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United States of America

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Despite polarized domestic politics and social tensions, the United States remains a major player in international relations, on the economic, military and diplomatic levels.

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Date de publication
December 2025

New Cold War? What New Cold War? Confronting the Geoeconomic Fragmentation Narrative with the Data

Accroche

It has become widely accepted that the world economy should be seen as increasingly shaped by forces of fragmentation, resulting from geopolitical tensions. This article takes another look at this narrative, using international trade data. While an aggregate analysis is consistent with a new Cold War narrative, whereby international trade is increasingly seen as split into two blocs, this is only a mix of very different outcomes. Far from being a widespread trend, geoeconomic fragmentation of trade flows is only significant in “hotspots”: Russia's foreign trade and China-US bilateral exchanges, and the impact is massive in these cases. Outside these “hotspots”, there is no tangible sign that geopolitical tensions have been shaping international trade patterns in terms of blocs, nor is there any hint of a trend toward nearshoring – to the contrary, in fact.

The Taboo of the Armenian Genocide, Part Two: The Politics of American Avoidance

Date de publication
06 July 2016
Accroche

The Armenian Genocide has been a topic of trials and tribulations in American politics for quite some time.  It has been an issue in Presidential campaigns, like that of now-President Obama: when he promised to recognize it. It has been the topic of votes, such as the most recent 2010 vote which failed to recognize the genocide. It has been a funnel for interests, lobbying, and foreign investment. With Germany recently recognizing the genocide and an American Presidential election at hand, speculation of American recognition is once again at a high. As politicians debate the issue, or avoid it altogether, the American political system moves forward. There are various key players in American politics, but in specificity to the Armenian Genocide issue, there are the Armenian, Turkish, and Israeli lobbies, and the constituencies they represent.

Dorothée SCHMID David CIRILLO

États-Unis : les nominations à la Cour suprême, enjeu des élections de 2016

Date de publication
22 June 2016
Accroche

With the death of Justice Antonin Scalia on February 13, 2016, the Supreme Court of the United States lost a beacon of conservative thought and one of the most influential American jurists of the last thirty years. The question of his replacement immediately became an issue as the United States looks forward to the presidential election in November. While past nominations to the Supreme Court have been relatively uncontentious, nominations today are affected by the polarization of American politics. 

Anne DEYSINE

Hillary Clinton's Email "Scandal": How Will It Affect the Election?

Date de publication
15 June 2016
Accroche

With the Democratic Presidential Nomination in sight, Hillary Clinton must still contend with a continuous conversation about her email practices. How will this scandal, or non-scandal, affect the presidential race yet to come? A look at the perspectives of the American constituency and pending investigations may predict Clinton's likely future... and the future of the American presidency.

The Middle East that Awaits a New US Administration

Date de publication
09 June 2016
Accroche

Along with a history marked by intervention from external powers, the Middle East is now confronting conflicts which combine political, ethnic and religious dimensions. The United States can not withdraw its “leadership” in the area. Aside from the Syrian question, the next American administration will have to redefine the network of partnerships and alliances in the region and grapple with a multitude of problems, none of which have simple solutions.

John MCLAUGHLIN

États-Unis : La Cour suprême en balance

Date de publication
17 May 2016
Accroche

The first few months of this year have been eventful and dramatic for legal and judicial matters on either sides of the Atlantic: while France renewed a third of its magistrates - which has gone largely unnoticed - US Supreme Court Justice Antonin Scalia's sudden death caused a political earthquake. 

 

 

 

Vincent MICHELOT

Présidentielles 2016: le Parti républicain et la politique étrangère

Date de publication
11 April 2016
Accroche

Three Republican presidential candidates have proposed a foreign policy agenda worthy of examination. Marco Rubio (who withdrew from the race on 15 March 2016) and Ted Cruz present well-defined political projects pertaining to different traditions of American foreign policy theory. Donald Trump’s approach is less clear-cut but also less traditional, between isolationism and profitability.

Adrien SCHU Eric ROUBY
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Entre citoyenneté et classe moyenne : les défis du futur président

Date de publication
01 February 2016
Accroche
Money plays an increasingly prominent role in the American electoral campaign, which leads a number of scholars to question the state of democracy and the functioning of institutions in the United States. A small fraction of the population makes use of its financial resources to influence political outcomes which causes disillusionment among the middle class.

 

 

 

Renaud BEAUCHARD

Le programme économique des Républicains, quelles idées pour 2016 ?

Date de publication
12 January 2016
Accroche

Republican candidates in the 2016 primaries have trouble standing out on economic issues. Indeed, they all embrace the same conservative tenets, namely the reduction (at all costs) of federal power in the name of liberty ; and tax cuts for the wealthy in the name of "trickle-down economics", a theory already put forward by the Reagan administration.

Marie-Cécile NAVES
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Après Paris et San Bernardino, le terrorisme dans le débat américain

Date de publication
10 December 2015
Accroche

Both the Paris attacks and the San Bernardino shooting reopened the wound of terrorism in the United States.  Although President Obama has not shifted his stance or his strategy on the issue, public opinion is worried and populist rhetoric is ever more present in the campaign for the 2016 election.

Simond de GALBERT

American Presidential Elections: What the Primaries are Telling us

Date de publication
01 December 2015
Accroche

The presidential primaries have begun, and have quickly become a target for much criticism.

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Ifri, a foundation recognized as being of public utility, relies largely on private donors – companies and individuals – to guarantee its sustainability and intellectual independence. Through their funding, donors help maintain the Institute's position among the world's leading think tanks. By benefiting from an internationally recognized network and expertise, donors refine their understanding of geopolitical risk and its consequences on global politics and the economy. In 2025, Ifri supports more than 80 French and foreign companies and organizations.

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Related centers and programs
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Illustration Programme Amériques
Americas Program
Accroche centre

Ifri's work on the Americas region focuses mainly on the United States. Indeed, for more than 20 years, Ifri's Americas Program has provided keys to understanding American society and domestic policy while shedding light on developments in the country's foreign policy, including transatlantic relations and trade issues. 

 

Since 2023, a specific axis on Latin America structures more actively Ifri's research on this region.

 

Ifri's Canada program was active in 2015 and 2016.

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