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Global Swing States and U.S. Strategy

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Chroniques américaines
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Global Swing States and U.S. Strategy
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Defending and renewing the global order is a priority for the United States and Europe. An important part of this effort will be accomplished if transatlantic partners can successfully engage four “global swing states” — Brazil, India, Indonesia and Turkey — in the management of global issues, because of their geopolitical and economic status, as well as their desire to have a stronger voice in the various international forums. Successful engagement of these nations will be key to preserving the international order and U.S. leadership.

Corps analyses

At a time of growing challenges to international peace and prosperity and intensifying resource constraints, working with emerging powers to defend and renew the global order has become increasingly central to U.S. strategy. Compared to the Asia “pivot” unveiled during the first Obama administration, U.S. engagement of emerging powers has generated little publicity and comparatively modest interest from longtime U.S. partners in Europe. Yet the stakes are high. The choices made by a handful of economically dynamic, strategically located, rising democracies — “global swing states” — may decisively nudge the international order toward renewal or fragmentation. If the United States, its transatlantic allies, and these key emerging powers can come together to strengthen a system on which all depend, they are more likely to thrive. If the global order instead becomes less cohesive, they — and the broader world — will suffer the consequences.

 

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Global Swing States and U.S. Strategy

Decoration
Author(s)
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Illustration Programme Amériques
Americas Program
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Ifri's work on the Americas region focuses mainly on the United States. Indeed, for more than 20 years, Ifri's Americas Program has provided keys to understanding American society and domestic policy while shedding light on developments in the country's foreign policy, including transatlantic relations and trade issues. 

 

Since 2023, a specific axis on Latin America structures more actively Ifri's research on this region.

 

Ifri's Canada program was active in 2015 and 2016.

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Donald Trump v. the States: the Case of New York

Date de publication
21 March 2025
Accroche

While the disruptive policies of the second Trump administration are being implemented at the federal level and on the international stage, they are also being felt in the federal states and major cities across the country. In the spring of 2025, several cases involving the state and city of New York demonstrate that the president’s attacks on environmental protection, the separation of powers, freedom of speech, etc., are also being carried out at the local level.

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How the US under Trump Became a Strategic and Ideological Adversary of Europe

Date de publication
21 February 2025
Accroche

The Europeans' worst security nightmare seems to be coming true: on Tuesday, February 18, 2025, U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov met in Saudi Arabia to initiate the normalization of relations between their two countries. The meeting also aimed to set up peace negotiations for Ukraine. However, despite having the potential to affect the entire continent, the discussions took place without the Europeans or the Ukrainians being present.

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Will Trumpian Authoritarianism Lead to a Constitutional Crisis?

Date de publication
14 February 2025
Accroche

Since his return to the White House on January 20, 2025, President Donald Trump has signed around sixty executive orders to implement his political agenda. Numerous other measures have also been introduced by the White House and the new Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) as part of these orders. 

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Trump’s Second Term: Laying the Groundwork for a New Trade War

Date de publication
07 February 2025
Accroche

In a statement released on February 1, 2025, President Trump announced the implementation of a 10% tariff on Chinese goods and a 25% tariff on imports from Canada and Mexico. While the former took effect via executive order on February 4, the latter were granted a 30-day reprieve. Sanctions targeting European Union (EU) products are said to be imminent.

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Global Swing States and U.S. Strategy

Global Swing States and U.S. Strategy