How the war in Ukraine affects strategic foresight? Visions from France and Japan
Practical information
The Russian aggression in Ukraine took most experts and policymakers by surprise and raised questions about the methodology of strategic planning and foresight.

This webinar offers the opportunity to present how foresight is conducted in France and in Japan strategic communities, as well as in a big French company. We will see if the failure to predict the war in Ukraine is having any impact on anticipation practices. In particular, we will focus on two cases studies: the prospect for a more aggressive Russian foreign policy in Europe and Northeast Asia; and the prospect for a more aggressive Chinese foreign policy in East Asia vis à vis Taiwan and Japan.
This webinar will be held on Zoom, in English.
PROGRAMME
Chair and discussion leader: Céline PAJON, Head of Japan Research, Center for Asian Studies, Ifri
- Tomonori YOSHIZAKI, Vice-President for Academic Affairs, National Institute for Defense Studies, Tokyo
- Tristan DUFES, Deputy Assistant Director, Defence Strategy, Directorate General for International Relations and Strategy (DGRIS), French Ministry of Armed Forces
Replay
Related Subjects
Other events

Affirming European Security in Ukraine and the Black Sea Region
European security has been challenged in 2022 with the full-fledged invasion of Ukraine by the Russian Federation.

Post-war Europe: How to Redefine a Security Architecture Within a New Transatlantic Framework?
A new European security architecture has to be built. The question is: will this happen with or without Europe? The US President, Donald Trump, who returned to the White House a little more than two months ago, and the President of the Russian Federation, Vladimir Putin, have initiated talks to put an end to the war in Ukraine, with the possibility of Ukraine ceding territory to Russia being raised.

Doing Politics in African Cities: Actors, Causes and Forms of Urban Social Mobilization
From Maputo to Nairobi and from Lagos to Dakar: recently, African cities have been the theatre of mobilizations by groups of young protesters.