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Strengthening the Dynamics of Renewable Electricity in Europe

Date de publication
22 November 2022
Accroche

We have made considerable progress in twelve years and the new European Union targets change the scale of renewables, facilitating the electrification of uses. Renewable energies must be pushed to the maximum regardless the future of nuclear power generation.

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What Strategic Posture Should France Adopt in the Middle East?

Date de publication
17 November 2022
Accroche

France has a historical presence in the Middle East, where it has many interests to defend: the fight against terrorism, the promotion of the arms industry, the dissemination of humanitarian values, etc. To this end, it has a number of resources at its disposal, notably military: French forces are deployed in Iraq, Syria and Jordan as part of Operation Chammal, in Lebanon for the United Nations Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL), and in the United Arab Emirates.

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Neither Surveillance nor Algorithm-driven Consumerism. Toward an Alternative European Model for Smart Cities

Date de publication
16 November 2022
Accroche

Numerous smart city projects are emerging, guided by objectives of efficiency and improvement of public policies. All of them are based on intensive use of data and digital tools, but their concrete achievements take various forms. Some models are being exported and are becoming levers of influence, while Europe is still looking for its own path.

Jacques PRIOL Joé VINCENT-GALTIE
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Why a reconciliation between Washington and Teheran seems impossible.

Date de publication
15 November 2022
Accroche

Relations between the United States and the Islamic Republic are marked by history. On the Iranian side, the overthrow of Prime Minister Mohammad Mossadegh in 1953 weighs heavily on the perception of the United States. On the American side, the events linked to the 1979 Islamic Revolution remain a trauma after more than forty years. The agreement on the Iranian nuclear program, known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA) and signed in July 2015, was therefore a momentous first step towards a possible reconciliation. Unfortunately, the process was interrupted by the United States’ withdrawal from the agreement and the implementation of a "maximum pressure" policy by the Trump administration in 2018. 

Sylvain GAILLAUD
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The European Green Deal Three Years On: Acceleration, Erosion, Fragmentation?

Date de publication
14 November 2022
Accroche

The European Green Deal (EGD) is the single most defining policy initiative of the von der Leyen Commission. Since its publication in December 2019, it has become the European Union’s (EU) new raison d’être: protecting the planet and Europeans from environmental degradation, through a holistic approach to the energy transition, while promoting sustainable growth and a just transition with no social group or territory left behind. 

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China in Madagascar: Between Quiet Politcal Oppurtunism and Intense Trafficking

Date de publication
04 November 2022
Accroche

In the context of growing regional rivalries between major powers in the Indian Ocean, the stakes of Sino-Malagasy relations are major. 

François GIOVALUCCHI Juvence RAMASY
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France and AUKUS: Bouncing Back to Live up to Pacific Challenges

Date de publication
03 November 2022
Accroche

Back in September 2021, the announcement of AUKUS – the defense partnership between Australia, the United Kingdom (UK) and the United States (US) was a shock to Paris.

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Open Innovation in Defense. Passing Fad or New Philosophy?

Date de publication
26 October 2022
Accroche

The use of civilian technologies on the battlefield—one of the lessons that can be drawn from recent conflicts—is attracting growing interest from the armed forces of France and other nations. The growing number of examples of effective integration of civilian technologies into the armed forces, including during conflict, shows the importance of open innovation and the acceleration of the international race toward innovation in the defense industry.

Raphaël BRIANT
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Russia’s War in Ukraine: Misleading Doctrine, Misguided Strategy

Date de publication
24 October 2022
Accroche

The blame for committing the blunder of starting the war with Ukraine is deservedly placed on President Vladimir Putin, but a single-explanation interpretation of the unfolding disaster is unsatisfactory.

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COP27: Will Egypt Bring New Life to Climate Conferences?

Date de publication
21 October 2022
Accroche

The COP26, held at the end of 2021 in Glasgow, was emphatically heralded as “the last best hope for the world to get its act together”.

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The historical heritage of AUKUS: Australia-United States-United Kingdom relations since 1900

Date de publication
18 October 2022
Accroche

The signing of the AUKUS partnership agreement between Australia, the United States and the United Kingdom in September 2021 seems to have reconstituted a natural coalition between “Anglo-Saxon” states. This solidarity generates contradictory judgments. 

Pierre GROSSER

A Green-Blue Alliance in Motion: Pacific Island Countries and Europe Fighting Climate Change

Date de publication
17 October 2022
Accroche

The Pacific Islands Countries (PICs) were the first to ratify the Paris climate agreement in 2015. Indeed, for them, climate change has had very concrete implications for years. Islanders have seen the sea level rising, endangering the very existence of atolls. They have also experienced increasingly violent cyclones and other natural disasters, and must deal with multiple impacts of a changing climate on their everyday lives

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Whither China After 10 Years of Economic Policies Guided by Xi?

Date de publication
15 October 2022
Accroche

As the 20th national congress of the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) draws closer, this is an opportune moment to appraise China’s economic achievements over the past decade under President Xi Jinping’s guidance and to identify the challenges the country will have to address during the next five years.

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The European Union Industrial Strategy: Reconciling Competition and Geoeconomic Challenges

Date de publication
13 October 2022
Accroche

The EU’s basic assumptions, on which it grounds its economic and trade power, are being steadily cast into doubt. The EU’s main trade partners, the US and China, increasingly set their sights on securing their supply chains, which may further a potential decoupling. 

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“Open” Telecom Networks (Open RAN): Towards a Reconfiguration of International Competition in 5G?

Date de publication
12 October 2022
Accroche

In line with the anti-Huawei diplomatic campaign of the Trump and Biden administrations, the United States has promoted an alternative: Open RAN, a concept defined by "open" network architectures. At the intersection of 5G geopolitics and standards, what risks and opportunities does Open RAN present for European technological sovereignty?

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Modernizing the People's Liberation Army: The Human Factor

Date de publication
11 October 2022
Accroche

The tremendous demographic challenges facing China will not significantly affect the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) in the immediate future, but will become more problematic in the medium and long term. The rapid aging of the population and the resulting socio-economic imbalances will put pressure on defense budgets, military wages and the general attractiveness of the army. For the time being, the PLA’s primary goal in terms of human resources is to build a less oversized, more professional army, prepared for high-intensity combat.

 

Marc JULIENNE Constantin LAGRAULET
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Chinese Influences in Africa 2. Myths and Realities in Economic Relations

Date de publication
06 October 2022
Accroche

China and Africa share a strong relationship since the wave of African independences in the 1960s. Nevertheless, China-Africa trade has experienced an unprecedented surge since the late 1990s and has been accompanied by the rise of a discourse of "win-win" partnership between China and Africa. 

Alain KARSENTY Alicia GARCIA HERRERO Johanna MALM Thierry PAIRAULT
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Modernization of the Bundeswehr: Back to basics?

Date de publication
03 October 2022
Accroche

Against the backdrop of the war in Ukraine, the Bundeswehr has been led to refocus on territorial defense and collective security, which constituted the core of its activity for decades. This evolution break with the long period of efforts during which the Bundeswehr painfully tried to transform itself into an intervention army.

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More Europe in the face of realpolitik’s return? French perspectives on 30 years of German reunification

Date de publication
29 September 2022
Accroche

The current geopolitical situation has disrupted the European and global order, which were both consolidated in the 1990s and have been key factors in the modern German model. The Franco-German duo is currently facing new challenges and it will have to respond appropriately in a time when the EU’s global influence is shrinking in the face of what some analysts call a “new Cold War”.

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The Geopolitics of Seawater Desalination

Date de publication
27 September 2022
Accroche

A rapidly-expanding market

Marc-Antoine EYL-MAZZEGA Élise CASSIGNOL
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New Paradigm for Electrification in Sub-Saharan Africa: How Are Decentralized Hybrid Systems Changing the Game?

Date de publication
23 September 2022
Accroche

After several decades of reforms, the situation in centralized power sectors has hardly changed. The sub-Saharan power sector remains underdeveloped, and power sectors are experiencing significant financial difficulties that have been further exacerbated first by the effects of the pandemic and then the war in Ukraine.

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“Don’t Bank on the Bombs” New European Standards Affecting the Defense Industry

Date de publication
22 September 2022
Accroche

While Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022, has underlined the need to upgrade the European armed forces, the urgency of the fight against climate change—as illustrated by reports from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)—requires the political mobilization of the European Union (EU) to carry out the transition to climate neutrality.

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Redefining the Netherlands' Energy Future : Societal Implications of the Nearing End of Dutch Natural Gas

Date de publication
20 September 2022
Accroche

For decades, the large Groningen gas field has been a central pillar of the Dutch welfare state. The availability of gas was so self-evident that many generations still identify with the slogan “Nederland gasland” (“The Netherlands, a gas country”). The nearing end of Dutch gas now requires a mentality shift.

Stephan SLINGERLAND
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A Guide to Solve EU’s Hydrogen Dilemmas

Date de publication
19 September 2022
Accroche

Facing multiple crises, the European Commission (EC), backed by European Union (EU) Member States, has embarked on a pathway to accelerate the decarbonization of the EU energy system, while fostering its resilience and accelerating the roll out of hydrogen and derivative by-products.

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Japan’s Africa policy: Back to basics in times of crisis

Date de publication
16 September 2022
Accroche

Addressing remotely the 8th Japan-Africa TICAD Summit held in Tunis between August 27th and 28th, Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida pledged $30 billion in public and private contributions to the African continent over the course of the next three years. This is a quite a remarkable move, as no specific amount was mentioned by the late Prime Minister, Shinzō Abe, at the previous TICAD 7 in 2019. By doing so, Japan aims at demonstrating that its commitment to Africa is solid and sustainable: its traditional approach towards a human-centered development is more relevant than ever in these times of crisis (between the pandemic, the war in Ukraine, and the adverse effects of climate change), and clearly marks a difference from China’s practices.

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Reindustrializing France: Challenges of the Digital and Environmental Transformation

Date de publication
14 September 2022
Accroche

To succeed in the challenge of reindustrializing France, French and European companies must undertake a dual process of digital and environmental transformation, in a context of international competition.

Anaïs VOY-GILLIS

War in Ukraine: A New World?

Date de publication
13 September 2022
Accroche

Beyond the tactical sphere, the conflict in Ukraine has already had numerous repercussions, and its conclusion will provoke many more in the global system. In this special issue, Politique étrangère explores some potential outcomes.

The War in Ukraine: Echoes of Korea?

Date de publication
13 September 2022
Accroche

The war in Ukraine has revived discussion about the Washington-Beijing-Moscow triangle as well as Europe’s place in the geopolitical power struggles. 

Pierre GROSSER

War in Ukraine: An Embarrassment for Beijing

Date de publication
13 September 2022
Accroche

From the beginning of the war in Ukraine, Beijing has adopted an outward posture of neutrality while in fact supporting Moscow. 

German Defense Policy: A Historic Turning Point?

Date de publication
13 September 2022
Accroche

The war in Ukraine has been a rude awakening for Berlin. 

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The Pacific caught in the World Wide Web? Geopolitics of submarine cables in Oceania

Date de publication
12 September 2022
Accroche

This article provides a review of the digital connectivity of the Pacific Islands nations (Polynesia, Melanesia, and Micronesia) and the main challenges and prospects arising from it, at a time when the submarine cable market is undergoing profound change and a growing politicization of this technology on the international scene.

Camille MOREL
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The U.S. Political Landscape Two Months Before Midterms. Can the Democrats Avoid Defeat?

Date de publication
12 September 2022
Accroche

The Biden Administration has succeeded this summer in passing several important pieces of legislation. In addition to progressive societal measures that break with the Supreme Court's rulings, the Administration has focused on the economy and the environment: the CHIPS Act and the Inflation Reduction Act promote the relocation of semiconductor and electric vehicle battery plants.

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Reflection on Russia’s Changing Image in the Post-Soviet Region

Date de publication
09 September 2022
Accroche

The two years preceding the Russian invasion of Ukraine suggested that Russia had adopted a measured policy toward the post-Soviet space. Faced with social protests in Belarus, a coup in Kyrgyzstan, the victory of pro-European president Maia Sandu in Moldova, the second war in Nagorno-Karabakh, and riots in Kazakhstan, Russia showed diplomatic ability without any hard arm-twisting of partners. In 2020, then Carnegie Moscow Center director Dmitry Trenin even concluded that “there will be no new edition of the empire”. The war in Ukraine has completely changed this analysis. 

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RAMSES 2023. Europe at War

Date de publication
07 September 2022
Accroche

For its 41st edition, RAMSES 2023. Europe at War, written by Ifri's research team and external experts, offers an in-depth and up-to-date analysis of geopolitics in today’s world.

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Critical technologies and industrial capabilities: National definitions and implications. The French case.

Date de publication
01 September 2022
Accroche

France  has  historically  paid  significant  attention  to  strategic  technologies  and  industries,  whether they were strictly defence- and nuclear deterrence related, or considered as vectors of national independence and security, more broadly.

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Germany, the “Zeitenwende” and the Future of NATO

Date de publication
31 August 2022
Accroche
NATO has adopted a new strategic concept, which should provide guidance for the next ten years. But the Russian aggression against Ukraine on February 24, 2022, has changed everything.
Detlef PUHL

Chinese Nuclear Force Modernization and Doctrinal Change

Date de publication
19 August 2022
Accroche

Dating back to the first test in 1964, the Chinese nuclear force modernization process is motivated by other nuclear powers’ modernization across the years, mostly from the United States and the Soviet Union, but also by domestic factors such as economic debates and tensions in the scientific community.

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Cyberspace Governance in China: Evolution, Features and Future Trends

Date de publication
29 July 2022
Accroche

As China’s political relations with most of the world’s technologically advanced states have worsened, Beijing has put in place the world’s most comprehensive regulatory and administrative system for governing cyberspace.

John LEE
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The Return of High-Intensity Conflict in Ukraine: Lessons for Land Forces

Date de publication
27 July 2022
Accroche

After twenty years of counter-terrorism, the Ukrainian battlefield marks the renewal of so-called “high-intensity” warfare. It constitutes a major strategic turning point, reversing the contemporary model of wars involving the West.

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Cercles dirigeants russes : infaillible loyauté au système Poutine ?

Date de publication
26 July 2022
Accroche

Despite the unprecedented sanctions against Russia following Vladimir Putin's decision to invade Ukraine on February 24, 2022, no important member of Russia's ruling circles has defected. 

Régis GENTÉ

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