What Forecast for Crimea?
Since Russia’s annexation of Crimea in 2014, the peninsula’s demographics have changed. Thousands have left and new arrivals – Ukrainians fleeing conflict in the east of their country and Russians – have moved in.
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Economy suffers from isolation. Many military sites are under construction, even including a bridge linking Crimea to the Caucasus. In Russia, the military operation has been a boon to Vladimir Putin’s popularity.
Catherine Iffly is political consultant.
Article published in Politique étrangère, Vol. 82, No. 2, Summer 2017