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Is the Republican People’s Party (CHP) Rising from the Ashes?

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Ifri Studies, Aurélien Denizeau
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The victory of the CHP [Cumhuriyet Halk Partisi, Republican People’s Party] in the Turkish municipal elections of March 2024 firmly established it as the leading party of opposition to the Islamic-conservative AKP [Adalet ve Kalkınma Partisi, Justice and Development Party], which has been in power since 2002. 

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Siège du Parti Républicain du Peuple Turc, Ankara, Turquie
Siège du Parti Républicain du Peuple Turc, Ankara, Turquie
© Birol Dincer/Shutterstock
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The CHP, which came into existence in 1923 in parallel with the Republic, was initially the only party and the standard bearer for Mustafa Kemal’s modernizing, secular nationalism. Its program became more socially democratic with the transition to a multi-party system and then more liberal in the face of Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s growing authoritarianism. This long history explains the party’s complex identity and the diverse factions within it.

From the 2010s onwards, its strategy of building alliances and winning back voters has established it as the undisputed leader of the opposition. The increasing secularization of Turkey’s youth, the CHP’s success in major cities, and its ability to reach out to civil society and forge international partnerships are all assets the party could capitalize on in the forthcoming elections.

But it has a number of challenges to overcome: achieving consistency in its program and its alliances, finding a less vertical structure, and uniting around a winning candidate.

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979-10-373-0907-5

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Is the Republican People’s Party (CHP) Rising from the Ashes?

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Author(s)
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Aurélien DENIZEAU

Aurélien DENIZEAU

Intitulé du poste

Associate Research Fellow, Turkey/Middle East Program, Ifri

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Süleymaniye Mosque, Istanbul, Türkiye
Turkey/Middle East Program
Accroche centre

Ifri's Turkey/Middle East Program aims to provide expertise on the trends and developments in politics, societies and economies across the region.

The programme has the following objectives:

  • Proposing a new approach towards the MENA region through an analysis of local, regional, and international dynamics with the potential to guide and influence new policies.
  • Highlighting the role of foreign powers which have traditionally been present in the region and analyzing the new role taken on by emerging countries ;
  • Anticipating new directions and outlooks in each country.
  • Interpreting risks and potentials and putting forward new templates for analysis.

The programme has built a dense network of researchers and experts who provide expertise on the MENA region and working together on a range of crosscutting themes.

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Turquie
Turkey 2050 Program
Accroche centre

The Turkey 2050 Program develops a forward-looking analysis of the country to anticipate its dynamics over the next 30 years. The reflection is structured around three key themes:

• Domestic politics, to assess the stability of the AKP regime and the prospects for political change;

• The economy, to understand Turkey's capacity for recovery, the evolution of its production model, and its regional integration prospects;

• Foreign policy, to monitor the rise of Turkey's diplomacy and military capabilities, and to map the country's new spheres of influence.

This research, funded by companies and institutions active in Turkey, is based on field missions that aim to shed light on the blind spots and lesser-known areas of the Turkish landscape. Program partners benefit from personalized monitoring of relevant indicators to inform their decision-making, supported by monthly strategic briefings, sectoral reports, and access to a network of Turkish and French experts. The exchanges surrounding the program ultimately seek to define the concept of "Turkish risk" in a broad sense, in order to adapt our working methods accordingly.

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Israel-Palestine: One Solution, Two States

Date de publication
07 June 2024
Accroche

First proposed in 1936, the two-state solution has got lost over the course of several Israeli-Arab wars, colonization, the failure of the Oslo Accords, and the strategies of Israeli governments seeking rapprochement with certain Arab regimes. But it is currently the only imaginable solution. The numerous obstacles in its path could be overcome if the United States and its allies decided to impose it on the Israelis and Palestinians in opposition to their short-term visions.

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"A Capital City Will Always Be a Capital City”: Konya’s Rise Under the AKP’s Rule

Date de publication
27 March 2024
Accroche

While the May 2023 parliamentary and presidential elections looked as a difficult test for the flagging Islamo-conservative Justice and Development Party (AKP), they eventually held on to power, demonstrating their remarkable foothold in the Turkish context. The party notably recorded one of its highest scores in Konya, confirming the massive and uninterrupted support of this two-million inhabitants central Anatolian city for Turkish political Islam.

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Balancing Security and Innovation: Opposition's View on Turkey's Digital Policies

Date de publication
26 April 2023
Accroche

The upcoming presidential and parliamentary elections in Turkey on May 14, 2023, are expected to be closely contested. Polls suggest that the ruling AK Party-led People’s Alliance will lose its majority in parliament, resulting in a hung lower house. 

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After a Divorce, a Frosty Entente: Turkey's Rapprochement with the United Arab Emirates and Saudi Arabia

Date de publication
03 May 2022
Accroche

After the Arab uprisings, Turkey’s relations with Saudi Arabia and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) broke down along sharp ideological lines. While Riyadh and Abu Dhabi sought to preserve the regional status quo by adopting a counter-revolutionary approach, Turkey emerged as an anti status quo, pro-revolutionary power supporting political islam.

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Siège du Parti Républicain du Peuple Turc, Ankara, Turquie
© Birol Dincer/Shutterstock

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Ifri Studies, Aurélien Denizeau
Is the Republican People’s Party (CHP) Rising from the Ashes?, from Ifri by
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Ifri Studies, Aurélien Denizeau

Is the Republican People’s Party (CHP) Rising from the Ashes?