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Deterrence and Proliferation

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The issues of nuclear deterrence and weapons proliferation are back in the balance of power between states. China, Russia, Iran, North Korea: arsenals are growing and modernizing.

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Nuclear weapon on a stand. Weapon of mass destruction. bomb.
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Publications
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Strategic Risk Reduction between Nuclear-Weapons Possessors

Date de publication
15 January 2021
Accroche

The topic of nuclear risk reduction has gained momentum in the international security debate among policymakers, nongovernmental organizations, and experts. 

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The European Equation of Nuclear Deterrence, Variables and Possible Solutions

Date de publication
06 July 2020
Accroche

Ever since nuclear weapons were developed by the United States and the Union of Socialist Soviet Republics, Europe has lived under the nuclear shadow. A major direct confrontation between “the West” and “the East” could have very likely resulted in the detonation of nuclear weapons on the continent. As the Cold War ended, massive reductions in the US and Soviet arsenals (from 70,300 in 1986 to 13,890 in 2019) and a new security architecture radically transformed the European security environment.

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L’Iran et ses “proxys” au Moyen-Orient. Les défis de la guerre par procuration

Date de publication
30 March 2020
Accroche

If Iran is a key player in the Middle East, it is in no small part because of its extensive network of armed militia, which it uses as proxies.

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France to spell out post-Brexit nuclear weapons strategy

07 February 2020
Accroche

France, the European Union's sole nuclear power since Britain's exit from the bloc, will unveil Friday how it intends to use its atomic arsenal as a deterrent in an increasingly unstable world.

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France to spell out nuclear plan

08 February 2020
Accroche

A researcher said that ‘the balance is shifting, including in countries such as Germany’ on the role of nuclear weapons in Europe’s strategic ambitions. 

France, the EU’s sole nuclear power since Britain’s exit from the bloc, was to unveil how it intends to use its atomic arsenal as a deterrent. French President Emmanuel Macron, in an address to military officers graduating in Paris yesterday, was expected to recommit to upgrading France’s capacity, at a time when NATO allies, who would ordinarily look to the US in a nuclear standoff, worry about Washington’s retreat from the multilateral stage.

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The European Union in Crisis: What Challenges Lie ahead and Why It Matters for Korea

Date de publication
20 May 2019
Accroche

The EU is currently undergoing serious challenges from inside such as Brexit and strengthening Euroscepticism, rising populism and changing political geography, anti-immigration moods as well as retarded economic recovery.

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The Franco-German Tandem: Bridging the Gap on Nuclear Issues

Date de publication
28 January 2019
Accroche

The Franco-German couple has long been charac­terized by divergent trajectories on nuclear matters, and antagonist historical decisions still frame the current relationship.

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The Erosion of Strategic Stability and the Future of Arms Control in Europe

Date de publication
09 November 2018
Accroche

The instruments of cooperative security created during and since the Cold War to foster mutual confidence and reduce the risks of war, inadvertent escalation, and arms races, in and around Europe, have come under increasing strain.

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North Korea-US: How Far Will the Confrontation Go?

Date de publication
29 November 2017
Accroche

Since Kim Jong-Un came to power, the North Korean regime has significantly strengthened its nuclear and ballistic capabilities.

Iraq after Daesh

Date de publication
29 November 2017
Accroche

Going beyond the numerous claims of rupture, is Trump overturning the international order and the place occupied in it by the United States?

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La guerre nucléaire limitée : un renouveau stratégique américain

Date de publication
21 November 2017
Accroche

Over the past few years, a debate on possible scenarios of limited nuclear weapons use has surfaced again in the United States. Russian nuclear saber-rattling since 2014 and the growing tensions in the Korean peninsula have led Washington to reassess its own ability to deter, or respond to, such a limited use of nuclear weapons.

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The NPT and the Origins of NATO’s Nuclear Sharing Arrangements

Date de publication
07 February 2017
Accroche

Russia has recently accused the United States and NATO Allies of violating the Treaty on the Non-Proliferation of Nuclear Weapons (NPT) by arguing that NATO's nuclear sharing arrangements are not permitted under the Treaty.

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The Challenges of Maintaining Nuclear Cultures : US and UK perspectives

Date de publication
26 January 2016
Accroche

After the world entered the nuclear age, civilian and military organizations have witnessed the slow emergence of nuclear cultures, defined as the set of values and knowledge, shared among the national security community, about the relative importance of nuclear weapons in the country’s defense posture, the distinctive features of nuclear weapons in terms of security, safety and operational requirements, and the workings of deterrence. 

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Conventionalizing Deterrence? U.S. Prompt Strike Programs and Their Limits

Date de publication
14 January 2015
Accroche

About a decade ago, the U.S. started to examine options to develop and acquire Conventional Prompt Global Strike capabilities. This move fits in an effort to conventionalize deterrence, an effort initiated decades before and undertaken for profound and diverse motives. Although it has been renewed under the Obama administration, which aims to reduce the U.S. reliance on nuclear weapons, this ambition has resulted in very little concrete progress.

East Asian Regional Economic Integration: A Post-Crisis Update

Date de publication
09 September 2011
Accroche

To the surprise of many analysts, the outbreak of the global financial crisis (GFC) in 2008 did not leave East Asian economies unscathed. The objective of the paper is to examine the implications of the GFC for the regional economic integration process in East Asia, taking into account both the de facto and the de jure dimensions.

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Nuclear weapon on a stand
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