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"A Capital City Will Always Be a Capital City”: Konya’s Rise Under the AKP’s Rule

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Couverture_US_Konya_mars2024
Accroche

While the May 2023 parliamentary and presidential elections looked as a difficult test for the flagging Islamo-conservative Justice and Development Party (AKP), they eventually held on to power, demonstrating their remarkable foothold in the Turkish context. The party notably recorded one of its highest scores in Konya, confirming the massive and uninterrupted support of this two-million inhabitants central Anatolian city for Turkish political Islam.

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Mevlana Museum, Whirling Sufi Dervish - Konya, Turkey, July 29, 2012
Mevlana Museum, Whirling Sufi Dervish - Konya, Turkey, July 29, 2012
IKOSTOCK/Shutterstock.com
Corps analyses

The phenomenon can be explained by the benefits that Konya has derived from its relationship with the Islamic movement for several decades. Long marginalized in a provincial space, little connected to Western Turkey’s centers of power, Konya, renowned for its history and religious heritage, became an “Anatolian tiger” under the AKP rule. The province’s economic development started from an agricultural base (Turkey’s cereal granary) enabling the emergence of a local agro-industry. It was driven by dynamic small and medium-sized enterprises, combining conservative values with entrepreneurial efficiency. Forging close ties with the AKP, Konya has benefited from territorial development policies that facilitated its rapid opening to the world. Thanks to its Anatolian identity, central geography, diversity of human flows and capacity to project its economic dynamism into increasingly distant markets (like Africa), Konya has become a showcase for the paradoxical modernity of the new Turkey.

 

This publication is available in French : "Une capitale restera toujours une capitale" : l'essor de Konya sous l'AKP

 

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ISBN / ISSN

979-10-373-0867-2

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"A Capital City Will Always Be a Capital City”: Konya’s Rise Under the AKP’s Rule

Decoration
Author(s)
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Elisa DOMINGUES DOS SANTOS

Intitulé du poste

Associate Research Fellow, Sub-Saharan Africa Center and Turkey/Middle East Program, Ifri

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Dorothée SCHMID

Dorothée SCHMID

Intitulé du poste

Head of the Turkey/Middle East Program, Ifri

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Süleymaniye Mosque, Istanbul, Türkiye
Turkey/Middle East Program
Accroche centre

Ifri's Turkey/Middle East Program aims to provide expertise on the trends and developments in politics, societies and economies across the region.

The programme has the following objectives:

  • Proposing a new approach towards the MENA region through an analysis of local, regional, and international dynamics with the potential to guide and influence new policies.
  • Highlighting the role of foreign powers which have traditionally been present in the region and analyzing the new role taken on by emerging countries ;
  • Anticipating new directions and outlooks in each country.
  • Interpreting risks and potentials and putting forward new templates for analysis.

The programme has built a dense network of researchers and experts who provide expertise on the MENA region and working together on a range of crosscutting themes.

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Turquie
Turkey 2050 Program
Accroche centre

On the political front, the state of Turkish democracy worries observers. Turkey has withdrawn from the Istanbul Convention, and individual freedoms are tightening. Society is becoming polarized: public opinion is growing tense over the presence of 4 million Syrians in the country, and the management of the perennial Kurdish issue is spilling over beyond its eastern borders. The fatigue of the ruling party raises the question of the president’s succession, with or without the AKP. After two decades of rapid economic progress (an average annual growth of 5% since 2002) and despite relative resilience to the health crisis, economic indicators are now flashing red. Expansionary fiscal policies have deepened public debt, household debt is spiraling, inflation is skyrocketing (80% in August 2022), and the Turkish lira continues its decline (-55% against the dollar in one year). Turkey’s status as a regional power is becoming more entrenched over time. The early diplomatic expansionism of the AKP, based on soft power, is now being complemented by a more assertive hard power. The prospect of EU membership is fading, and the balance of power within NATO is shifting. Active in numerous crises (Ukraine, Syria, Iraq, Libya, Afghanistan, Karabakh, Somalia...), Turkey is repositioning itself at the center of the international stage, imposing its own agenda.

The Turkey 2050 Program is structured around three themes that will guide the reflection over two years of work: domestic politics, the economy, and diplomacy. The program aims to build a model for understanding the Turkey of tomorrow in order to establish relevant scenarios to guide the strategy of businesses in Turkey. Its work involves monitoring and informing our partners of indicator developments throughout the year, through monthly strategic briefings, and providing access to a network of experts to facilitate the integration of private actors into a multidisciplinary community with complementary expertise, within an ecosystem of Turkish institutions.

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Israel-Palestine: One Solution, Two States

Date de publication
07 June 2024
Accroche

First proposed in 1936, the two-state solution has got lost over the course of several Israeli-Arab wars, colonization, the failure of the Oslo Accords, and the strategies of Israeli governments seeking rapprochement with certain Arab regimes. But it is currently the only imaginable solution. The numerous obstacles in its path could be overcome if the United States and its allies decided to impose it on the Israelis and Palestinians in opposition to their short-term visions.

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Balancing Security and Innovation: Opposition's View on Turkey's Digital Policies

Date de publication
26 April 2023
Accroche

The upcoming presidential and parliamentary elections in Turkey on May 14, 2023, are expected to be closely contested. Polls suggest that the ruling AK Party-led People’s Alliance will lose its majority in parliament, resulting in a hung lower house. 

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After a Divorce, a Frosty Entente: Turkey's Rapprochement with the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia

Date de publication
03 May 2022
Accroche

After the Arab uprisings, Turkey’s relations with Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) broke down along sharp ideological lines. While Riyadh and Abu Dhabi sought to preserve the regional status quo by adopting a counter-revolutionary approach, Turkey emerged as an anti status quo, pro-revolutionary power supporting political islam.

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Conflicts in the EastMed: From Germany’s and France’s Conflicting Strategies to a Dual Approach

Date de publication
03 September 2021
Accroche
Over the past years, the Eastern Mediterranean has become centerstage of an increasingly internationalized and militarized conflict driven by different albeit interlinked issues and an arena for a growing variety of actors to project their geopolitical ambitions.
Page image credits
Mevlana Museum, Whirling Sufi Dervish - Konya, Turkey, July 29, 2012
IKOSTOCK/Shutterstock.com
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"A Capital City Will Always Be a Capital City”: Konya’s Rise Under the AKP’s Rule