Search on Ifri.org

About Ifri

Frequent searches

Suggestions

The Aluminum Value Chain: A Key Component of Europe’s Strategic Autonomy and Carbon Neutrality

Papers
|
Date de publication
|
Image de couverture de la publication
Cover of T. Michel's note on Aluminium
Accroche

The United States of America (US), Canada and the European Union (EU) all now consider aluminum as strategic. This metal is indeed increasingly used, especially for the energy transition, be it for electric vehicles (EVs), electricity grids, wind turbines or solar panels.

Image principale
 Smelting furnaces in an aluminum plant
Smelting furnaces in an aluminum plant
© Jose Luis Stephen/Shutterstock.com
Table of contents
Table of contents
body

Europe will, therefore, need growing aluminum supplies in the coming years. However, the European aluminum industry has been weakened over the last decades and henceforth only represents a small share of global aluminum production. As a consequence, it cannot entirely meet domestic needs.

Aluminum has a substantial environmental footprint and its production, from bauxite to primary aluminum, comes with major greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Those emissions are especially due to the tremendous amounts of energy (gas and electricity) consumed during the industrial process, particularly for electrolysis. The major use of electricity entails an important influence of the structure of the national electricity mix on aluminum’s CO2 emissions. But some emissions are also specific to aluminum production, for instance, the ones produced by the chemical reaction operated within the scope of the electrolysis in order to transform alumina into primary aluminum.

As demand will grow in the coming years, Europe will have to produce more aluminum to meet the needs of its energy transition, while reducing the carbon footprint of its aluminum industry.

To address this challenge, several decarbonization technologies are currently under consideration. As for other industries, energy efficiency or electrification of the industrial processes (using low-carbon electricity sources) can help to reduce aluminum’s footprint. However, these two solutions have often already been implemented, especially to reduce energy costs. This partial implementation allows the European aluminum industry to have a carbon footprint of 6.8 tonnes of CO2 for 1 tonne of primary aluminum, while the global average is of 16.1 tonnes of CO2.

Recycling also has a key role to play since recycled aluminum consumes 96% less energy and emits around four times less GHG (regarding direct emissions) than primary aluminum. Nevertheless, if improving aluminum recycling in Europe will be a crucial step, additional primary aluminum supplies will remain essential and recycling is no silver bullet. All these solutions are relevant tools for the reduction of the European aluminum industry’s carbon footprint but will not be sufficient to reach carbon neutrality.

To do so, the aluminum sector will need disruptive technologies. Two of them are considered at present. First, carbon capture utilization and storage (CCUS), for which several projects are currently developed in Europe, especially in Norway, Iceland and France. Nevertheless, this technology requires major investment amounts while the smoke emitted during the electrolysis process is poorly concentrated in CO2. The second technology is inert anodes, for which three projects are currently being developed in the world, in Canada, Russia and Germany. Yet, the deployment of these two technologies at an industrial scale is not expected before 2030 and most likely, for later.

Facing rising energy costs while global aluminum prices are kept relatively low due to large Chinese supplies not being exposed to the same production costs, the European aluminum industry is also confronted with competitiveness issues. With the reform of the EU ETS legislation and the creation of the Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism (CBAM), primary aluminum producers and processed product manufacturers are worried about international competition and a potential loss of competitiveness. If this mechanism appears to be a necessary policy to protect the European industry’s competitiveness while allowing the decarbonization of the most emitting industries, it also contains flaws, with circumvention risks.

 

Titre
The EU must take up the challenge of developing a decarbonized, competitive and resilient aluminum industry. To this end, several elements could be considered:

1
Texte courant
  1. Reinforcing primary aluminum production in Europe;

2
Texte courant
  1. Providing a larger support to the development of decarbonization technologies;

3
Texte courant
  1. Improving recycling across Europe and limiting scrap exports;

4
Texte courant
  1. Extending the scope of the CBAM to a larger number of processed products and boosting EU’s climate diplomacy abroad;
5
Texte courant
  1. Building resilience, with a focus on Europe alumina supply.

Decoration

Also available in:

Themes and regions

Thématiques analyses

ISBN / ISSN

979-10-373-0896-2

Share

Download the full analysis

This page contains only a summary of our work. If you would like to have access to all the information from our research on the subject, you can download the full version in PDF format.

The Aluminum Value Chain: A Key Component of Europe’s Strategic Autonomy and Carbon Neutrality

Decoration
Author(s)
Photo
Thibault MICHEL

Thibault MICHEL

Intitulé du poste

Research Fellow, Center for Energy & Climate, Ifri

Image principale
Climate & Energy
Center for Energy & Climate
Accroche centre

Ifri's Energy and Climate Center carries out activities and research on the geopolitical and geoeconomic issues of energy transitions such as energy security, competitiveness, control of value chains, and acceptability. Specialized in the study of European energy/climate policies as well as energy markets in Europe and around the world, its work also focuses on the energy and climate strategies of major powers such as the United States, China or India. It offers recognized expertise, enriched by international collaborations and events, particularly in Paris and Brussels.

Image principale

India’s Broken Power Economics : Addressing DISCOM Challenges

Date de publication
15 October 2024
Accroche

India’s electricity demand is rising at an impressive annual rate of 9%. From 2014 to 2023, the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) surged from 1.95 trillion dollars ($) to $3.2 trillion (constant 2015 US$), and the nation is poised to maintain this upward trajectory, with projected growth rates exceeding 7% in 2024 and 2025.  Correspondingly, peak power demand has soared from 136 gigawatts (GW) in 2014 to 243 GW in 2024, positioning India as the world’s third-largest energy consumer. In the past decade, the country has increased its power generation capacity by a remarkable 190 GW, pushing its total installed capacity beyond 400 GW. 

Image principale

The Troubled Reorganization of Critical Raw Materials Value Chains: An Assessment of European De-risking Policies

Date de publication
30 September 2024
Accroche

With the demand for critical raw materials set to, at a minimum, double by 2030 in the context of the current energy transition policies, the concentration of critical raw materials (CRM) supplies and, even more, of refining capacities in a handful of countries has become one of the paramount issues in international, bilateral and national discussions. China’s dominant position and successive export controls on critical raw materials (lately, germanium, gallium, rare earths processing technology, graphite, antimony) point to a trend of weaponizing critical dependencies.

Image principale

The EU Green Deal External Impacts: Views from China, India, South Africa, Türkiye and the United States

Date de publication
29 May 2024
Accroche

Ahead of June 2024 European elections and against the backdrop of growing geopolitical and geoeconomic frictions, if not tensions, between the EU and some of its largest trade partners, not least based on the external impacts of the European Green Deal (EGD), Ifri chose to collect views and analyses from leading experts from China, India, South Africa, Türkiye and the United States of America (US) on how they assess bilateral relations in the field of energy and climate, and what issues and opportunities they envisage going forward. 

Image principale

Critical Raw Materials: What Chinese Dependencies, What European Strengths?

Date de publication
07 May 2024
Accroche

In adapting to growing geopolitical competition over digital technology, the EU and the UK are striving for economic security and technological sovereignty. European policies focus on reducing critical over-dependencies on China. This de-risking is a necessary process of adaptation to the new geopolitical realities. 

Page image credits
Smelting furnaces in an aluminum plant
© Jose Luis Stephen/Shutterstock.com

How can this study be cited?

Image de couverture de la publication
Cover of T. Michel's note on Aluminium
The Aluminum Value Chain: A Key Component of Europe’s Strategic Autonomy and Carbon Neutrality, from Ifri by
Copy
Image de couverture de la publication
Cover of T. Michel's note on Aluminium

The Aluminum Value Chain: A Key Component of Europe’s Strategic Autonomy and Carbon Neutrality