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The primary elections resulted in unexpected candidates: no one received a majority of votes in their own camp. Democrat electorate underwent profound changes on account of the “whiteworking class” fading and Obama is at risk to end up with an outstanding racial prejudice. Although McCain is faring better in Democrat states, he does not fit well with the republican electorate. Hence, the results of the election are highly unpredictable.Jolyon Howorth is Professor at Yale University and Senior Research Associate at Ifri.