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Climate: Which Way Forward?

Date de publication
17 March 2022
Accroche

Thirty years after Rio, the case file “Climate: Which way forward?” assesses current climate commitments, which are undoubtedly less impressive and less certain than the political pronouncements and media fanfare make them seem. A number of fundamental problems remain. 

What Progress on the Paris Agreement on Climate Change?

Date de publication
17 March 2022
Accroche

At COP26, a long-term target to keep global warming below 1.5°C was set. This goal is inconsistent with the commitments that the signatory countries have made in terms of reducing their greenhouse gas emissions by 2030.

Christian de PERTHUIS

A Year on from the Coup: Burma Collapses

Date de publication
17 March 2022
Accroche

The February 2021 coup encountered a level of resistance that the military did not expect: demonstrations, boycotts, and a slide toward an armed resistance against repression from the authorities. 

Sino-American Climate Diplomacy

Date de publication
17 March 2022
Accroche

During COP26, Beijing and the Biden administration committed to reviving Sino-American cooperation on climate issues, in the name of their common interest in climate stability. 

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Saving Energy in a Hurry: Reducing Dependence on Russian Hydrocarbons Requires Resolute Demand and Supply Sides Action

Date de publication
17 March 2022
Accroche

Facing Russia’s aggression on Ukraine, European countries have enacted economic and financial sanctions against Russia. 

Ethiopia: Civil War Dynamics

Date de publication
17 March 2022
Accroche

Ethiopia has been in a state of civil war since November 2020. The hostilities have already gone through several phases. 

Sonia LE GOURIELLEC
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Digital Sovereignty Review of Macron’s Term and Debates in the 2022 Presidential Campaign

Date de publication
15 March 2022
Accroche

One month before the French presidential election, this briefing assesses the actions undertaken during Macron's term as well as the presidential candidates' proposals concerning France's digital sovereignty.

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The Weimar Triangle Three Decades After Its Foundation: Review and Prospects

Date de publication
14 March 2022
Accroche

When it was founded in August 1991, the Weimar Triangle was intended as a forum for trilateral consultations between the foreign ministers of France, the Federal Republic of Germany, and Poland on the future of Europe after the end of the Cold War.

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The Paradigm Shift in German Security and Defence Policy After the Russian Invasion of Ukraine

Date de publication
14 March 2022
Accroche

The German government has long hesitated to take a position on the crisis between Russia and Ukraine. It has refused to question the planned commissioning of Nord Stream 2 and to supply Ukraine with weapons.

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The Space Downstream Sector: Challenges for the Emergence of a European Space Economy

Date de publication
10 March 2022
Accroche

As the commercial anchor of the space sector, the downstream sector plays an essential role in Europe where industry focuses mainly on application markets and where socio-economic considerations have become the main driver of space policy. 

Sebastien MORANTA
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The EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism: A Piece in the Industry Decarbonization Puzzle

Date de publication
09 March 2022
Accroche

The Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM) is a first step toward reconciling the European Union (EU)’s climate and trade interests. However, a complementary set of domestic and external policies will be needed to drive the decarbonization of European and global energy-intensive industries.

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The Sino-Lithuanian Crisis: Going beyond the Taiwanese Representative Office Issue

Date de publication
08 March 2022
Accroche

The year 2021 marked the 30th anniversary of the establishment of diplomatic relations between China and Lithuania. Instead of commemorative events and customary lofty rhetoric, the bilateral relationship rapidly plunged to a level rarely seen in either country’s foreign policies since the end of the Cold War.

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A “New Era”? Toward a Realignment of German Foreign Policy after the Russian Invasion of Ukraine

Date de publication
07 March 2022
Accroche

German Chancellor Olaf Scholz’s speech to the Bundestag on February 27, 2022, announced a new orientation in foreign policy and challenged the principles that had been the consensus in Germany for the past thirty years.

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The Military Use of Small Satellites in Orbit

Date de publication
04 March 2022
Accroche

The number of small satellites in orbit has increased rapidly over the last decade, and the growth of this sector is expected to accelerate even more in coming years. 

Mariel BOROWITZ
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The Russian-Iran Partnership in a Multipolar World

Date de publication
03 March 2022
Accroche

The strengthening of the partnership between Russia and Iran depends on overlapping security interests; bilaterally, regionally and on the world stage.

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India–East Africa: A Not So Healthy Relationship?

Date de publication
28 February 2022
Accroche

Due to historical as well as geographical reasons, India and East Africa have long been close partners. In the recent period however, and even more so since the early 2000s, these ties have tightened as a result of combined efforts by the government of India and its business community. 

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The Shock of Reality: The Traffic Light Coalition in the Russian-Ukrainian Crisis

Date de publication
24 February 2022
Accroche

The Russian-Ukrainian crisis puts to the test the cohesion of the new traffic light coalition, the authority of Chancellor Scholz and the ambition to adapt the post-Merkel German foreign policy. 

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The French-Greek Partnership: Beyond the Eastern Mediterranean

Date de publication
23 February 2022
Accroche

The bilateral defense agreement signed by France and Greece in September 2021 confirms the strategic turn of the relationship between the two countries. It was already unveiled in 2020 when Paris supported Athens to counter Turkish maritime operations that France and Greece considered very hostile.

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Convince and Coerce: U.S. Interference in Technology Exchanges Between its Allies and China

Date de publication
22 February 2022
Accroche

The tough-on-China policy adopted by the Trump and Biden administrations has – and will increasingly have – important consequences for Washington’s allies, both on their infrastructure choices (5G, submarine cables...) and on their technological exchanges with China. 

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Crowded and Dangerous Orbits: European Space Governance at a Time of Potentially Saturating Programs

Date de publication
18 February 2022
Accroche

The unprecedented growth of space activities, the multiplication as well as diversification of players involved in the exploitation of outer space, and even, more generally, the dependence of all sectors of activity on space infrastructures are some of the main phenomena that have led to a progressive overuse of orbits and to saturation in the frequency spectrum. 

Alain DE NEVE
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Governing Cities in Africa. A Panorama of Challenges and Perspectives

Date de publication
17 February 2022
Accroche

By 2050, about 60% of the population of Sub-Saharan Africa will live in urban areas. The governance of the rapid growth of capital and intermediary cities in Africa is one of the priorities of the international development agenda. 

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The Employment of Refugees – From Career Pathways to Company Recruitment Policies

Date de publication
16 February 2022
Accroche

The issues of employment and work for refugees have received increasing attention from both the political, NGO and economic spheres in France since 2017, but few studies have yet to address this subject. This study was born out of cooperation between the Observatory on Immigration and Asylum and the “Work with Refugees” collective, that brings together several French NGOs supporting refugees and asylum seekers into employment.

Sophie BILONG Frédéric SALIN
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China's Quantum Dream: A Giant's Aspirations in the Infinitely Small

Date de publication
14 February 2022
Accroche

Quantum physics, a field little known to the general public and relatively difficult to grasp as its laws are counter-intuitive, constitutes nevertheless a critical field of international strategic competition.

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French Engagement in the Western Balkans: Boosting Strategic, Political, Economic, and Societal Cooperation

Date de publication
10 February 2022
Accroche

After years of lower interest, France has signaled its ambition to re-engage in the Western Balkans. It is not starting from scratch. Historical affinities with the countries of the region abound, in culture, sciences, politics, and economy.

Florent MARCIACQ Romain LE QUINIOU
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A Sino-Congolese Scandal. Illegal Exploitation of Minerals and Forests by Chinese Companies in South Kivu

Date de publication
09 February 2022
Accroche

Since 2020, the exploitation of gold from mining sites in the Wamuzimu chiefdom in the South Kivu province by Chinese companies has aroused great discontent among the population. 

Justin MWETAMINWA Thierry VIRCOULON
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How to Keep France Engaged in NATO

Date de publication
04 February 2022
Accroche

France’s policy vis-à-vis the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) has always been ambivalent. On paper, France’s strategic culture fits well within NATO’s nature and agenda. Yet, in practice, French membership of NATO has always been uneasy. Several intra-alliance developments will likely affect the quality of French-NATO relations over the next few years.

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Geoengineering to the climate's rescue? Issues, actors and perspectives of an anthropocene symbol

Date de publication
04 February 2022
Accroche

Geoengineering is a catchword for a wide range of techniques, and it is becoming an international issue that will grow in importance as the costs of certain technologies fall or as greenhouse gas emissions continue to decline, making these techniques more attractive.

Gwenolé MOAL
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Rewinding the Clock? US-Russia Relations in the Biden Era

Date de publication
03 February 2022
Accroche

The escalating crisis in Ukraine in the winter of 2021-2022 has returned US-Russia relations to center stage.

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Power to the Cooks! New Clean Cooking Opportunities for Sustainable Development in Sub-Saharan Africa

Date de publication
01 February 2022
Accroche

2.6 billion people globally and 1 billion in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) cook using biomass fuel. The detrimental effects on the environment and public health, as well as the time and money lost are considerable. If nothing new is done, this situation will worsen further in SSA.

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Europe and the Geopolitics of 5G: Walking a Technological Tightrope

Date de publication
31 January 2022
Accroche

The acute Sino-American tensions which started in 2018 have been coupled with controversies around 5G technology, exemplified by the spotlight placed on Chinese equipment manufacturer Huawei and the security risks associated with its use. For Europe, the 5G challenge at the international level is drawing a very complex landscape. 

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Indian Space Program and its Drivers: Possible Implications for the Global Space Market

Date de publication
28 January 2022
Accroche

India has one of the oldest space programs in the world with space playing a critical role in India’s national development and external power projection capability.

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French Special Operations What Is Their Role in the Context of Great-Power Competition?

Date de publication
27 January 2022
Accroche

The year 2022 marks thirty years since the creation of the Commandement des operations spéciales (COS, Special Operations Command). Those three decades have been dominated by missions carried out in volatile environments, most often against irregular adversaries, primarily terrorist groups.

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Booming Decentralized Solar Power in Africa’s Cities. Satellite Imagery and Deep Learning Provide Cutting-Edge Data on Electrification

Date de publication
18 January 2022
Accroche

The market for decentralized solar systems first developed in rural Africa, and today it is expanding to the continent’s cities, though these areas are already covered by each country’s central network.

Hugo LE PICARD Matthieu TOULEMONT

Korea-EU Direct Investment Links: The Neglected Facet of a Tight Partnership

Date de publication
06 January 2022
Accroche

Despite their difference in size, Korea and the EU have developed over time a strong and deep relation through direct investment flows. Germany dominates the relationship, but there remains ample room for the other EU member-states to further develop their relations with Korea.

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South Korea and France’s Indo-Pacific Strategies: Potential Partnership and Challenges

Date de publication
22 December 2021
Accroche

Despite some constraints on their Indo-Pacific strategies, South Korea and France could consider bilateral dialogues for partnership in the Indo-Pacific, leading to a high level of confidence and strategic convergence in security. 

Seonjou KANG
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New African Union Commission (2021-2025). Challenges and Issues After the Reform Initiated by Paul Kagamé

Date de publication
21 December 2021
Accroche

The election of the Commission to run the African Union (AU) on February 6 and 7, 2021 was an important step towards implementing its institutional reform. The Commission is the institution’s real government, setting the pan-African organization’s objectives under the leadership of the Heads of State who meet once a year at the Assembly. The Chadian Moussa Faki, who was re-elected as AU Commission (AUC) Chairperson, has the onerous task of undertaking this reform, initiated by the former AU Chair, Rwandan president Paul Kagamé, between 2016 and 2018.

Benjamin AUGÉ Félicité DJILO

Russia’s Islam: Balancing Securitization and Integration

Date de publication
16 December 2021
Accroche

Russia’s Islam has been much more than the two Chechen wars, and regular terrorist actions that have shaken the Russian territory. Islam constitutes an integral part of Russia’s history and culture, and the Putin regime regularly celebrates Islam’s contribution to the country and its great power reassertion.

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Strengthening Sovereignty in the Era of Global Value Chains

Date de publication
14 December 2021
Accroche

How to reduce the vulnerabilities induced by these global value chains to be more independent, while taking into account the reality of these productive processes which precisely generate interdependencies?

Paul HERAULT

European Economic Governance: Past Errors and Future Promises

Date de publication
14 December 2021
Accroche

The eurozone crisis marked a real failure of European Union (EU) policy, which led to mediocre economic performance and the erosion of its political legitimacy among the populations of member states.

Vivien SCHMIDT

Trade

Date de publication
13 December 2021
Accroche

Françoise Nicolas contributed the chapter on trade, providing more insights into the opportunities and challenges South Korea and the EU need to address to revive the rules-based multilateral trading system.

Françoise NICOLAS Sohyun Zoe Lee

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