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Can carbon markets make a breakthrough at COP29?

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Voluntary carbon markets (VCMs) have a strong potential, notably to help bridge the climate finance gap, especially for Africa.

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Reforestation in mixed forests by planting young trees
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However, the past years have seen an uninterrupted series of controversies, with carbon projects accused of lacking transparency, having little or no mitigation effect, and even leading to Human Rights abuse. Investments have fallen.

The potential remains high for international carbon markets, with or without a COP 29 Agreement. Actors such as African countries or the Gulf region have high expectations. They are investing important resources in the development of new organizations and mechanisms that may share the carbon markets of tomorrow. 

VCMs need to improve their transparency, integrity, better demonstrate their sustainable development benefits, and to advance robust and convincing data about their impact on climate change.

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979-10-373-0934-1

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Can carbon markets make a breakthrough at COP29?

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Author(s)
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Thibaud VOÏTA

Thibaud VOÏTA

Intitulé du poste

Associate Research Fellow, Energy and Climate Center, Ifri

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Climate & Energy
Center for Energy & Climate
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Ifri's Energy and Climate Center carries out activities and research on the geopolitical and geoeconomic issues of energy transitions such as energy security, competitiveness, control of value chains, and acceptability. Specialized in the study of European energy/climate policies as well as energy markets in Europe and around the world, its work also focuses on the energy and climate strategies of major powers such as the United States, China or India. It offers recognized expertise, enriched by international collaborations and events, particularly in Paris and Brussels.

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Date de publication
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EV batteries recycling is a building block for boosting the European Union (EU)’s strategic autonomy in the field of critical raw minerals (CRM) value chains. Yet, recent evolutions in the European EV value chain, marked by cancellations or postponements of projects, are raising the alarm on the prospects of the battery recycling industry in Europe.

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Couverture Politique étrangère 4-2024

The New Geopolitics of Energy

Date de publication
03 December 2024
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Following the dramatic floods in Valencia, and as COP29 opens in Baku, climate change is forcing us to closely reexamine the pace—and the stumbling blocks—of the energy transition.

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Taiwan's Energy Supply: The Achilles Heel of National Security

Date de publication
22 October 2024
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Making Taiwan a “dead island” through “a blockade” and “disruption of energy supplies” leading to an “economic collapse.” This is how Colonel Zhang Chi of the People’s Liberation Army and professor at the National Defense University in Beijing described the objective of the Chinese military exercises in May 2024, following the inauguration of Taiwan’s new president, Lai Ching-te. Similar to the exercises that took place after Nancy Pelosi’s visit to Taipei in August 2022, China designated exercise zones facing Taiwan’s main ports, effectively simulating a military embargo on Taiwan. These maneuvers illustrate Beijing’s growing pressure on the island, which it aims to conquer, and push Taiwan to question its resilience capacity.

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India’s Broken Power Economics : Addressing DISCOM Challenges

Date de publication
15 October 2024
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India’s electricity demand is rising at an impressive annual rate of 9%. From 2014 to 2023, the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) surged from 1.95 trillion dollars ($) to $3.2 trillion (constant 2015 US$), and the nation is poised to maintain this upward trajectory, with projected growth rates exceeding 7% in 2024 and 2025.  Correspondingly, peak power demand has soared from 136 gigawatts (GW) in 2014 to 243 GW in 2024, positioning India as the world’s third-largest energy consumer. In the past decade, the country has increased its power generation capacity by a remarkable 190 GW, pushing its total installed capacity beyond 400 GW. 

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Couverture du briefing sur les marchés carbone
Reforestation in mixed forests by planting young trees
© Dietrich Leppert/Shutterstock

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Can carbon markets make a breakthrough at COP29?