exist one day?
Issue 4/2017 of Politique étrangère sheds light on other major current international issues: how far can the North Korea/US confrontation go? What is the background to the Yemeni drama between military failure and a humanitarian disaster? How does Iranian power really work? Is Belgium the weak link in the European fight against terrorism? Does the vigour of the Chinese think tanks reflect a new grand strategy by Beijing to open up to the world and have more influence in it?
IRAQ AFTER DAESH
Introduction: Iraq, the Permanent Laboratory, by Dorothée Schmid
Has Iraq Ever Been Able to Exist?, by Jolyon Howorth
Shiite Groups in Iraq: National Issues and Transnational Dimensions, by Hebatalla Taha and Clément Therme
Kurdistan: Independence on Balance, by Adel Bakawan
Vengeance: Mobilizing Motivation of the Islamic State, by Myriam Benraad
COUNTER ANALYSIS
TRUMP : BREAKING THE WORLD ORDER
International Order and Trump’s America, by Pierre Vimont (read the article in French)
Saving the Liberal Order from Itself, by Jennifer Lind (read the article in English)
CURRENT AFFAIRS
Yemen: Political-Judicial Imbroglio, Humanitarian Disaster, Military Stalemate, by François Frison-Roche
North Korea-US: How Far Will the Confrontation Go?, by Antoine Bondaz (read the article in French)
Montenegro or Steadfast Fragility, by Renaud Dorlhiac
BAROMETERS
The Structure of Iranian Power and Conservatism, by Vincent Doix
Chinese Think Tanks: Ambitions and Contradictions, by Alice Ekman
FREE SPEECHES
France Faced with Trump’s Economic Policy, by Xavier Ricard Lanata
The Fight against Terrorism: Is Belgium a Weak Link?, by Sébastien Boussois
BOOK REVIEWS
Easternization: Asia’s Rise and America’s Decline from Obama to Trump and beyond, by Gideon Rachman
Destined for War: Can America and China Escape Thucydide’s Trap?, by Graham Allison
The End of the Asian Century: War, Stagnation, and the Risks to the World’s Most Dynamic Region, by Michael R. Auslin
by John Seaman
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Iraq after Daesh