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Gulf States: A Paradoxical Economic Lifeline for Sudan

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For decades, Gulf states have provided crucial financial assistance to Sudan. Gulf interest in Sudan is driven by economic benefits and geopolitical competition, though each country has its own interests and approach. 

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Photo aérienne de magasins de nourriture et de récoltes à l'ouest de la ville d'Omdurman (Soudan) pillés et brûlés en juin 2023.
Photo aérienne de magasins de nourriture et de récoltes à l'ouest de la ville d'Omdurman (Soudan) pillés et brûlés en juin 2023.
Shutterstock / nom du photographe
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On the other hand, the Gulf’s appeal to Sudan is three-fold. First, they have quickly available money when others are shying away. In recent years, Gulf states have become the primary sources of foreign direct investment and first trade partners. Second, their indifference toward sanctions has helped the government and Sudanese businesses to navigate the difficult twenty years of American sanctions. Third, while Sudan’s conflicts are ignored by everyone, Gulf countries are ready to mediate. 

Yet, Gulf economic engagement in Sudan has created an unbalanced situation where Sudan was obliged to give political and economic concessions against the Gulf cash largesse. This vital source of money has helped to consolidate and prolong the authoritarian regimes of Jaafer Mohamed Nimeiri and Omar Hassan al-Bashir. The current conflict has interrupted the Gulf projects and shrank private investment. Still, it is unlikely to halt the Gulf economic engagement in Sudan, at least because Sudan could leverage their food insecurity and the Red Sea threats.

 

Note produced by Ifri for the Directorate General of International Relations and Strategy (DGRIS) of the French Ministry of the Armed Forces as part of the East and Central Africa Observatory in partnership with the French Institute for Research in Africa (IFRA-Nairobi).

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979-10-373-0898-6

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Gulf States: A Paradoxical Economic Lifeline for Sudan

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Macro view of a political map of Ethiopia
East and Central Africa Observatory
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The East and Central Africa Observatory is a 3-year research project (2023-2025) that Ifri is carrying out jointly with the French Institute of Research in Africa (IFRA) in Nairobi for the French Ministry of Defense, and more specifically its International Relations and Strategy Division (DGRIS). This observatory focuses on the main political, security and geopolitical developments taking place in the geographical areas covered by itself. This is achieved through the regular production of research notes, in English or French and the organization of an annual seminar around a key theme. For our research notes and conferences, we call on internationally acknowledged experts in the topics covered. This Observatory began in 2016, under the title of Observatory of Central and Southern Africa within Ifri's Sub-Saharan Africa Center. 55 notes were drafted between 2016 and 2020.

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Subsaharan Africa
Sub-Saharan Africa Center
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Founded in 2007, Ifri's Sub-Saharan Africa center produces an in-depth analysis of the African continent and its security, geopolitical, political and socio-economic dynamics (in particular the phenomenon of urbanization). The Center aims to be both, through various publications and conferences, a space for disseminating analyzes intended for the media and the public but also a decision-making tool for political and economic actors with regard to the continent.

The center produces analyses for various organizations such as the Ministry of the Armed Forces, the Ministry of Europe and Foreign Affairs, the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD), the French Development Agency (AFD) and even for various private supports. Its researchers are regularly interviewed by parliamentary committees.

The organization of events of various formats complements the production of analyzes by bringing the different spheres of the public space (academic, political, media, economic and civil society) to meet and exchange analytical tools and visions of the continent. The Sub-Saharan Africa Center regularly welcomes political leaders from different sub-Saharan African countries.

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Photo aérienne de magasins de nourriture et de récoltes à l'ouest de la ville d'Omdurman (Soudan) pillés et brûlés en juin 2023.
Shutterstock / nom du photographe

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Gulf States: A Paradoxical Economic Lifeline for Sudan