If Donald Trump is re-elected, he is likely to pursue a foreign policy consistent with that of his first term. In the event of a Democratic victory, we would see a partial return to the fundamentals of Barack Obama's diplomacy. The Sino-American confrontation will undoubtedly be the central issue of the next few years. On this matter, the Democrats would not totally abandon Trump's legacy.

Laurence Nardon is Research Fellow, Head of Ifri's North America Program

Article published in Politique étrangère, Vol. 85, No. 2, Summer 2020