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Middle East, the new "Great Game"

Issues from Politique Etrangère
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Will a divided Middle East become the center of a new “Great Game”? The world’s global powers are aligned in it: the United States, falsely tempted by retraction; Russia, establishing its position in an unexpected state of play, France, destabilized by the contradictions of its own policy… In addition are tussles for regional hegemony between Iran, Turkey, and Saudi Arabia.

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Corps analyses

The map is being radically redrawn around Syria and Iraq, an area which will no doubt play a determinant role in the world’s future.

The European Union is absent once again from the new “Great Game”. The EU is bogged down in its own crises; the assault of all breeds of populism, and fissures reopened by authoritarian shifts in central Europe, constitute the more concerning political signs. Are the members of the European Union the agents of its collapse?

The globalized world is also organized around international commercial negotiations: the global approach of the WTO, regional approaches within areas of free trade, and more plurilateral approaches. Which dynamic will dominate and determine the nature of future systems of exchange?

The Middle East, European crises, international exchanges: Politique étrangère focuses on three dimensions of international disorder for which developments over coming months are likely to play a preponderant role.

 

FOCUS MIDDLE EAST, A NEW "GREAT GAME"

 

The Middle East thats awaits for America’s New Administration, by John McLaughlin (read the article)

Russia in the Middle East: Back to a Grand Strategy or Enforcing Multilateralism?, by Ekaterina Stepanova (read the article)

Iran’s Place in the Middle-Eastern Crisis, by Mohammad-Reza Djalili

The Constricted Emancipation of Saudi Arabia’s Foreign Policy, by Louis Blin

Turkey’s Search for a New Position in the Middle East, by Jean Marcou

French Contradictions in the Middle East, by Georges Malbrunot

 

COUNTER ANALYSIS Populism's Challenge to Europe

Central Europe Authoritarian Challenge, by Georges Mink

The Assault of Extremism, Populism, and Nationalism in Europe, by Jean-Dominique Giuliani

 

CURRENT AFFAIRS

Hezbollah and the Syrian War, by Matthieu Cimino

TTIP: too Big to Fail?, by Elvire Fabry

Is Commercial Plurilateralism an Opportunity for Developing Countries?, by Michel Dupuy

 

BAROMETERS

Geopolitics and the Ageing Population, by Gérard-François Dumont

States and National Oil Companies: Phenomena of the Past or Future?, by Marc-Antoine Pérouse de Montclos

South Africa: the Good International Nuclear Citizen?, by Emmanuelle Maitre

 

BOOK REVIEWS

Directed by Marc Hecker

The Deep State: The Fall of the Constitution and the Rise of a Shadow Government, by Mike Lofgren; America Ascendant. A Revolutionary Nation's Path to Addressing Its Deepest Problems and Leading the 21st Century, by Stanley B. Greenberg, by Laurence Nardon.

 

This content is available in French: L'éditorial de Politique étrangère, vol. 81, n° 2, printemps 2016.

This content is available in French: Les lectures de Politique étrangère, vol. 81, n° 2, printemps 2016.

This content is available in French: Le dossier de presse de Politique étrangère, vol. 81, n° 2, printemps 2016.

 

 

Decoration

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ISBN / ISSN

978-2-36567-499-7 / 0032-342 X

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Süleymaniye Mosque, Istanbul, Türkiye
Turkey/Middle East Program
Accroche centre

Ifri's Turkey/Middle East Program aims to provide expertise on the trends and developments in politics, societies and economies across the region.

The programme has the following objectives:

  • Proposing a new approach towards the MENA region through an analysis of local, regional, and international dynamics with the potential to guide and influence new policies.
  • Highlighting the role of foreign powers which have traditionally been present in the region and analyzing the new role taken on by emerging countries ;
  • Anticipating new directions and outlooks in each country.
  • Interpreting risks and potentials and putting forward new templates for analysis.

The programme has built a dense network of researchers and experts who provide expertise on the MENA region and working together on a range of crosscutting themes.

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Out of Thin Air but More than a Mirage: The Politics of Saudi Arabia's Nascent Music Industry

Date de publication
18 December 2024
Accroche

This study critically examines Saudi Arabia’s nascent music industry, which is promoted as a key element of Vision 2030, Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman’s strategic framework to diversify the kingdom’s economy. It explores how state-led investments in music and entertainment intersect with authoritarian governance. The author neither dismisses these investments as conspicuous spending nor reproduces an alarmist narrative of impending cultural imperialism. The article takes a political sociology approach to understand how Saudi entertainment plans consolidate domestic power and reshape regional cultural landscapes.

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Hostage diplomacy of the Islamic Republic of Iran. The case of Europeans detained in Iran

Date de publication
13 December 2024
Accroche

The so-called hostage diplomacy of the Islamic Republic of Iran refers to a political and diplomatic strategy in which Tehran uses the detention of Western nationals, dual citizens, or Iranian citizens residing in Europe, Australia, or the United States as leverage in diplomatic negotiations. This practice aims to exert pressure to secure political, economic, or diplomatic concessions as part of Tehran’s asymmetric response strategy. Hostage diplomacy remains a controversial yet effective tool from the perspective of the Islamic Republic of Iran, given its context of economic sanctions and diplomatic isolation.

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Is the Republican People’s Party (CHP) Rising from the Ashes?

Date de publication
24 September 2024
Accroche

The victory of the CHP [Cumhuriyet Halk Partisi, Republican People’s Party] in the Turkish municipal elections of March 2024 firmly established it as the leading party of opposition to the Islamic-conservative AKP [Adalet ve Kalkınma Partisi, Justice and Development Party], which has been in power since 2002. 

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Israel-Palestine: One Solution, Two States

Date de publication
07 June 2024
Accroche

First proposed in 1936, the two-state solution has got lost over the course of several Israeli-Arab wars, colonization, the failure of the Oslo Accords, and the strategies of Israeli governments seeking rapprochement with certain Arab regimes. But it is currently the only imaginable solution. The numerous obstacles in its path could be overcome if the United States and its allies decided to impose it on the Israelis and Palestinians in opposition to their short-term visions.

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