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Strategic Stability Reconsidered: Prospects for Escalation and Nuclear War in the Middle East

Proliferation Papers, n° 26, printemps 2009

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Unstable dynamics surrounding Iran's nuclear program may be pushing the world closer to the use of nuclear weapons than is generally realized – perhaps closer than any time since the Cuban missile crisis. This paper proposes a number of near- and longer-term scenarios to illustrate the ways in which structural uncertainties in the regional interstate bargaining framework could result in the use of nuclear weapons.

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