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Emmanuel Macron Visits China: Stability in the Taiwan Strait Should be a Priority for France

Date de publication
03 April 2023
Accroche

President Emmanuel Macron will visit China from April 4 to 8 for the first time since 2019 and five months after his meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping, on the sidelines of the G20 summit in Bali.

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China/United States: Europe off Balance

Date de publication
01 April 2023
Accroche

As French President Emmanuel Macron (accompanied by Ursula von der Leyen) is on a state visit to China, some twenty Ifri researchers decipher the stakes of the U.S./China/Europe strategic triangle.

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Imagining Beyond the Imaginary. The Use of Red Teaming and Serious Games in Anticipation and Foresight

Date de publication
30 March 2023
Accroche

The Red Team Defence demonstrates the Ministry of the Armed Forces' desire to appropriate new foresight tools. Thus, brain games or serious games aim to bypass the weight of the military hierarchy, the standardisation of thoughts and cognitive biases in order to avoid strategic unthinking.

The Cumbersome Legacy of the SPD’s Policy Towards Vladimir Putin’s Russia

Date de publication
30 March 2023
Accroche

The Social Democratic Party of Germany (SPD) looks back with pride on the history of its Ostpolitik, which it sees as having paved the way for German reunification. With the firm will to continue this Ostpolitik after the end of the Cold War, SPD politicians of the last 20 years have, within the framework of their government responsibility, focused on a partnership with Russia, which had the goal of contributing to the democratization of Russia through bilateral trade and mutual interdependence.

United States: The Uncertain Empire

Date de publication
13 March 2023

The United States in Central Asia: A Fleeting Return?

Date de publication
13 March 2023
Accroche

The chaotic retreat of the United States from Afghanistan in August 2021 might lead to an expectation of a lasting loss of influence in central Asia.

What Is the Future of Trumpism?

Date de publication
06 March 2023
Accroche

Donald Trump's presidency allowed the most radical wing of the Republicans to seize hold of the party.

Maya KANDEL

Food Systems in the Pacific: Addressing Challenges in Cooperation with Europe

Date de publication
06 March 2023
Accroche

More frequent climate disasters, rising sea levels, the economic fallout of Covid-19 lockdowns, border closures, supply chain constraints, and the global impact of the war in Ukraine have aggravated the challenge of maintaining sustainable and resilient food systems for Pacific Island Countries (PICs).

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The Sino-Russian Partnership: Assumptions, Myths and Realities

Date de publication
02 March 2023
Accroche

When Xi Jinping and Vladimir Putin announced a “no limits friendship” at their February 2022 summit, the message was that Beijing and Moscow had reached a new peak in relations.

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How the War in Ukraine is Changing the Space Game

Date de publication
28 February 2023
Accroche

The war in Ukraine has become a showcase for the new commercial paradigm emerging in the space sector (New Space). As such, it seems to confirm the relevance of adaptation efforts led by the United States – more specifically the Pentagon – since the mid-2010s.

Guilhem PENENT Guillaume SCHLUMBERGER
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The Technology Policies of Digital Middle Powers

Date de publication
24 February 2023
Accroche

Digital technology is an element of power in the international system as well as an area for competition among countries. The study provides a qualitative comparison of the technology policies of nine of the digital middle powers: Brazil, India, Israel, Japan, Kenya, Nigeria, Russia, South Korea, and the United Kingdom. It seeks to reflect the diversity of national technology policies, as well as to identify those countries’ convergences and divergences with Europe, the United States and China. 

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Rebooting the Entente: An Agenda for Renewed UK-France Defense Cooperation

Date de publication
22 February 2023
Accroche

The Franco-British Summit on March 10th, 2023, will mark a much-needed reset in bilateral cooperation, following years of strained relations. With a recently re-elected French president and a new British Prime minister, both sides are committed to making this summit a success and re-launching a positive agenda for bilateral cooperation. The summit, the first since Sandhurst in 2018, will focus on three key topics: migration, energy, and foreign policy. Defense cooperation will also be addressed, as it remains the cornerstone of the bilateral relationship, though it may take a less prominent part than on previous occasions.

Alice BILLON-GALLAND Élie TENENBAUM

Freedom, EU, NATO: Ukrainian Society Has Made its Choice

Date de publication
21 February 2023
Accroche

The Ukrainian resistance should be seen in its long-term context, starting with independence in 1991, and confirmed by the events of 2014. 

Olexiy HARAN Petro BURKOVSKYI

One Year of War in Ukraine: Where Do the Russian People Stand?

Date de publication
21 February 2023
Accroche

The overwhelming majority of the Russian population, having been fed Kremlin propaganda for years, approves of the war in Ukraine. 

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Nigeria’s 2023 Election: Democratic Development and Political Fragmentation

Date de publication
20 February 2023
Accroche

Nigerians will go to the polls on February 25 to elect a new president and members of the National Assembly. This marks the 7th in an unbroken sequence of presidential elections held since the country’s return to democracy in 1999. 

Sa'eed HUSAINI
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South Korea and IPEF: Rationale, Objectives and the Implications for Partners and Neighbors

Date de publication
16 February 2023
Accroche

As a key manufacturer of high-end technology components critical to the sustainability of the Fourth Industrial Revolution, South Korea is essential in any effort to rebuild a resilient global supply chain but also to the promotion of a clean economy.  South Korea can thus contribute to two of the pillars of IPEF (Indo-Pacific Economic Framework), specially to pillars II and III (supply-chain resilience and a clean economy).

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G20 Energy Transitions and Climate Finance Task Force Report

Date de publication
16 February 2023
Accroche

India is at the helm of the G20 presidency since the 1st of December 2022 for the duration of a year, with energy transition and climate finance being key topics on its agenda. In this context, the Gateway House put in place a G20 Energy Task Force to which Ifri’s Research Fellow, Diana-Paula Gherasim, participated.

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Digital Sovereignty: European Policies, American Dilemmas

Date de publication
31 January 2023
Accroche

European digital sovereignty has been made a priority by Ursula von der Leyen’s European Commission. Due to the privileged position of American companies in the European market, Brussels’ efforts towards digital sovereignty (on privacy, antitrust, data sovereignty, etc.) are closely scrutinized by American policymakers. 

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Russia at War and the Islamic World

Date de publication
30 January 2023
Accroche

While Russia’s military invasion of Ukraine has resulted in a decoupling with the West on a scale not seen since the worst years of the Cold War, Russia has not been isolated from the non-Western world and has even reinvested its diplomatic energy toward the Global South.

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Israel and China, a Test of Loyalty for the United States?

Date de publication
26 January 2023
Accroche

Like the Gulf monarchies, Israel has strengthened its economic cooperation with China since Xi Jinping came to power in 2013, leading to an influx of Chinese capital, whether in Tel Aviv's high-tech sector or in Israel's port infrastructure. 

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Mitigating Geopolitical Risk – Japan as a Stabilizer in Asia

Date de publication
20 January 2023
Accroche

In the current tumultuous geopolitical setting, Tokyo may have a very specific, stabilizing role to play.

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The Politics of New Cities: Diversification of Actors and Recentralization of State Power in the Case of Diamniadio

Date de publication
17 January 2023
Accroche

The construction of new cities on the African continent is in vogue. From multifunctional urban hubs to eco-districts, the images that accompany the announcement of these projects promote an African urban future based on modernity and technology.

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Naval Combat Redux: A Renewed Challenge for Western Navies

Date de publication
09 January 2023
Accroche

Our world is becoming increasingly contested and unpredictable and we are trending towards a return of great power strategic competition, characterized by more frequent challenges to the established rules-based international order. As a consequence, the risk of interstate conflict continues to rise. This regressive evolution is most readily apparent in the maritime domain, where the concomitant impacts on the free flow of international trade and the control of illegal and unregulated fishing are interlaced with the prescient, yet growing challenge of environmental security. 

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Higher Renewable Energy Targets in Germany: How Will the Industry Benefit?

Date de publication
09 January 2023
Accroche

“Deutschland – Einstieg in die Deindustrialisierung?” – “Germany, the beginning of deindustrialisation?” asked the German economic newspaper Handelsblatt in the context of the spike in energy prices that has put at risk thousands of companies across Germany in 2022. Whereas some sectors such as steel, glass and chemicals have been seriously hit, the manufacturing industries operating in the areas linked to the energy transition (such as renewable energies and hydrogen production) should benefit from decisions taken to reach climate neutrality. 

Attention to the Periphery? Germany and the Pacific Island States

Date de publication
21 December 2022
Accroche

In September 2020, Germany adopted policy guidelines for the Indo-Pacific that comprehensively set out its approach towards this increasingly important region, seeking to diversify partnerships beyond China.

Alexandra SAKAKI
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Self-defense Groups, the Pyromaniac Firefighters of Sahel

Date de publication
14 December 2022
Accroche

Since 2012, the proliferation of jihadist groups across the Sahel has monopolized the attention of the authorities.forced by the threats they represent and the weakening of their regal power, states are gradually withdrawing from their peripheral rural territories. As a result, populations have organized themselves to become local security providers.

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Software Power: The Economic and Geopolitical Implications of Open Source Software

Date de publication
12 December 2022
Accroche

Open source is at the heart of the Internet infrastructure, of the software used by individuals or governments, and of the innovation processes of tech companies. Faced with threats to the security and sustainability of the open source model, governments are getting a hold of the topic, which is becoming increasingly geopolitical.

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China-Russia Cooperation in Space: The Reality behind the Speeches

Date de publication
08 December 2022
Accroche

China-Russia cooperation in space has been increasing for the past two decades. This cooperation accelerated after the Crimea crisis in 2014 and culminated with the announcement in 2021 of the joint construction of the International Lunar Research Station (ILRS).

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Democratic Republic of Congo: Nothing New in the East

Date de publication
08 December 2022
Accroche

While a state of siege was declared a year ago in two Congolese provinces and Kenyan authorities organized a meeting in Nairobi between the Congolese government and armed groups, the pacification of the Congolese East remains unresolved. This study looks back at the Tshisekedi government's policy and handling of this issue since 2019.

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The Roots of a Quarter-Century of Violence Lie to the East of Congo (Kinshasa)

Date de publication
07 December 2022
Accroche

Almost thirty years after the genocide of the Tutsis in Rwanda, the entire region remains unstable. After Paul Kagame came to power, 1.5 million Hutus fled to the Democratic Republic of the Congo. For the Rwandan president, they represented an unacceptable threat. There then followed the First and Second Congo Wars, the consequences of which are still apparent. The recent attacks perpetrated by  the M23 rebels are a new episode in this tragic story.

Colette BRAECKMAN

The Eurozone’s Vulnerabilities and Risks

Date de publication
07 December 2022
Accroche

The war in Ukraine has brought to light the European Union’s vulnerabilities. 

Norbert GAILLARD

The Balkans: A New Great Game?

Date de publication
07 December 2022
Accroche

What political spaces make up the Old Continent? This question is at the heart of the Ukrainian conflict.

European Union-Western Balkans: Lost Illusions?

Date de publication
07 December 2022
Accroche

The “European prospects” of Balkan countries have evolved little since 2003. 

Pierre MIREL
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The German Government's Support Plan for Households and Businesses: How to Compensate for the Double Energy and Economic Shock?

Date de publication
07 December 2022
Accroche

In response to Russia's illegal attack on Ukraine, EU member states have issued a series of economic sanctions against Russia. This also includes moratoria on certain products, e.g., in the energy sector.

Sandra PARTHIE

Military Stockpiles: A Life-Insurance Policy in a High-Intensity Conflict?

Date de publication
06 December 2022
Accroche

The war in Ukraine is a reminder of the place of attrition from high-intensity conflict in European armies that have been cut to the bone after three decades of budget cuts. All European forces have had to reduce their stocks to the bare minimum. As a result, support to Ukraine has meant a significant drain on their operational capabilities. A significant amount of decommissioned systems were also donated, due to the lack of depth in operational fleets.

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The United Arab Emirates and Sino-American Competition: Towards a Policy of Non-Alignment?

Date de publication
02 December 2022
Accroche

In just under five years, the United Arab Emirates (UAE) has accelerated its rapprochement with Xi Jinping’s China, to the point of becoming the first Gulf country to find itself at the heart of the rivalry between Beijing and Washington. Although benefiting from a large US military presence, the UAE has made its partnership with the Chinese regime a new priority that goes beyond energy and trade. 

Jean-Loup SAMAAN
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Connectivity in Central Asia at the Crossroads of International Crises: Transport, Energy and Water from Interdependence to New Cooperation Ways

Date de publication
30 November 2022
Accroche

From the reestablishment of an Islamic Emirate in Afghanistan by the Taliban to the war in Ukraine, not forgetting climate change, the most serious international crises, whether circumstantial or systemic, are having a severe impact on connectivity in Central Asia with regard to transport, energy, and water.

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The United States and France: Partners for the Pacific Islands Region?

Date de publication
30 November 2022
Accroche

Emmanuel Macron and Joe Biden are meeting for the first state visit under the Biden administration, which is reserved for France.

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Putin’s Friends? The Complex Balance Inside Italy’s Far-Right Government Coalition

Date de publication
28 November 2022
Accroche

Italy’s new far-right government has been widely perceived as the potential weak spot of the anti-Kremlin European front following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine: traditionally pro-Putin politicians such as Matteo Salvini and Silvio Berlusconi are back in power. Yet, after Mario Draghi’s hawkish Euro-Atlantic government fell in July and Giorgia Meloni was looking forward to a probable victory, she immediately sided with the European Union and the North Atlantic Treaty Organization in a firm condemnation of Russia.

Raimondo LANZA

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