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Energy - Climate

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In the face of the climate emergency and geopolitical confrontations, how can we reconcile security of supply, competitiveness, accessibility, decarbonization and acceptability? What policies are needed?

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Wind turbines generating sustainable energy amidst a green field.
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Publications
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L’Égypte, nouvelle plateforme gazière en Méditerranée orientale

Date de publication
03 September 2018
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Recent offshore gas discoveries in the Eastern Mediterranean, primarily in Egypt as well as in Israel, but also around Cyprus, are dramatically changing these countries' energy perspectives and economies, and also influence geopolitical balances in the region. 

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Romania: a key player in the Energy Union for the security of natural gas supply?

Date de publication
01 August 2018
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In 2015, Maroš Šefcovic, Vice President of the European Commission for Energy Union, was writing about Romania as being «at a crossroads - both in strategic and physical terms.

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The Expansion of Offshore Wind Power in the North Sea: A Strategic Opportunity for the European Union

Date de publication
16 July 2018
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The North Sea is the cradle of the global offshore wind industry. The favourable wind patterns in the Southern part and the low depth of water have created an enabling environment for the construction of the first wind turbines in the world.  Public policies have progressively encouraged their deployment in the best-endowed countries: Belgium, Denmark, Germany, the Netherlands and the United-Kingdom. 

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Navigating the Storm: ‘OPEC+’ Producers Facing Lower Oil Prices

Date de publication
18 June 2018
Accroche

On 22 June 2018, “OPEC+” oil Ministers (Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries members and an ad hoc alliance with several non-OPEC producers, notably with Russia, Kazakhstan and Azerbaijan) will gather in Vienna to discuss the status and future of their production limitation agreement which was initiated in November 2016 and runs until the end of December 2018.

Marc-Antoine EYL-MAZZEGA Carole MATHIEU Elodie BERNARD Philippe COPINSCHI Saïd NACHET Isabelle ROUSSEAU
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Coal Exit or Coal Expansion? A Review of Coal Market Trends and Policies in 2017

Date de publication
31 May 2018
Accroche

Coal in the power sector is the principal focus of climate-related policies due to its high carbon intensity, making CO2 emissions from coal a leading contributor to climate change. 

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Oil Exploration and Production in Africa since 2014. Evolution of the Key Players and their Strategies

Date de publication
17 May 2018
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The fall in oil prices, which began in fall 2014, had a significant influence on the strategies of the key players in the oil industry in Africa. 

More renewables in the European Union? Yes, we can

Date de publication
13 April 2018
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The European Union is about to adopt new renewable energy targets for 2030. While going beyond the initially-planned 27% is absolutely feasible, the EU strategy can only be credible if it is based on a good mix between performance and effort obligations, and also includes possible review clauses.

China’s National Carbon Market: a Game Changer in the Making?

Date de publication
22 March 2018
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As 2017 drew to close, China officially approved plans for its long-awaited national Emission Trading Scheme (ETS) and the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) outlined some of the implementation details[1]. Though it will be limited to the power sector (and combined heat and power, or CHP) at first, it will nevertheless be the world’s largest carbon market. It is expected to cover 1,700 companies representing approximately 30% of China’s total greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. China’s CO2 emissions from fuel combustion amounted to approximately 8,796 metric tonnes of CO2 equivalent (MtCO2Eq.) in 2016, and seem to remain stable since 2014, though they appear to increase again in 2017[2]. Shanghai should host the national market exchange, which will be jointly owned by the governments of other provinces while Hubei should host the registry[3].

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Trump's Tax Reform and Trade Policy: Renewables Spared, Oil Industry Wins

Date de publication
15 March 2018
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The energy sector is one where the break between the Trump and Obama administrations is the most pronounced. The three officials in charge, Rick Perry at the Department of Energy (DoE), Scott Pruitt at the Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) and Ryan Zinke at the head of the Department of the Interior (DoI), share the same indifference to the issue of climate change, the same will to encourage oil and gas production in the USA in order to bring an era of American “energy dominance”, the same desire to promote the extraction of “beautiful, clean coal”, to paraphrase President Trumps’s State of the Union address, and the same deep mistrust of renewable energies such as wind and solar.

The Gazprom-Naftogaz Stockholm Arbitration Awards: Time for Settlements and Responsible Behaviour

Date de publication
13 March 2018
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The signing in January 2009 of the gas supply and transit contracts between Gazprom and Naftogaz marked a turning point in Russian-Ukrainian gas relations: yearly intergovernmental, last minute and non-transparent winter deals were replaced by a predictable, long term commercial relationship. 

Renewables in Transport: Directive 2009/28/EC - Devils in its Details

Date de publication
10 February 2011
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This Actuelle precedes a longer and more exhaustive paper on Electric Vehicles, under the title "The Electric Vehicle in the Climate Change Race: Tortoise, Hare or both?" by Maïté de Boncourt.

As part of the 3*20 targets reached in December 2008, the EC decided that the EU should, by 2020, source 20% of its Final Energy Consumption (FEC) renewably. 

Sam WILKIN

Arctic Solutions: The Frozen (Thawing) Relations of the High North

Date de publication
02 February 2011
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It’s cold, inhospitable and deadly. The image of the Arctic in years past is one of bewilderment, ignorance and awe. How the image of the Arctic has changed in recent years can be directly linked to our recognition that the Arctic has a great deal to offer in meeting the basic needs of future generations. 

Christopher SUMMERS

EU Council Feb 4: Strength in Unity

Date de publication
01 February 2011
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Community officials and heads of EU states and governments will meet this Friday February 4, 2011, at a Council called by President Herman VAN ROMPUY, to address energy security. There are many critical topics that could be on the table, but there is some considerable risk that the events in Lebanon, Yemen, Egypt, Tunisia and now Jordan could hijack the agenda. That would be unfortunate, as the problems in those countries are precisely why the Council should stay focused on energy and the growing European vulnerability to what happens in world energy markets.

The Electric Vehicle in the Climate Change Race: Tortoise, Hare or Both?

Date de publication
31 January 2011
Accroche

Europe is seeking ways to decrease the growing negative impact of passenger cars on climate, currently responsible for up to 12% of total EU CO2 emissions. After biofuels in the nineties and hydrogen in 2000, the new answer to climate change appears to be electric. But contrary to many marketing messages, electric cars are not zero emissions cars. They will not necessarily contribute to actual CO2 emission reductions before 2020 and even then, not in every country. 

Energy Efficiency: Smart but not Sexy

Date de publication
23 January 2011
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Marie C. DONNELLY, DG Energy, reported that the EU is “unlikely to achieve a 20% reduction on the current set of policies” [1] by 2020. According to her, based on a modelling exercise, the estimate of energy savings “would be somewhere between 9 and 11% on current policies” in spite of the contribution of the economic crisis to decreasing the EU primary energy consumption.

Yamina SAHEB
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OIL AND GAS DELIVERY TO EUROPE - AN OVERVIEW OF EXISTING AND PLANNED INFRASTRUTURES

Oil and Gas Delivery to Europe: An Overview of Existing and Planned Infrastructures. New Edition

Date de publication
16 January 2011
Accroche

The European Union’s hydrocarbon energy supply depends heavily on imports. While the European Commission has recommended diversifying and increasing domestic resources, notably with renewable resources which should grow to 20% by 2020, dependence on hydrocarbon imports will remain not only substantial, but will increase.

2020 And Beyond: 2050 in light of the Copenhagen Accord

Date de publication
04 November 2010
Accroche

At the end of the Copenhagen Conference of December 2009, the attending parties failed to agree on a legally binding commitment, but ultimately signed the Copenhagen Accord. The countries signing this accord took different engagements in respect to their economic and emissions status. 

Christoph MEYER

Wind Power: a Victim of Policy and Politics?

Date de publication
11 October 2010
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In December 2008, as part of the fight against climate change, the European Union adopted the Energy and Climate package that endorsed three objectives toward 2020: a 20% increase in energy efficiency, a 20% reduction in GHG emissions (compared to 1990), and a 20% share of renewables in final energy consumption.

 

Spat in the East China Sea Offers Lesson on Raw Material Dependence

Date de publication
28 September 2010
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There is a valuable lesson to be learned about raw material dependence from the tensions between China and Japan in the East China Sea. It’s not about the oil and gas that is thought to be stored under the seabed in disputed waters, but rather the so-called “rare earth elements”, of which China produces 97% of the global supply.

Nordstream: Just-in-time?

Date de publication
28 September 2010
Accroche

Last week the gritty Russian/Ukrainian gas relationship was back in the press. This time the issue appeared to be Ukraine’s efforts to secure lower prices for its consumers - perhaps even on a par with Russia’s domestic consumers. The Ukrainians must surely know that to qualify for those kinds of special prices available previously only to politically compliant neighbors - Ukraine would have to return to some form of pre-Orange Revolution relationship with Mother Russia.

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Related centers and programs
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Climate & Energy
Center for Energy & Climate
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Ifri's Energy and Climate Center carries out activities and research on the geopolitical and geoeconomic issues of energy transitions such as energy security, competitiveness, control of value chains, and acceptability. Specialized in the study of European energy/climate policies as well as energy markets in Europe and around the world, its work also focuses on the energy and climate strategies of major powers such as the United States, China or India. It offers recognized expertise, enriched by international collaborations and events, particularly in Paris and Brussels.

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