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Russia’s New Energy Alliances: Mythology versus Reality

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Russie.Eurasie.Visions
Vladimir MILOV
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This brief paper analyzes the energy relations between Russia and its “new” energy partnerships – with China and Turkey – that the Kremlin tends to publicly promote as an alternative to energy relations with the West.

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The past 12 to 15 months have been marked by intensive negotiations, summits, and memorandums of understanding between Russia and these “new” partners. However, the progress is insufficient to merit talk about relationships of a truly global scale, and the many problematic issues indicate that these partnerships are working to only a limited extent. An examination of the Sino-Russian and Turkish-Russian partnerships shows that neither of these new strategic partners is ready to engage in Russia’s globally oriented energy games – instead they want to pursue their own pragmatic energy interests. The Russian attempts to instigate tectonic shifts in the energy markets through partnerships has failed, and both the “Power of Siberia” and “Turkish Stream” projects are rapidly turning into very localized bilateral stories, which are not truly significant in the context of a broader market picture.

Vladimir Milov is a Russian politician, publicist, economist and energy expert. He is a former Deputy Minister of Energy of Russia (2002), adviser to the Minister of Energy (2001–2002), and head of the strategy department at the Federal Energy Commission, the natural monopoly regulator (1999–2001), and founder and president of the Institute of Energy Policy, a leading independent Russian energy policy think tank (since 2003).

 

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978-2-36567-418-8

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Russia’s New Energy Alliances: Mythology versus Reality

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Russie, Eurasie, Carte
Russia/Eurasia Center
Accroche centre

Founded in 2005 within Ifri, the Russia/Eurasia Center conducts research and organizes debates on Russia, Eastern Europe, Central Asia, and the South Caucasus. Its goal is to understand and anticipate the evolution of this complex and rapidly changing geographical area in order to enrich public discourse in France and Europe and to assist in strategic, political, and economic decision-making.

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Commanders of Putin's Long War: Purged, Reshuffled and Disgruntled

Date de publication
10 December 2024
Accroche

The trend of reshuffling the Russian top military command in the course of a fast-evolving and far from successful war has progressed unevenly both across the Armed Forces’ structures and in time. The rationale for and timing of the abrupt cadre decisions made by Commander-in-Chief Putin often defy logical explanation, and the rare official clarifications are no more informative than the usual information blackout.

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Russian Military Manpower After Two and a Half Years of War in Ukraine

Date de publication
25 November 2024
Accroche

In addition to a military victory in Ukraine, the Russian leadership is planning to build up sizable troop formations for a possible conflict with NATO in the Baltic region and the Kola Peninsula. In particular, current plans aim for the military manpower to grow by about 350,000, reaching a total of 1.5 million soldiers and commanders. In the context of the current conflict in Ukraine, this cannot be accomplished without a new wave of mass mobilization.

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Moldova’s Foreign Policy after 2024 Presidential Elections: Staying on the EU Path, Moving Eastwards or Becoming Multi-vector?

Date de publication
17 October 2024
Accroche

The future of Moldova’s foreign agenda will undergo a stress test during the upcoming presidential elections on October 20, 2024.

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Russian Strategic Thinking and Culture Before and After February 24, 2022: Political-Strategic Aspects

Date de publication
26 September 2024
Accroche

Written by Dimitri Minic, the scientific article "Russian Strategic Thinking and Culture Before and After February 24, 2022: Political-Strategic Aspects" in Russia’s war against Ukraine: Complexity of Contemporary Clausewitzian War by the National Defence University Department of Warfare, Helsinki 2024.

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Russia’s New Energy Alliances: Mythology versus Reality, from Ifri by
Vladimir MILOV
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Russia’s New Energy Alliances: Mythology versus Reality