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Merz’ European Policy-making: The End of the ‘German Vote’?

Date de publication
21 January 2026
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Friedrich Merz’s European ambition is to turn Germany, long seen as hesitant into a leading actor within the European Union (EU). To that end, he has pledged to end the “German vote,” a phenomenon that epitomizes the paradox of a country both indispensable and frequently absent from European decision-making. 

Reconciling competitiveness and demographic change: a Franco-German imperative

Date de publication
16 October 2025
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France and Germany are facing parallel demographic shifts that could reshape the future of their economies and their social models. These shifts reflect broader European patterns but are magnified by the central role both nations play in EU governance and competitiveness.

Jeanette SÜß Kevin GENNA
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Imaginary and Reality of the Franco-German border: a Laboratory for Europe of tomorrow

Date de publication
16 September 2025
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In Europe, the question of borders is a central issue. According to the European Parliament, border regions cover around 40% of the European Union (EU) territory, concentrate 30% of its population and produce nearly a third of its gross domestic product. 

Claire DEMESMAY, Director of Institut français de Bonn
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Macron turns to Merz as French parliament nears collapse

28 August 2025
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Euractiv
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The French president must now rely more than ever on Merz to make his voice heard in Europe.

PARIS – Emmanuel Macron will host German Chancellor Friedrich Merz on the Riviera on Thursday evening, hoping support from Berlin can bolster his standing in the EU as the French government edges towards collapse. 

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A Franco-German “Reset”? The Ambitions of the Franco-German Council of Ministers. Challenges of Joint Leadership in Europe

Date de publication
27 August 2025
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As a Catholic from the Rhineland, Friedrich Merz is heir to the CDU’s Franco-German policy, from Konrad Adenauer to Helmut Kohl and Wolfgang Schäuble. While Franco-German rhetoric and reflexes are deeply ingrained in him, their results must nevertheless be put into perspective.

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France Refocuses Its Indo-Pacific Strategy Amid a Shifting Global Order
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Macron and Merz try to revive challenging French-German partnership in Berlin

24 July 2025
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Le Monde
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The French president and the German chancellor met on Wednesday, July 23, to prepare for a joint cabinet meeting scheduled for August 29. From defense projects to trade negotiations, several disagreements remain.

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Quest for Strategic Autonomy? Europe Grapples with the US - China Rivalry

Date de publication
26 June 2025
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Building on the 2020 European Think Tank Network on China (ETNC) report, which assessed Europe’s positioning amid the strategic rivalry between the United States and China, this edition re-examines the geopolitical landscape in light of the Covid-19 pandemic, Russia’s war in Ukraine and Donald Trump’s return to the White House. This report features 22 national chapters and one dedicated to the EU, analysing the evolution of Europe’s relations with Washington and Beijing, the range of approaches to dealing the US-China rivalry and how these are expected to evolve. 

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Anadolu Agency

Macron’s Southeast Asia trip: What is behind the French president’s ‘third way’ proposal?

16 June 2025
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Anadolu Agency
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In a recent Southeast Asia tour, Macron pitched ‘strategic autonomy’ as a means for nations to avoid choosing sides in the US-China rivalry, offering France and Europe as alternative partners

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CNBC

Europe is trying to woo Southeast Asia — but it won’t win it over the U.S. or China

16 June 2025
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CNBC
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European leaders are looking to Southeast Asia with renewed interest amid Washington’s aggressive tariff agenda, but experts warn that the state of regional trade ties makes it challenging to disrupt the U.S. or China’s hold.

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Céline Pajon

France seeks third way between US and China in Southeast Asia

Date de publication
05 June 2025
Accroche

The French leader sent a message of partnership but gave few concrete details on sustained engagement plans.

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The Japan Times

The 'Macron Doctrine' goes to Asia: Autonomy with partners, steady on China

04 June 2025
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The Japan Times
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The French president calls for a 'third way' in the Indo-Pacific

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“There is, however, a real sense of urgency,” around the Franco-German relationship, says Marie Krpata, a researcher at the French Institute of International Relations (IFRI) and member of its Franco-German Relations Committee.
“Emmanuel Macron has only two years left to make progress on European files, while the far right lurks in the wings – in both Paris and Berlin.”

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Taking the Pulse: Has Political Deadlock in Member States Become a Strategic Problem for the EU?

Date de publication
06 February 2025
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At a pivotal moment for the EU, several of its member states are experiencing domestic political and economic crises. Is this hindering collective EU action in response to the challenges posed by Russia, China, and Trump’s administration?

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France’s maritime security cooperation in the Pacific

Date de publication
06 December 2024
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France plays a significant role in Pacific maritime security, particularly through the active participation of its overseas territories and the contribution of its stationed armed forces to regional cooperation initiatives.

Céline PAJON Genevieve QUIRK
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Rebooting Italy's Africa Policy: Making the Mattei Plan Work

Date de publication
25 November 2024
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Against the backdrop of increasing anti-French rhetoric across parts of Francophone Africa, the relative failure of the counterinsurgency operation in the central Sahel (Operation Barkhane) and diplomatic rifts with several Sahelian countries, Paris has been rethinking its relationship with the continent for several years now. As a former imperial power that has seen its colonial domain in Africa gain independence between 1956 (Morocco-Tunisia) and 1977 (Djibouti), France has invented two successive roles for itself in Africa since 1960, particularly in French-speaking sub-Saharan Africa.

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Deployment of the French Frigate Bretagne in the Indo-Pacific: Implementing French Strategy in the Region

Date de publication
02 September 2024
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The deployment of the French Navy’s multi-mission frigate (FREMM) Bretagne in the Indo-Pacific in recent months demonstrates France’s capability to project power far from the mainland and solidifies its Indo-Pacific strategy.

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The integrated territorial approach (ITA). Hopes and limits of local stabilisation in the Sahel

Date de publication
08 July 2024
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Since the fall of the Berlin Wall and the attacks of 11 September 2001, the proliferation of local conflicts and the partitioning of certain states (Yugoslavia, Somalia) have given rise to external interventions, both bilateral and multilateral, in which the military element has been combined with civil action in innovative ways.

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France’s left wins big, but paralysis in parliament looms

08 July 2024
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France is headed for a hung parliament after none of the political parties that contested Sunday’s parliamentary runoff vote managed to secure an outright majority — a situation that could put the country on a path for months of political gridlock.

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France Adapts to an Era of Strategic Competition With China

Date de publication
05 June 2024
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Under Macron, France is positioning itself as a "balanced power," carefully navigating the complexities of engaging with China. 
 
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France's IndoPacific Strategy: From a Balancing Power to a Constructive Stakeholder

Date de publication
27 July 2023
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France was the first European country to announce an Indo-Pacific strategy, launching it in 2018.

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France’s Place Within NATO: Toward a Strategic Aggiornamento?

Date de publication
27 June 2023
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With a rapidly deteriorating security environment, a chaotic withdrawal from Afghanistan, internal disputes exploding into public view, and questions being raised about the scope of its security responsibilities, the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) seemed to be in dire straits at the time of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022.

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How to Keep France Engaged in NATO

Date de publication
04 February 2022
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France’s policy vis-à-vis the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (NATO) has always been ambivalent. On paper, France’s strategic culture fits well within NATO’s nature and agenda. Yet, in practice, French membership of NATO has always been uneasy. Several intra-alliance developments will likely affect the quality of French-NATO relations over the next few years.

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Building European Strategic Autonomy vs. Turkish Strategic Depth: Macron's Diplomatic Gamble

Date de publication
22 October 2021
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Since coming into office in 2017, Emmanuel Macron has been the loudest advocate for the development of European ‘strategic autonomy’, which aims at reinforcing the European Union’s geo-strategic independence. Asserting the EU’s role on the international stage, starting with its immediate neighborhood, directly clashes with Recep Tayyip Erdogan's long-term expansion strategy in several key areas. 

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Conflicts in the EastMed: From Germany’s and France’s Conflicting Strategies to a Dual Approach

Date de publication
03 September 2021
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Over the past years, the Eastern Mediterranean has become centerstage of an increasingly internationalized and militarized conflict driven by different albeit interlinked issues and an arena for a growing variety of actors to project their geopolitical ambitions.
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Is Escalation Between France and Turkey in the Middle East and Beyond Inescapable?

Date de publication
11 November 2020
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In recent years, France and Turkey have been on opposing sides relating to Middle East concerns. 

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Is a 'Reset' Between France and Russia Needed and, If So, Is It Possible?

Date de publication
09 December 2019
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As Emmanuel Macron hosts Angela Merkel, Vladimir Zelenskiy, and Vladimir Putin for a summit aimed at resolving the Ukraine conflict, it is worth taking stock of the French leader’s Russia policy to try to discern what Paris’s policy toward Moscow can and cannot achieve.

French Foreign Policy in the Age of Polycrisis

Date de publication
19 November 2019
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Under the presidency of Emmanuel Macron, France has set itself the goal of strengthening its international presence, being more proactive and defining the European reform agenda. However, the French room for manoeuver is limited.

France: the tale of disenchantment, ambiguity and ambition on the EU

Date de publication
23 June 2016
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France may be ready to take the initiative again in the EU, but it does not know where to press on.

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Macron pirouettes on Russia to the strains of ‘Churchill and Chamberlain’

21 February 2023
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President Emmanuel Macron’s nuanced position on the war in Ukraine is part and parcel of yet another French specificity, an attitude towards Russia which is unique in Europe. Macron prides himself on being a moderate among western warmongers.

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At the Sorbonne, Macron and Scholz pass the remedial oral

21 January 2023
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From the cupola of the great amphitheater of the Sorbonne, the five large medallions in monochrome representing the sciences, letters, law, medicine and theology will judge the event. Sunday January 22, in the morning, in one of the oldest universities on the continent (founded in 1253), the German Chancellor Olaf Scholz must meet Emmanuel Macron, where the French President made his great speech on Europe in 2017.

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French-German friendship ‘still alive’ as Macron meets Scholz amid tensions

26 October 2022
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Two leaders under pressure to repair relations after rifts over defence, energy and China. The French president, Emmanuel Macron, hosted the German chancellor, Olaf Scholz, for lunch on Wednesday as they sought to iron out significant differences on energy and defence that have weakened their relationship at a time of war in Ukraine.

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Africa-France: Can Macron’s ‘new partnership’ succeed?

24 May 2022
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Africa has occupied a significant place in Emmanuel Macron’s political agenda but he will need more than fine speeches to change the longstanding paternalist image of France on the continent.

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An Engine Replacement Could Kill Europe’s Huge F-35 Plans

03 May 2022
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The National Interest
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If the decision to replace the engine for the F-35A is implemented, countries flying F-35s will find themselves forced into unforeseen and overly complicated supply chains.

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French Presidential Election, Ukraine crisis, China-France and China-EU relations

28 April 2022
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This week the guest of "Dialogue Weekend" on CGTV is Thierry de Montbrial, founder and executive chairman of Ifri, French Institute for International Relations. Last Sunday, Emmanuel Macron became the first French president to be re-elected since Jacques Chirac 20 years ago, with a 17-point victory over far-right populist Marine Le Pen.

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Kremlin Is Top Destination For Spooked European Leaders

07 February 2022
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Rarely in recent years has the Kremlin been so popular with European visitors. French President Emmanuel Macron arrives Monday. The Hungarian prime minister visited last week. And in days to come, the German chancellor will be there, too. All are hoping to get through to President Vladimir Putin, the man who singlehandedly shapes Russia’s course amid its military buildup near Ukraine and whose designs are a mystery even for his own narrow inner circle.

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The end of the Merkel-Macron era — a mediocre legacy?

16 September 2021
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German Chancellor Merkel has met with French President Macron in what could be her final working visit to France. Some analysts say their cooperation should have produced more results.

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Merkel and Macron betray weakness with cautious Aachen treaty

21 January 2019
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When Angela Merkel and Emmanuel Macron sign a new Franco-German treaty in the historic city of Aachen on Tuesday, there will be much soaring rhetoric about the deepening ties between the two countries. To critics, though, the Treaty of Aachen is thin gruel. Anyone hoping for a new, tighter alliance between France and Germany, and for signs that the two countries might once again drive European integration, will be disappointed. 

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France and Britain seeking eurozone agreement ahead of EU 'Brexit' summit

15 February 2016
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Vivien Pertusot analyses the difficulties between the United Kingdom and France over the draft deal on the "Brexit" negotiations ahead of the European Council.

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The French are looking for a fair deal for France and the EU, not just Britain

10 October 2015
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France has been ambivalent on the British renegotiation campaign. The general mood is to keep the UK in, but messages are going in different directions. Some are shrugging off the UK’s calls for reform and are not trying very hard to accommodate Westminster. Others seem keener to find an acceptable deal for Britain.

 

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Ifri, a foundation recognized as being of public utility, relies largely on private donors – companies and individuals – to guarantee its sustainability and intellectual independence. Through their funding, donors help maintain the Institute's position among the world's leading think tanks. By benefiting from an internationally recognized network and expertise, donors refine their understanding of geopolitical risk and its consequences on global politics and the economy. In 2026, Ifri partners with over 90 French and international companies and organizations.

Presentation of Ramses 2026, Ifri, Paris