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Raising the Costs to President Putin

Date de publication
01 April 2014
Accroche

-by building dissonance within. Some like to remember fondly the call by Ronald Reagan for Gorbachev “to tear down this wall”. The United States “Won the Cold War” said George Bush Senior in his State of the Union Address. We need to step back and recognize with some humility that the Soviet Union fell largely of its own weight rather than as a result of external pressure. Again today Russia is economically weak. It has become an exporter of raw materials, its industrial sector is weak, and its revenues are already falling. Conditions now offer the opportunity to aggravate Russia’s economic frailty – let’s focus on that.

William C. RAMSAY

Quelles perspectives pour l'industrie européenne des armements terrestres ?

Date de publication
31 March 2014
Accroche

Over the last decade, the European land armament industry developed into a thriving market driven by growing demand from the BRICS, a new wave of emerging countries and the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan.

Aude-Emmanuelle FLEURANT Yannick QUEAU

Europe's Continuing Demilitarization

Date de publication
20 March 2014
Accroche

Beginning in the 1970s, becoming solidified with the “peace dividends” in the 1990s and finally accelerated by the financial crisis of 2008, Europe’s demilitarization is undeniable.

The United States and the ‘Demilitarization’ of Europe: Myth or Reality?

Date de publication
20 March 2014
Accroche

The criticism leveled by Americans at Europe’s neglect of its commitment to defense is not new, and is often exaggerated.

Klaus LARRES

Europe's Place in the World: from 1914 to 2014

Date de publication
20 March 2014
Accroche

The first wave of globalization in the 20th century triggered deep upheaval of the organization of power and an overall depreciation of European nations.

Jean-Pierre CHEVENEMENT

1914–2014: Nation and Nationalism

Date de publication
20 March 2014
Accroche

The increasing militarism prior to the Great War had its roots in national beliefs and ideologies constructed during the 19th century in European countries.

Will Europe’s Past be East Asia’s Future?

Date de publication
20 March 2014
Accroche

There are some disturbing similarities between present-day Asia and pre-1914 Europe.

Young-kwan YOON

Turkey: the Sèvres Syndrome, or the Interminable War

Date de publication
20 March 2014
Accroche

For the Turks, the Treaty of Sèvres symbolizes the liquidation of the Empire and the carving up of Turkey by outside forces.

World War I, in Theory

Date de publication
20 March 2014
Accroche

The First World War gave rise to the emergence of the discipline of international relations, but it was the Second World War and the Cold War that fostered its development.

Joseph A. KARAS Joseph M. PARENT

The "War to End All Wars": Total War, Total Peace?

Date de publication
20 March 2014
Accroche

The Paris Peace Conference of 1919-1920 marked the end of the First World War whose purpose was to establish the conditions for enduring, if not perpetual peace.

The Legacy of the Great War: Sovereign States, Globalization and Regionalism

Date de publication
20 March 2014
Accroche

The Great War has shaped many 20th century practices and norms.

Georges-Henri SOUTOU

Does International Commerce Help Foster Peace?

Date de publication
20 March 2014
Accroche

Montesquieu’s theory of “doux commerce” has never ceased to be debated.

Jacques FONTANEL

The Impact of the First World War on Strategy

Date de publication
20 March 2014
Accroche

The First World War helped redefine the notion of strategy, giving it a political dimension that it previously lacked.

Hew STRACHAN

The French Army and the Military Revolution of the First World War

Date de publication
20 March 2014
Accroche

In 1914 the firepower of modern weaponry produced a massacre. To limit losses, the warring parties dug themselves into trenches. The French army was forced to innovate.

Michel GOYA

Germany: The Past that Does not Pass

Date de publication
20 March 2014
Accroche

Germany’s responsibility in the two global conflicts reflects, among other things, the German military’s desire to free itself from political control and the depth to which the Wehrmacht was immersed into Nazi ideology and a Nazi state whose orders it never really contested.

The First World War and the Balkanization of the Middle-East

Date de publication
20 March 2014
Accroche

The First World War had tragic consequences for the Middle-East. It led to the partitioning of the Ottoman Empire and the balkanization of the region. 

Georges CORM

Development of the Northern Sea Route: How great is the need for satellite observation?

Date de publication
17 March 2014
Accroche

The sea route between Europe and Asia is significantly shorter via Arctic waters than via the Suez Canal. Changes in global climate have resulted in a diminishing of ice in Arctic waters. This has resulted in the Northern Sea Route establishing itself as a viable commercial alternative, which is expected to expand in the years ahead. Satellite observation is one of the methods employed to gather information about ice conditions, weather and oil spills, and is a prerequisite for ensuring the continued development of the new traffic.

Bard WORMDAL

How to Misread Polls

Date de publication
13 March 2014
Accroche

Poll numbers are the life blood of politics these days. Anything expressed in digits has a claim to truth that assertions without digits cannot make. They inspire confidence - especially among those aspiring to public office - that they actually understand what public sentiment is.

Michael BRENNER

Middle East Oil and Gas Producers: Soon to Be Back in the Lead?

Date de publication
12 March 2014
Accroche

The World Energy Outlook 2013 published by the IEA confirms that despite the rise of unconventional fuels in particular in the US, Middle East will by the mid-2020s retake its place as the world major oil and gas supplier, providing most of the increase in global supplies. Well, there are some big ifs.

Maïté de BONCOURT

Between Allies and Rivals: Turkey, Nuclear Weapons, and BMD

Date de publication
06 March 2014
Accroche

This paper discusses Turkey’s attitudes vis-à-vis nuclear weapons and Ballistic Missile Defense in the light of recent developments in the Iranian nuclear program and NATO’s evolving concept of extended deterrence.

Mustafa KIBAROGLU

Ukraine: Is Europe Ready for Another Gas Cut?

Date de publication
06 March 2014
Accroche

The turmoil in Ukraine is now putting one question on everyone mouth: what if Russian gas transiting through Ukraine was cut once again? Today, Ukrainian gas pipelines still carry around 60% of the Russian gas intended for the European Union; i.e. around 16% of the EU final gas consumption.

Maïté de BONCOURT

Reading Rouhani Right

Date de publication
05 March 2014
Accroche

Poll numbers are the life blood of politics these days. Anything expressed in digits has a claim to truth that assertions without digits cannot make. They inspire confidence - especially among those aspiring to public office - that they actually understand what public sentiment is. If you lived between nuclear-armed Israel and Pakistan and had as many world class enemies as Iran has accumulated - would you give up your pursuit of a nuclear weapon?

William C. RAMSAY

Rosneft, Gazprom and the Government: the Decision-making Triangle on Russia's Energy Policy

Date de publication
03 March 2014
Accroche

Russia finds itself exposed to many risks in the fast-moving global revolution in energy affairs, and cannot avail of its opportunities despite its unique combination of natural resources and experience in their exploitation. It has entered the phase of economic stagnation, and the under-performance of the energy sector is one of the key determinants of the durability of this trend.

The Amphibious Endeavour: Tactical Risk, Strategic Influence

Date de publication
26 February 2014
Accroche

Despite a centuries-long history, amphibious operations were rarely in the spotlight before the Second World War. Meteorological constraints and joint planning challenges both emphasize their risky and complex character. Lessons learned highlight indispensable operational requirements such as superior naval power, favourable strength ratio for disembarked forces and the advantage of surprise.

Guillaume GARNIER

The Mining Boom in the Sahel Region: Will the Development Last?

Date de publication
24 February 2014
Accroche

The Sahel, often discussed on account of its problems and crises – in particular recently, in view of the crisis in Mali – is in actual fact experiencing a new positive economic era, like the rest of the African continent. For the five countries of the Sahel region we shall be examining – Mauritania, Senegal, Mali, Burkina Faso and Niger – this favourable evolution, although it varies from country to country, is based on booming extractive industries.

Obama announces "Opportunity Ladder"

Date de publication
14 February 2014
Accroche

There are moments in life when you receive an unmistakable sign that the game is over. That it’s time to fold your tent, to pull up stakes, to pack it in, to furl the flag, to trim the sails, to let go of a lost cause. At best, to wait for next year. In the extreme, to write it off permanently. And if one chooses to breast the tide, to do so stoically.

Michael BRENNER

Poland and Ballistic Missile Defense: The Limits of Atlanticism

Date de publication
05 February 2014
Accroche

Since Poland first expressed its willingness to host a critical part of the US Ballistic Missile Defense architecture, in 2002, the program has undergone several setbacks. Today, while Poland is still expected to host key elements of the US BMD capabilities, contributing to NATO’s territorial defense against ballistic missile threats, Warsaw does not enjoy the kind of special bilateral relationship that it was trying to secure with Washington.

Łukasz KULESA

The EU, Russia and the Eastern Partnership: What Dynamics under the New German Government?

Date de publication
01 February 2014
Accroche

The Eastern Partnership summit in Vilnius in November 2013 demonstrated that the European Union’s policy toward its eastern neighbors has developed into a highly contentious issue between the EU and Russia.

Dominik TOLKSDORF

Arab Atatürk: The Weight of History

Date de publication
31 January 2014
Accroche

Recent discussion surrounding a 'Turkish model' for the Arab world has centered mainly on the achievements of the AKP in Turkey and its supposed ideological proximity to the political parties that have arisen from the Muslim Brotherhood movement.

François ZABBAL

Japon : la cure de jouvence d'Abe

Date de publication
31 January 2014
Accroche

À rebours de la stratégie européenne d'austérité et de réduction des déficits, Tokyo a fait le choix de la relance et de l'investissement pour redresser une économie mise à mal depuis vingt ans.

 

Unmanned Air Systems: The Future of Air & Sea Power?

Date de publication
30 January 2014
Accroche

Since their early use for primitive ISR and combined operations, UAS have developed into increasingly multipurpose instruments performing a wide array of missions (from limited strike operations, search and monitoring to time-sensitive targeting) and offering new maneuver options to the armed forces. 

Paul ROGERS

Challenges ahead for Global Europe

Date de publication
28 January 2014
Accroche

The year ahead will be critical in determining the European Union’s standing on the global stage. 

Vivien PERTUSOT Shada ISLAM Ronja KEMPIN

Governing the Geostationary Orbit: Orbital Slots and Spectrum Use in an Era of Interference

Date de publication
20 January 2014
Accroche

Outer space, particularly in the telecommunication sector, is benefiting and becoming accessible to more and more actors. But with this trend comes also a reality that is every day more compelling: no meaningful development can be achieved without a clear, stable and predictable interference-free environment for the use and control of all satellites that depend upon ready access to radio frequencies and appropriate geostationary orbital slots to function properly.

La Chine, banquier du monde

Date de publication
15 January 2014

The Return of Robert Gates

Date de publication
12 January 2014
Accroche

The memoirs of public men are exercises in self-promotion and self-justification. They are designed to etch a portrait of the (wo)man that will live across time. It's the legacy thing. These days, that legacy pertains also to the "here and now" since memoirs are not necessarily the conclusion of a career but rather the curtain-raising on its next act.

Michael BRENNER

Russia's Eastern Direction - Distinguishing the Real from the Virtual

Date de publication
01 January 2014
Accroche

The Asia-Pacific region has assumed primary importance as a center of global politics and economic dynamism. For Moscow, this development highlights a world in which many long-standing assumptions about international politics are being overturned. It speaks of “global power … shifting to the East,” and of Russia becoming involved in the “dynamic integration processes in the ‘new Asia".” But for all the rhetoric about a “turn to the East”, Russia’s commitment to serious engagement with the Asia-Pacific is uncertain. Its elite retains a strongly Western-centric world-view, even as it criticizes Western shortcomings.

Political and Economic Effects of Qaddafi's Death on Chad

Date de publication
30 December 2013
Accroche

On 24 August 2011, President Idriss Déby Itno of Chad recognised the National Transitional Council (NTC) as the only legitimate authority in Libya. Until then, the Chadian president had been a firm ally of the Guide of the Great Jahamiriya, President Qaddafi of Libya. Déby had sustained his long-time friend and helper with military equipment and soldiers from Chad from the beginning of the uprisings.

Ketil Fred HANSEN

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