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Climate Change: On the Path of a Green America?

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Climate Change : On the Path of a Green America ?
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Although there is now a broad consensus of opinions regarding the reality of climate change, strategies differ for reducing global greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. While countries that have ratified the Kyoto protocol are working to find its replacement (the protocol"s commitment period will come to an end in 2012), other initiatives push for a voluntary approach rather than the imposition of binding targets.

Clichés oppose an apparently self-righteous Europe, champion of the Kyoto protocol to the biggest CO2 emitter that pulled out from Kyoto in 2001, and whose president asserted, “the American way of life is not negotiable”. But is the question relevant concerning which leader better tackles climate change when both approaches are needed?

True, the latest actions of the current US administration might be seen as attempts to undermine the two-week conference that will take place in Bali in December, under the auspices of the UNFCCC. During the last APEC summit, the US and Australia, supported by Canada with its fresh demand to join the Kyoto-skeptic group, tried to push for a non-UN agreement on climate change. The proposition was rejected by China and other developing countries that prefer to refer climate change issues to the UN. In late September, the first “Major Economies Meeting on Energy Security and Climate Change”, launched by President Bush during the last G8 summit, highlighted the US administration"s insistence on the so-called “voluntary approach” and did little to help the international community"s concern that this conference might not help advance decisive talks in Bali.

Yet, American citizens are gradually recognizing the risks associated with climate change and a critical mass support has emerged among key stakeholders. An unusual political consensus is building up as more and more Republicans are straying from the party line. Republican Senator John Mc Cain, associated with Democrat Joe Lieberman, promoted a bill to make large reductions in greenhouse gas emissions (unsuccessfully). Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger signed legislation to reduce California GHG emissions back to 1990 levels by 2020. Thirteen other states intend to implement stiff new rules aimed at reducing GHG from cars and light trucks. Initiatives such as the ones that Mayor Michael Bloomberg proposed in New York City, to create “the first environmentally sustainable 21st-century city", are just the tip of the many local-level environmental policies occurring across the nation. When looking for solutions to reduce dependence on oil from the Middle East, conservative think tanks find themselves aligning their position with environmental groups. Interestingly enough, the Evangelical community, a stronghold of the Republican Party, lent an unexpected support to raising awareness on climate change issues, because of their commitment to “creation care”. Last but not least, in April 2007, the Supreme Court rejected the Bush administration's policy of inaction on global warming and ruled that the Environmental Protection Agency had not only the authority, but the responsibility, to regulate greenhouse gases.

The private sector has also been very dynamic : Several US companies are increasing or even focusing effort on research and development in this field and are developing energy-saving technologies. GE invested $700 million in clean technologies in both 2004 and 2005, and intends to double its overall investments in clean technology and renewable energy to US$4bn by 2010. A group of businesses (including GE, BP America, Shell and automakers such as General Motors) have engaged in the US Climate Action Partnership (USCAP) along with environmental NGOs, to push for strong national legislation to reduce GHG emissions. Venture firms in the Silicon Valley have begun to consider clean-energy as the largest economic opportunity of the century.

But at some point, federal intervention commitment and investment will be needed to trigger, foster and sustain innovation. The old debate of “technology push” versus “market pull” may not be the decisive argument in this case. Private sector needs a strong and clear signal to decide long-term investments. The administration is responsible for setting up appropriate policies, standards and funding. It is now widely believed that putting a price on carbon is the best way to incite companies and countries to invest in low-carbon energy sources. Lobbying from banks (including Citigroup and Morgan Stanley) to engage the US in a cap & trade system, only anticipates a global warming bill that seems to be inevitable in the near future.

 

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Climate & Energy
Center for Energy & Climate
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Ifri's Energy and Climate Center carries out activities and research on the geopolitical and geoeconomic issues of energy transitions such as energy security, competitiveness, control of value chains, and acceptability. Specialized in the study of European energy/climate policies as well as energy markets in Europe and around the world, its work also focuses on the energy and climate strategies of major powers such as the United States, China or India. It offers recognized expertise, enriched by international collaborations and events, particularly in Paris and Brussels.

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Couverture Politique étrangère 4-2024

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Following the dramatic floods in Valencia, and as COP29 opens in Baku, climate change is forcing us to closely reexamine the pace—and the stumbling blocks—of the energy transition.

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Date de publication
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Accroche

Voluntary carbon markets (VCMs) have a strong potential, notably to help bridge the climate finance gap, especially for Africa.

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Taiwan's Energy Supply: The Achilles Heel of National Security

Date de publication
22 October 2024
Accroche

Making Taiwan a “dead island” through “a blockade” and “disruption of energy supplies” leading to an “economic collapse.” This is how Colonel Zhang Chi of the People’s Liberation Army and professor at the National Defense University in Beijing described the objective of the Chinese military exercises in May 2024, following the inauguration of Taiwan’s new president, Lai Ching-te. Similar to the exercises that took place after Nancy Pelosi’s visit to Taipei in August 2022, China designated exercise zones facing Taiwan’s main ports, effectively simulating a military embargo on Taiwan. These maneuvers illustrate Beijing’s growing pressure on the island, which it aims to conquer, and push Taiwan to question its resilience capacity.

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India’s Broken Power Economics : Addressing DISCOM Challenges

Date de publication
15 October 2024
Accroche

India’s electricity demand is rising at an impressive annual rate of 9%. From 2014 to 2023, the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) surged from 1.95 trillion dollars ($) to $3.2 trillion (constant 2015 US$), and the nation is poised to maintain this upward trajectory, with projected growth rates exceeding 7% in 2024 and 2025.  Correspondingly, peak power demand has soared from 136 gigawatts (GW) in 2014 to 243 GW in 2024, positioning India as the world’s third-largest energy consumer. In the past decade, the country has increased its power generation capacity by a remarkable 190 GW, pushing its total installed capacity beyond 400 GW. 

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