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International trade disagreements: Beyond Trump

Date de publication
20 March 2019
Accroche

The trade war between the United States and China is not only due to Donald Trump’s impulsiveness. Its roots are in fact profound and follow three structural changes in the multilateral trading system: the reversal of comparative advantages, the now central role of certain developing countries, and the re-balancing of power that makes coordination between states difficult. In this context, the future of world trade has yet to be written.

Sébastien JEAN
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The Future of the International Monetary and Financial System

Date de publication
20 March 2019
Accroche

Following the collapse of the Bretton Woods system, the international community sought new stability in the financial system and the assurance of sustained growth. The crisis that began in 2007-2008 has revealed weaknesses that affected advanced economies first and foremost. Efforts have since been made to consolidate the international financial architecture, to coordinate macroeconomic policy, and to improve foreign exchange relations, even if this latter objective has proven complex.

Jean-Claude TRICHET
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The Waning of Universalism

Date de publication
20 March 2019
Accroche

During the 19th century, Westerners provided ideological justifications for their colonization, namely spreading the Enlightenment across the globe. This project was received favorably until the second half of the 20th century. Over the last 20 years, it has met new hostility. The “universal values” promoted by the West are viewed today as a form of imperialism to be opposed – especially by China, Russia and Turkey.

Chantal DELSOL
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Beyond Putin: Russia’s Generations Y and Z

Date de publication
20 March 2019
Accroche

Of Russia’s 146 million citizens (if we include those in Crimea), 63 million—or 43 percent—are under 34 years of age. Of these, 30 million belong to Generation Y (millennials in their 20s and early 30s), 15 million belong to Gen Z (teenagers), and a further 18 million are part of the youngest generation (less than 10 years of age).

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Imagined Geographies of Central and Eastern Europe: The Concept of Intermarium

Date de publication
20 March 2019
Accroche

Like the proverbial cat, some concepts have several lives. Or, like the mythological phoenix, they can be reborn from the ashes. This is certainly the case of the Intermarium, a geopolitical concept that envisaged an alliance of countries reaching from the Baltic Sea over the Black Sea to the Aegean Sea that would serve as a third power bloc between Germany and Russia.

Marlène LARUELLE Ellen RIVERA
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The ‘Conservative Turn’ in Indonesian Islam: Implications for the 2019 Presidential Elections

Date de publication
19 March 2019
Accroche

Despite Indonesia’s reputation for a traditionally moderate brand of Islam, religious conservativism is gaining considerable political traction in the lead up to this April’s presidential election.

Leonard C. SEBASTIAN Andar NUBOWO

Trump's trade policy: pushing back against China

Date de publication
18 March 2019
Accroche

Although not akin to the protectionist policies practiced by the United States through the 1930s, the trade war launched by the Trump administration since early 2018 challenges the principles and institutions of free trade.

Patrick ALLARD
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Will the EU Let Itself Be Bought ? New Framework for Foreign Direct Investments in Europe

Date de publication
15 March 2019
Accroche

In 2016, Chinese foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows into the European Union (UE) reached a record high, in contrast to the steady decline in FDI flows from the EU to China. Beijing is looking for markets and strategic assets and particularly targets advanced technologies in major European economies, deploying an aggressive and sometimes opaque strategy.

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