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The New Geopolitics of Energy

Politique étrangère Issues from Politique Etrangère
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Couverture Politique étrangère 4-2024
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Following the dramatic floods in Valencia, and as COP29 opens in Baku, climate change is forcing us to closely reexamine the pace—and the stumbling blocks—of the energy transition.

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Visuel anglais sommaire Politique étrangère 4-2024
Corps analyses
Do the oil states in the Gulf have the desire and the means to transition away from oil and gas? Have the member states of the European Union made any progress since their piecemeal response to the Russian gas diktat? Will European and American strategies ever align? What place will nuclear and renewable energies occupy in the world of tomorrow, and beyond?

In another arena, a faltering multilateralism—even on major matters transcending national boundaries—is holding back the work of the International Criminal Court.

And yet the ICC has come far since it was founded by the Rome Statute, exercising its jurisdiction over the most serious of crimes taking place in Ukraine and in Gaza. This undoubtedly marks a watershed in the short history of international criminal justice. Only time will tell whether national governments will rally behind the ICC’s progress, or whether it will have to settle for a more symbolic role as custodian of morality and international law.

International negotiations on climate change, and international prosecutions for the most egregious crimes: these are two areas where multilateralism, in dire need of reform, is struggling to assert itself within existing legal frameworks.

 

THE NEW GEOPOLITICS OF ENERGY
The Oil States in the Gulf: The End of Fossil Fuels?, by Kate Dourian
How have European Countries Disconnected themselves from Russian Gas?, by Didier Holleaux
The United States, the European Union, and the Green Great Game, by Alexandre Damiens
The Geopolitics of Renewable Energy, by Cédric Tellenne
Nuclear Energy: A Positive Outlook?, by Teva Meyer


WHAT DOES THE FUTURE HOLD FOR INTERNATIONAL CRIMINAL JUSTICE?
International Criminal Justice: A Decisive Moment, by Marc Perrin de Brichambaut
The International Criminal Court, between History and Geopolitics, by Joël Hubrecht and Virginie Sansico

CURRENT AFFAIRS
The Axis of Resistance: Iran’s Proxies since October 7, by Kevin Thiévon
Reforming the United Kingdom?, by Marie-Claire Considère-Charon


BAROMETERS
Asia and the Demographic Shock, by Paul Salez
From Cuba to Ukraine: Strategic Signaling and Nuclear Deterrence, by Héloise Fayet


REFLECTIONS
Would France Benefit from Leaving the European Union?, by Maxime Lefebvre
Switzerland’s Impossible Neutrality, by Matthieu Etourneau


BOOK REVIEWS
Under the direction of Marc Hecker
Espionner, mentir, détruire. Comment le cyberespace est devenu un champ de bataille, byMartin Untersinger
Soldat de la cyberguerre, by Arnaud Coustillière and Aude Leroy
Subversion: From Covert Operations to Cyber Conflict, by Lennart Maschmeyer
From Julien Nocetti


 

Decoration

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Thématiques analyses

ISBN / ISSN

979-10-373-0812-2

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Decoration
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Climate & Energy
Center for Energy & Climate
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Ifri's Energy and Climate Center carries out activities and research on the geopolitical and geoeconomic issues of energy transitions such as energy security, competitiveness, control of value chains, and acceptability. Specialized in the study of European energy/climate policies as well as energy markets in Europe and around the world, its work also focuses on the energy and climate strategies of major powers such as the United States, China or India. It offers recognized expertise, enriched by international collaborations and events, particularly in Paris and Brussels.

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Can carbon markets make a breakthrough at COP29?

Date de publication
30 October 2024
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Voluntary carbon markets (VCMs) have a strong potential, notably to help bridge the climate finance gap, especially for Africa.

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Taiwan's Energy Supply: The Achilles Heel of National Security

Date de publication
22 October 2024
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Making Taiwan a “dead island” through “a blockade” and “disruption of energy supplies” leading to an “economic collapse.” This is how Colonel Zhang Chi of the People’s Liberation Army and professor at the National Defense University in Beijing described the objective of the Chinese military exercises in May 2024, following the inauguration of Taiwan’s new president, Lai Ching-te. Similar to the exercises that took place after Nancy Pelosi’s visit to Taipei in August 2022, China designated exercise zones facing Taiwan’s main ports, effectively simulating a military embargo on Taiwan. These maneuvers illustrate Beijing’s growing pressure on the island, which it aims to conquer, and push Taiwan to question its resilience capacity.

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India’s Broken Power Economics : Addressing DISCOM Challenges

Date de publication
15 October 2024
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India’s electricity demand is rising at an impressive annual rate of 9%. From 2014 to 2023, the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) surged from 1.95 trillion dollars ($) to $3.2 trillion (constant 2015 US$), and the nation is poised to maintain this upward trajectory, with projected growth rates exceeding 7% in 2024 and 2025.  Correspondingly, peak power demand has soared from 136 gigawatts (GW) in 2014 to 243 GW in 2024, positioning India as the world’s third-largest energy consumer. In the past decade, the country has increased its power generation capacity by a remarkable 190 GW, pushing its total installed capacity beyond 400 GW. 

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The Troubled Reorganization of Critical Raw Materials Value Chains: An Assessment of European De-risking Policies

Date de publication
30 September 2024
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With the demand for critical raw materials set to, at a minimum, double by 2030 in the context of the current energy transition policies, the concentration of critical raw materials (CRM) supplies and, even more, of refining capacities in a handful of countries has become one of the paramount issues in international, bilateral and national discussions. China’s dominant position and successive export controls on critical raw materials (lately, germanium, gallium, rare earths processing technology, graphite, antimony) point to a trend of weaponizing critical dependencies.

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