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India’s Broken Power Economics : Addressing DISCOM Challenges

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Cover of the memo on India’s Broken Power Economics by A. Raizada
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India’s electricity demand is rising at an impressive annual rate of 9%. From 2014 to 2023, the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) surged from 1.95 trillion dollars ($) to $3.2 trillion (constant 2015 US$), and the nation is poised to maintain this upward trajectory, with projected growth rates exceeding 7% in 2024 and 2025.  Correspondingly, peak power demand has soared from 136 gigawatts (GW) in 2014 to 243 GW in 2024, positioning India as the world’s third-largest energy consumer. In the past decade, the country has increased its power generation capacity by a remarkable 190 GW, pushing its total installed capacity beyond 400 GW. 

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Energy supply in India
Energy supply in India
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India’s renewable energy sector is equally impressive, ranking fourth globally in total installed capacity.  India reached its goal of sourcing 40% of its installed electric capacity from non-fossil fuels by November 2021. At COP26, the country took an ambitious leap, committing to 500 GW of non-fossil fuel-based energy by 2030. This bold commitment aligns with India’s pledge to cut projected carbon emissions by 1 billion tonnes and reduce the carbon intensity of its economy by 45% by the end of the decade.

Yet no sector embodies the nation’s “land of paradoxes,” quite like the power sector. On the one hand, it’s a success story: India has made remarkable strides in renewable energy generation and achieved near-universal household access to electricity. On the other hand, the sector remains plagued by inefficiencies in power generation, transmission, distribution, and financing. These challenges are compounded by the fiercely competitive landscape of “free electricity” promises at the state level.

Consumers still face frequent power cuts, especially during scorching summer months, and grapple with steep electricity prices, disproportionately affecting lower-income households. The root of these challenges lies in dysfunctional electricity politics, leaving India’s power economics in disarray. This troubling situation casts doubt on the future of sustained growth in renewable energy generation and underscores the urgent need for a critical reassessment of the path forward.

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979-10-373-0925-9

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India’s Broken Power Economics : Addressing DISCOM Challenges

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Climate & Energy
Center for Energy & Climate
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Ifri's Energy and Climate Center carries out activities and research on the geopolitical and geoeconomic issues of energy transitions such as energy security, competitiveness, control of value chains, and acceptability. Specialized in the study of European energy/climate policies as well as energy markets in Europe and around the world, its work also focuses on the energy and climate strategies of major powers such as the United States, China or India. It offers recognized expertise, enriched by international collaborations and events, particularly in Paris and Brussels.

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Date de publication
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With the demand for critical raw materials set to, at a minimum, double by 2030 in the context of the current energy transition policies, the concentration of critical raw materials (CRM) supplies and, even more, of refining capacities in a handful of countries has become one of the paramount issues in international, bilateral and national discussions. China’s dominant position and successive export controls on critical raw materials (lately, germanium, gallium, rare earths processing technology, graphite, antimony) point to a trend of weaponizing critical dependencies.

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Date de publication
29 May 2024
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Date de publication
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In adapting to growing geopolitical competition over digital technology, the EU and the UK are striving for economic security and technological sovereignty. European policies focus on reducing critical over-dependencies on China. This de-risking is a necessary process of adaptation to the new geopolitical realities. 

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Energy supply in India
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India’s Broken Power Economics : Addressing DISCOM Challenges