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Prospects for 6-party talks: Nuclear weapons are a means of survival for Kim Jung Un

Editorials
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Lettre du Centre Asie
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Ifri-CIGS Op-Ed Series, 6 April 2012
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Prospects for 6-party talks: Nuclear weapons are a means of survival for Kim Jong Un
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The most imperative duty of the third-generation Kim Jong Un is the “survival” of North Korea. This will require not only a smooth transfer of power from his father but also shoring up the national economy. This is because I feel the current regime will sooner or later come to the end of its tether unless North Korean economy breaks free of foreign dependence and begins to grow autonomously.

Corps analyses

In May 2011 I had the opportunity to visit the capital Pyongyang and its environs. The North Korean economy I saw there was truly miserable. In farming villages, although rice planting had already begun I hardly saw any equipment such as tractors or rice planting machines.

I realized then that there would be no tomorrow for North Korean agriculture still done entirely with manual labor. What’s more, the people’s economic grievances will likely grow as the heredity of power reaches a third generation. The mourning period aside, even Kim Jong Un, for his part, will eventually have to improve the national economic system and build a society capable of reproduction.

The bottom line is that it is not only a matter of Kim Jong Un surviving as the third generation of the “Kim Dynasty” but also the fact that he has been left with the extremely difficult task of giving the “Democratic People’s Republic of Korea” system a chance to survive in the mournful years to come.

 

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Prospects for 6-party talks: Nuclear weapons are a means of survival for Kim Jung Un

Decoration
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Center for Asian Studies
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Asia is a nerve center for multiple global economic, political and security challenges. The Center for Asian Studies provides documented expertise and a platform for discussion on Asian issues to accompany decision makers and explain and contextualize developments in the region for the sake of a larger public dialogue.

The Center's research is organized along two major axes: relations between Asia's major powers and the rest of the world; and internal economic and social dynamics of Asian countries. The Center's research focuses primarily on China, Japan, India, Taiwan and the Indo-Pacific, but also covers Southeast Asia, the Korean peninsula and the Pacific Islands. 

The Centre for Asian Studies maintains close institutional links with counterpart research institutes in Europe and Asia, and its researchers regularly carry out fieldwork in the region.

The Center organizes closed-door roundtables, expert-level seminars and a number of public events, including an Annual Conference, that welcome experts from Asia, Europe and the United States. The work of Center’s researchers, as well as that of their partners, is regularly published in the Center’s electronic journal Asie.Visions.

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Prospects for 6-party talks: Nuclear weapons are a means of survival for Kim Jong Un
Kunihiko MIYAKE, « Prospects for 6-party talks: Nuclear weapons are a means of survival for Kim Jung Un », Editorials, Lettre du Centre Asie, Ifri, 6 April 2012.
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Prospects for 6-party talks: Nuclear weapons are a means of survival for Kim Jong Un

Prospects for 6-party talks: Nuclear weapons are a means of survival for Kim Jung Un