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La crise idéologique du Parti républicain

Aurélie GODET

Potomac Paper 17, June 2013

The Republican Party's increasingly conservative bent has left it more and more at odds with the countries’ growing minorities. In preparation for the 2016 election, a serious debate on the GOP's stance is now underway between far-right...

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Cyberguerre. En quête d'une stratégie

Michel BAUD

Focus stratégique n° 44, mai 2013

Cyberspace, as a major but intricate field of action, represents both a challenge and a great strategic advantage. At a time when information technology affects all relationships at a global level, states are destabilized by growing dependence on...

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La pauvreté en Europe : où en est l'Allemagne?

Christoph SCHRÖDER

Note du Cerfa n°101b, mai 2013

Cette note vient en complément de la Note du Cerfa 101a rédigée par Brigitte Lestrade « Entre réussite économique et précarité sociale : l’Allemagne dix ans après les lois Hartz...

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The European Gas Market: a Reality Check

Laura PARMIGIANI

Note de l'Ifri, May 2013

Executive Summary With the approach of the 2014 deadline for the completion of a truly European liberalised energy market, there is growing concern on the adequacy of the market structure with the changed economic and geopolitical environment....

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Entre réussite économique et précarité sociale: l'Allemagne dix ans après les lois Hartz

Brigitte LESTRADE

Note du Cerfa n°101a, mai 2013

Dix ans après la conception des lois Hartz, cette réforme emblématique du marché du travail en Allemagne, qui a suscité – et suscite encore – des débats passionnés, il est possible de...

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Afghanistan after 2014: The Way Forward for Russia

Ekaterina STEPANOVA

Russie.Nei.Visions No. 71, May 2013

It may appear that Russia is equally dissatisfied with both Western security’s presence in and its departure from Afghanistan planned for 2014, but whether the Western withdrawal is seen as more of a gain a loss depends on how Moscow itself...

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Афганистан после 2014: перспективы для России

Екатерина Степанова

Russie.Nei.Visions №71, Май 2013

Может показаться, что Россия в равной...

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Offshore Gas in East Mediterranean: From Myth to Reality

Maïté de BONCOURT

Note de l'Ifri, May 2013

The wave of deep offshore and unconventional gas and oil exploration projects, rendered economically feasible by relatively high prices and new technologies, has reached the shores of the Mediterranean. Levantine countries, including Cyprus, Israel,...

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The Primacy of Alliance: Deterrence and European Security

Lawrence FREEDMAN

Proliferation Papers, No. 46, March-April 2013

Since the end of the Cold War, the international security environment has been transformed and nuclear weapons have been marginalized in the West. However, the NATO security policies remain almost unchanged: deterrence is still considered as a...

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A class defined "by consumption": The grocery-shopping practices of the Lower-Middle Classes in Johannesburg, South Africa

Elodie ESCUSA,

Note de l'Ifri, April 2013

The black middle class in Johannesburg is a much debated but ill-defined phenomenon, treated more often by economic players than by social scientists. Far from static and clear, the concept of the middle class is for us relevant insofar as it...

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The Conundrum of the Southern Gas Corridor: What are the Risks for Europe and Azerbaijan? The viewpoint of an insider

Anthony LIVANIOS

Actuelles de l'Ifri, April 2013

Executive Summary For more than ten years harsh negotiations among different oil majors and pipeline consortia have been taking place about the Southern Gas Corridor, all of them seeking to transit 10 bcm/year of natural gas that will be...

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Tunisie An III de la révolution

Denis Bauchard

Note de l'Ifri, avril 2013

La Tunisie a été, le 14 janvier 2011, le premier pays arabe à rejeter un pouvoir autocratique par un soulèvement pacifique mobilisé avec un slogan qui s’est révélé efficace : «...

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États-Unis : Le rôle de l'État dans le soutien à l'innovation

Gabrielle DURANA

Potomac Paper 16, April 2013

Even though the private sector brings more funding to innovation programs, the role government plays by hosting and/or funding research projects remains key. Only the public sector can pursue the long term projects with no foreseeable profitability...

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Transition énergétique à la chinoise : le nouveau plan quinquennal énergétique

Sylvie CORNOT-GANDOLPHE

Actuelles de l'Ifri, April 2013

A la suite de la publication, en mars 2011, de son douzième plan quinquennal, le Conseil d’État de la Chine a récemment publié deux documents  portant sur la politique énergétique de la Chine au...

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Российская энергетическая политика на востоке: китайские головоломки Роснефти

Нина Пусенкова

Russie.Nei.Visions №70, Апрель 2013

В прошлом десятилетии Россия поставила...

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Policy Brief - Les républicains et la politique étrangère américaine : quelles perspectives pour 2016 ?

Laurence NARDON

Series on the Future of US Leadership, April 2013

The future candidates for the 2016 Republican presidential primary will be expected to develop a clear foreign policy agenda and prove the GOP’s credibility on foreign affairs issue. While unilateralists and internationalists currently argue...

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Russia's Eastern Energy Policy: A Chinese Puzzle for Rosneft

Nina POUSSENKOVA

Russie.NEI.Visions, No. 70, April 2013

In the past decade Russia set a strategic goal: to develop the Eastern vector of its energy policy and strengthen oil and gas cooperation with the Asia-Pacific countries. While dialogue on gas with China was stalled, Rosneft, the country's...

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Defence Reform in the United Kingdom: A Twenty-First Century Paradox

John LOUTH

Focus stratégique, No. 43, March 2013

The context of budgetary constraint offered a strong incentive for the 2010 Coalition Government to improve its management of defence equipment. Before that, the previous Labour governments already focused on smart acquisition so that the...

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ASEAN-India Political Cooperation: How to reinforce a much-needed pillar?

Sophie BOISSEAU DU ROCHER

Asie.Visions 63, March 2013

India is one of Southeast Asia’s principal neighbors and there is certainly great potential for cooperation with the region and its institutional representation, ASEAN. But does India properly exploit this opportunity? Is Southeast Asia...

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In Europe, not ruled by Europe: Tough love between Britain and the EU

Vivien PERTUSOT

Note de l'Ifri, March 2013

Discussions of a potential “Brexit”, the United Kingdom leaving the European Union, have sparked debate in Britain, and also across Europe, intensified by the UK veto of the “fiscal compact” at the European Council in...

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The European Commission Energy green paper: a draft to be revised

Jacques LESOURNE

The Energy Editorial, March 213

The European Commission has just made public a green paper devoted to its energy and climate policies until 2030. Presented as a document for discussion the paper is however written in such a way that it may lead to debates avoiding fundamental...

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Dialogue d'avenir franco-allemand : Publications de la promotion 2012 co-allemand

Une initiative de l'Ifri, de la DGAP et de la Fondation Robert Bosch

Le Comité d’études des relations franco-allemandes (Cerfa) de l’Institut français des relations internationales (Ifri) et la Deutsche Gesellschaft für Auswärtige Politik (DGAP) ont lancé le Dialogue...

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Der Vertrag von Prüm – Ergebnis einer engen Zusammenarbeit zwischen Deutschland und Frankreich?

Nele Katharina WISSMANN, Marion GAILLARD

in: Claire Demesmay, Martin Koopmann, Julien Thorel (Hrsg.), "Die Konsenswerkstatt. Deutsch-französische Kommunikations- und Entscheidungsprozesse in der Europapolitik", Baden-Baden, Nomos, 2013, p. 195-209.

http://www.nomos-shop.de/Demesmay-Koopmann-Thorel-Konsenswerkstatt/productview.aspx?product=21029&pac=weco

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Russia-Turkey: A Relationship Shaped by Energy

Rémi BOURGEOT

Russie.NEI.Visions, No. 69 / Note franco-turque, No. 7, March 2013

Deepening energy ties between Turkey and Russia prompt questions as to the balance of power between the two countries, with the former relying heavily on the latter for its energy needs. In light of Europe's diversification efforts and of tensions...

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Россия-Турция, энергетика как основа отношений

Реми Буржо

Russie.NEI.Visions №69/Note franco-turque, №7, март 2013

Активное развитие российско-турецкого...

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The European Refining Crisis: What is at stake for Europe?

Maïté de BONCOURT

Actuelles de l'Ifri, March 2013

The European Refining sector is in crisis. The wave of refineries closures has spared no EU Member States. In less than five years, eleven refineries were simply shut down and no less than seventeen changed ownership in the UK, in France, in...

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Entre idéaux et intérêts : les nouvelles perspectives françaises et allemandes sur le Maghreb

Isabel SCHÄFER

Visions franco-allemandes n°22, février 2013

Le « printemps arabe » a agité la rive sud de la Méditerranée. Ces bouleversements ont mis à l’épreuve les alliances existantes et créé de nouveaux partenariats. Aussi bien la France...

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Un partenariat économique avec l'Asie, une évidence et un défi pour l'Europe

Françoise NICOLAS

Lettre de l'IRSEM, n°3, 2013

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China's Fortress Fleet-in-Being and its Implications for Japan's Security

Tetsuo KOTANI

Asie.Visions 62, February 2013

This paper analyzes the rise of maritime China and its implications for Japan’s security policy. In recent years, Chinese naval capabilities have been growing. Beijing aims to expand its maritime presence in the region, but also to limit the...

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Toujours plus chers ? Complexité des armements et inflation des coûts militaires

Sophie LEFEEZ

Focus stratégique, no. 42, February 2013

While French military expenditures have remained relatively constant over the last ten years, equipment production tended to decrease, resulting in capability gaps. This situation highlights the increasing costs of both acquiring and maintaining...

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L'Énergie photovoltaïque: un outil de développement efficace pour les économies subsahariennes

Karim MEGHERBI

Note de l'Ifri, January 2013

Les coûts de production de l’électricité en Afrique subsaharienne1  sont parmi les plus élevés au monde alors que le taux d’électrification y est le plus faible au monde : environ 30% en...

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A Transatlantic Free Trade Agreement? / Britain's potential exit from the EU

Weimar Triangle Analyses: French, Polish and German viewpoints on European questions

Sur une initiative du IP-Journal, la Société allemande de politique étrangères (DGAP), le Comité d'études des relations franco-allemandes (Cerfa) de l'Institut français des relations internationales...

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Security Partnerships in Japan's Asia Strategy - Creating Order, Building Capacity and Sharing Burden

Ryo SAHASHI

Asie.Visions 61, February 2013

During the last decade, Japan has sought partnership with many Asian nations – the drive remaining strong regardless of ruling parties. Newly elected Prime Minister Shinzo Abe of the Liberal Democratic Party of Japan is to continue this trend...

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Transition énergétique et confusion des idées

Jacques LESOURNE

The Energy Editorial, February 2013

A l’heure où s’engage le débat sur la transition énergétique, presque toutes les professions de foi commencent par une confusion en associant deux phénomènes distincts dans leurs causes et...

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Les nouvelles relations entre l'Inde et les pays du Maghreb

Isabelle SAINT-MEZARD

Note de l'Ifri, février 2013

Ce travail s'intéresse aux relations entre l'Inde et le Maghreb, défini comme comprenant l'Algérie, le Maroc et la Tunisie, ainsi que la Libye et l'Egypte. L'objectif est, dans un premier temps, de comprendre comment...

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Global Coal Trade from Tightness to Oversupply

Sylvie CORNOT-GANDOLPHE

Note de l'ifri, February 2013

Over the past four years, international coal trade has been reshaped by China’s surging imports.  China, which was still a net exporter in 2008, became the world’s first coal importer in 2011, taking over the position that Japan...

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Entrepreneurs and Migration: The Case of Sweden

Karin KRIFORS

Center for Migrations and Citizenship - February 2013

The « Swedish Model » of labor immigration management came to a turning point with the 2008 reform. This major reform consisted in a deregulation of the labor market, which until then had only opened a limited number of...

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Le Maghreb vu de Chine : perceptions et orientations au lendemain des printemps arabes

Alice EKMAN

Note de l'Ifri, février 2013

Ces deux dernières années ont été marquées par les mouvements de protestation dans le monde arabe. Ces mouvements ont été suivis avec la plus grande attention par les autorités chinoises,...

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Les contradictions de la politique kurde d'Ankara : leçons tirées des grèves de la faim de 2012

Delphine NERBOLLIER

Repères sur la Turquie n° 9, Actuelle de l'Ifri, 18 février 2013

Les grèves de la faim menées durant l'automne 2012 par des centaines de militants kurdes ont polarisé à outrance les positions en Turquie autour de la question kurde. Mais elles ont aussi réussi à imposer...

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Japan and the South China Sea: Forging Strategic Partnerships in a Divided Region

Céline PAJON

Asie.Visions 60, January 2013

In the midst of growing tensions with China, Japan is deepening its strategic engagement in Southeast Asia. Preserving stability in the South China Sea, which is threatened by renewed frictions around contested territories, is a vital interest...

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Qu'est-ce qu'une puissance au XXIe siècle ?

Thierry de MONTBRIAL

DIscours à l'Académie des Sciences morales et politiques, 7 janvier 2013

Avant de tenter d’éclairer cette question, il convient de s’entendre sur les concepts. Celui de puissance, qui s’applique à toute unité active et en particulier à toute unité politique1, est...

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Command and Control in a Nuclear-Armed Iran

Shahram CHUBIN

Proliferation Papers no. 45, January-February 2013

In the long standoff regarding its nuclear ambition, Iran has cultivated ambiguity and been loath to reliably assure the international community of its ultimate intentions, complicating Western efforts to understand, let alone constrain,...

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Les migrants en Allemagne : le débat sur l'intégration

Nele Katharina WISSMANN

Note du Cerfa n°100, janvier 2013

L’étude de la question de l’intégration est encore relativement nouvelle en Allemagne, qui n’a pris conscience que très récemment de son statut de pays d’immigration. Or une telle reconnaissance...

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Next Steps in the US Pivot to Asia

Ely RATNER

Annual Conference on the United States 2012

Ely Ratner, Fellow, Center for a New American Security, analyses the origin and key elements of the US Pivot to Asia and defines its new steps. Annual Conference, December 7th, 2012. Watch the video

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How to bounce back to growth?

Florence PISANI

Annual Conference on the United States 2012

Florence Pisani, economist, Dexia Asset Management, provides us with a most comprehensive analysis about whether or not the US current signs of macroeconomic improvement are to be trusted. Annual Conference on the United States, December 7th,...

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Where does American nationalism stand today?

Anatol LIEVEN

Annual Conference on the United States 2012

Anatol Lieven, Professor War Studies Department, King's College explains to us the main characteristics of American nationalism and where it currently stands. Annual Conference on the United-States December 7th, 2012. Watch video

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Governors, Oligarchs, and Siloviki: Oil and Power in Russia

Ahmed MEHDI et Shamil YENIKEYEFF

Russia.NEI.Visions No. 68, February 2013

The contest for control of Russia’s oil industry has been an integral feature of the country’s politics ever since the collapse of the Soviet Union. Therefore, an assessment of political elite dynamics and the competition for control...

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Губернаторы, олигархи и силовики: нефть и власть в России

Шамиль Еникеев и Ахмед Мехди

Russie.NEI.Visions 68, Февраль 2013

Борьба за активы нефтяной...

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Policy Brief - The Future of the American Leadership, between Renewal and Delegation

Alexandra DE HOOP SCHEFFER,

Series on the Future of U.S. Leadership, february, 2013

In an effort to preserve its global leadership, the United States has engaged in a “double rebalancing”; a geopolitical rebalancing, as illustrated by the “pivot to Asia,” and a rebalancing of means, with the Obama...

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Winning in Libya: By Design or Default?

Michael W. KOMETER, Stephen E. WRIGHT

Focus stratégique, No. 41, January 2013

The 2011 insurgency in Libya brought about the demise of Supreme Leader Mouammar Qadhafi. A NATO-led coalition operated to meet a unique United Nations mandate including an arms embargo, no-fly zone, and the requirement to protect the population...

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Policy Brief - The Future of U.S. Leadership

Laurence NARDON - Alexandra DE HOOP SCHEFFER

Series on the Future of U.S. Leadership, february 2013

The French Institute for International Relations (IFRI) and The German Marshall Fund of the United States – France (GMF)have partnered to launch a joint research program on the transformations of U.S. leadership by the year 2020. This project,...

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OMC: quel impact pour le secteur agricole russe ?

Pascal GROUIEZ

Russia.NEI.Reports No. 15, December 2012

L’article analyse les impacts envisageables de l’adhésion de la Russie à l’OMC pour son secteur agricole. Il met en évidence que les exploitations agricoles seront différemment touchées par ce...

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France-Allemagne : le présent en perspective

Alfred GROSSER

Visions franco-allemandes, n°20, janvier 2013

Au moment où la France et l’Allemagne célèbrent les 50 ans du traité de l’Élysée, Alfred Grosser revient sur l’histoire de cette coopération bilatérale. Ce grand...

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The Gulf countries' Energy Strategies. What's on the Menu for the Power Sector?

Maïté de BONCOURT

Note de l'ifri, January 2013

The futuristic green city of Masdar in the United Arab Emirates or the latest announcements of Saudi Arabia which might now well become the new Eldorado for solar energy companies have a clear marketing varnish. But if they are showcases of...

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Deja Vu with BMD: The Improbability of Russia-NATO Missile Defense

Richard WEITZ

Russie.Nei.Visions, No 67, January 2013

Consistent attempts by the US and NATO to cooperate on ballistic missile defenses have long divided Russia and the West. The failed talks on this issue have built a foundation of frustration that has reinforced the general lack of trust among the...

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Противоракетная оборона: трудности сотрудничества России и НАТО

Ричард ВАЙЦ

Russie.Nei.Visions, n°67, январь 2013

Вопрос противоракетной обороны (ПРО) уже...

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La France, l'Allemagne et la défense européenne : pour plus de pragmatisme et moins de pathos

Claudia MAJOR

Visions franco-allemandes, n°20, janvier 2013

Alors que le 50e anniversaire du traité de l’Élysée va être célébré en janvier 2013, la coopération franco-allemande en matière de défense ne vit pas ses heures les plus...

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La résilience nigérienne à l'épreuve de la guerre au Mali

L'Afrique en questions n°15,

Mathieu Pellerin, Actuelle de l'Ifri, February 2013

« Le silence au nord du Niger précède sans doute la tempête ». Cette inquiétude confiée par un humanitaire touareg basé à Agadez avant l’opération Serval est...

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The Defense Budget in France: Between Denial and Decline

Martial FOUCAULT

Focus stratégique no. 36 bis, December 2012

Although defense spending is the fourth budget item in France, it is rarely a matter of public debate. During the past three decades, defense has been affected in turn by the desire to rip the benefit of the post-Cold War “peace...

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Trading Freely with East Asia: Challenges and Opportunities for EU FTAs in the Region

Conference Report, Center for Asian Studies, 13 November 2012

As the fastest growing region in the world, East Asia is an important partner for the European Union, particularly at a time of economic difficulty. Asian countries have weathered the recent financial and economic crisis much better than Europe and...

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The U.S. Oil and Gas Boom

John BRODMAN,

Chroniques Américaines, December 2012

(This Chronique was originally published by Ifri’s Center on Energy) A funny thing happened in the last few years when no one was paying attention. J.R. Ewing, the legendary Texas oilman, and his wife Sue Ellen sold Southfork, their ranch...

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Chine et investissements internationaux – vers une normalisation

Françoise NICOLAS

in Arès Mathieu et Eric Boulanger (dir.), L'investissement et la nouvelle économie mondiale : trajectoires nationales, réseaux mondiaux et normes internationales, Coll. Mondialisation et droit international, Bruylant, 2012

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Powering Kuwait into the 21st Century: Alternatives for Power Generation

Maïté de BONCOURT

Note de l'Ifri, December 2012

Kuwait is facing a surge in the consumption of power. The current power fuel mix, based on oil, appears unsustainable. Yet Kuwait has a large number of assets. The power fuel mix can be optimized and diversified to include alternatives to oil...

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Solar Photovoltaic Energy Policy in Europe: Losing Sight of What is Right

Cherrelle EID

Note de l'Ifri, December 2012

Europe has set ambitious but drastic targets in order to fight climate change. The 20-20-20 objectives demonstrate this. By 2020, emissions are to be reduced by 20%, the share of renewable energy sources (RES) in energy consumption is targeted...

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Transition énergétique et nucléaire en France : je t'aime, moi non plus

Maïté JAUREGUY-NAUDIN

Actuelles, Centre Energie Ifri, December 2012

De 1945 à 1973, durant les « trente glorieuses », la France connait la période de croissance économique la plus forte de son histoire. Dans le même temps, la dépendance à l’égard du...

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Ballistic Missile Defense in Japan: Deterrence and Military Transformation

Sugio TAKAHASHI

Asie.Visions No. 59/Proliferation Papers No. 44, December 2012

In December 2003, Japan decided to be the second country in the Asia-Pacific to deploy a ballistic missile defense (BMD) system. Started in the 1980s as a defense industry cooperation initiative, BMD efforts have been highly prioritized since the...

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The social and political evolutions of U.S. public opinion as shown by the November vote

John ZOGBY

Annual Conference on the United States 2012

John Zogby, Senior Analyst, JZ Analytics, examines the social and political evolutions of U.S. public opinion as shown by the November vote. Annual Conference on the United-States, December 7th, 2012. Watch the video  

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China's Two-Track Foreign Policy - From Ambiguous to Clear-Cut Positions

Alice EKMAN

Asie.Visions 58, December 2012

This analysis examines the current ambiguities, priorities and approaches of Chinese foreign policy from a practitioner’s perspective, taking into account experiences of Beijing-based diplomats (interviews conducted in 2011 and 2012), in...

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Un moteur bridé : les résistances à l'intégration européenne en France et en Allemagne

Yann-Sven RITTELMEYER, Hans STARK

in Hans Stark, Martin Koopmann et Joachim Schild (dir.), "Les relations franco-allemandes dans une Europe unifiée. Réalisations et défis", Presses universitaires de Bordeaux, décembre 2012, p. 41-61.

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France and the Deepening of the Eurozone: Is There a Way for Franco-German Convergence?

Yann-Sven RITTELMEYER

in Elzbieta Kaca, Dorota Liszczyk and Roderick Parkes (eds.), "France and the future of the European Union", PISM Report, December 2012.

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The role of the Supreme Court in U.S. politics: what can we expect from upcoming decisions?

Jeffrey ROSEN

Annual Conference on the United States 2012

Jeffrey Rosen, Law Professor, George Washington University, engages in a comprehensive analysis of the Supreme Court's role in the years to come and shares his assumptions as to its upcoming decision.   Annual Conference on...

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Organiser la "transition énergétique": les leçons du "tournant" allemand pour le débat françai

Maïté JAUREGUY-NAUDIN

The Energy Editorial, December 2012

Alors que s'est ouvert le débat sur la transition énergétique en France, quels enseignements peut-on tirer de la sortie du nucléaire en Allemagne, compte tenu des relations énergétiques au sein de l'Union...

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Franchir le miroir. " Régimes hybrides " et pouvoir traditionnel dans les États fragiles

François GAULME

Note de l'Ifri, décembre 2012

La relation conflictuelle entre l’État et les sociétés locales n’a rien de nouveau. Ce qui est inédit, en revanche, c’est la prolifération contemporaine d’États cooptés au sein...

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L'avenir européen de la Serbie

Florent MARCIACQ

Analyse du CFA n°3, décembre 2012

Par sa géographie, par sa culture, par son histoire, la Serbie se situe incontestablement en Europe. Mais elle ne semble se rapprocher de l’Union européenne (UE) qu’à reculons. Comment expliquer cette retenue ? Cette...

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Du virtuel au réel: l'impact du web social sur les forces armées

Marc HECKER, Nicolas VANBREMEERSCH, Marguerite de DURAND, Thibault SOUCHET

Revue Défense Nationale, décembre 2012

Depuis une dizaine d’années, le web tend à devenir de plus en plus « social » : les nouvelles plateformes créées au cours de cette période (Facebook, Twitter, YouTube, Flickr, Tumblr, etc.)...

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What role for the EU in Doha?

Maïté JAUREGUY-NAUDIN

The Energy Editorial, November 2012

Historical leader of the fight against climate change, the European Union’s influence declined in Copenhagen. This opened the way to the so-called BASIC countries to show their willingness to become a driving force in the international climate...

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Kazakhstan and Eurasian Economic Integration: Quick Start, Mixed Results and Uncertain Future

Nargis KASSENOVA

Russie.Nei.Reports, No.14, November 2012

Kazakhstan’s economic integration with Russia and Belarus has been advancing at break-neck speed. In October 2007, these countries signed a treaty on the creation of the Customs Union (CU), in July 2010 the unified Customs Code went into...

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Contenir la piraterie: des réponses complexes face à une menace persistante

Hugues EUDELINE

Focus stratégique n° 40, novembre 2012

Economic globalization has developed in favor of an increase of maritime flows, thus offering a revival to the millennium history of piracy. Present on all the seas around the world – particularly in the Gulf of Guinea, the Horn of Africa and...

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Les relations germano-britanniques à l'heure de vérité

Roderick PARKES

Note du Cerfa n°99, novembre 2012

Le veto britannique lors du Conseil européen de décembre 2011 a une nouvelle fois souligné les divergences entre l’Allemagne et le Royaume-Uni. Qu’il s’agisse de la politique économique ou de la...

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France and the EEAS: A give-and-take relationship

Vivien PERTUSOT

in Ignacio Molina and Alicia Sorroza (eds.), Reviewing Member States' Commitment to the European External Action Service, EPIN Working Paper, No. 34, November 2012

Based on interviews with diplomats from a representative cross-section of nine member states and members of the EEAS itself, the research findings of this EPIN Working Paper confirm long-standing traditions and member state perceptions of...

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Le bouquet électrique en Grande-Bretagne

Charlotte TREBUCHET

Note de l'Ifri, November 2012

Les différentes mutations que le secteur électrique britannique a subies depuis sa libéralisation ont placé la Grande Bretagne comme l’éclaireur des réformes. Afin de comprendre les enjeux de la...

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La difficile équation énergétique de la nouvelle présidence au Ghana.

L'Afrique en questions n°14,

Benjamin Augé, Actuelle de l'Ifri, December 2012

  Le président ghanéen par intérim John Dramani Mahama[1] est devenu le 9 décembre le successeur de John Atta-Mills[2], décédé en juillet dernier. Or Mahama, qui passe pour un...

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Negotiating for a Malaysia-EU FTA: Contesting Interests from Malaysia's Perspective

THAM Siew Yean

Asie.Visions 57, November 2012

Malaysia has shifted its focus from multilateral and regional to bilateral trade agreements due to the current doldrums in the Doha Round and the bandwagon effect from similar shifts in other countries. Despite the importance of trade to the...

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Challenges and Opportunities of a EU-Taiwan ECA: A Review of Political-Economic Perspectives

TSENG Yea Jen

Asie.Visions 56, November 2012

Concerns over becoming marginalized in the course of East Asian economic integration are driving a proactive regional trade agreement (RTA) strategy on the part of Taiwan. Three factors explain this concern: Competing visions of economic integration...

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A EU-Japan Free Trade Agreement - Toward More Solid Economic Relations

Hiromasa KUBO

Asie.Visions 55, November 2012

Until the 1990s, economic ties between the European Union and Japan were marked largely by an atmosphere of trade tension. The main reason was the persistent trade surplus that Japan maintained. Over time, however, the improvement of the bilateral...

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L'Afrique de l'Est, une géopolitique pétrolière à haut risque

Benjamin AUGE

Note de l'Ifri, November 2012

Autrefois, hors de portée des radars des sociétés pétrolières, l'Afrique de l'Est est devenue en l'espace de cinq ans l'une des zones du continent où les investissements sont les plus soutenus. Deux raisons...

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Globalization of Japanese firms - Long-run trends, cross-sectional variations, and policy implications

Eiichi TOMIURA

Asie.Visions 54, October 2012

Japanese firms are increasingly involved in various global business operations – not only in traditional international trade in goods, but also in offshore production and the new mode of globalization: offshore outsourcing.While it had been...

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Beyond the "Arab Spring": Russia's Security Interests in the Middle East

Irina ZVYAGELSKAYA

Note de l'Ifri, novembre 2012

The reconfiguration of the regional system of international relations as a result of the Arab revolutions has engendered fresh challenges for Russia, related, amongst other things, to deteriorating relations with the USA and other Western powers....

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Temporary Workers or Permanent Migrants? The Kafala System and Contestations over Residency in the Arab Gulf States

Noora LORI

Center for Migrations and Citizenship - November 2012

The Arab Gulf is the third largest receiving region for global migrants (after North America and the European Union). The six states of the Gulf Corporation Council (GCC) are the richest Arab economies, boast some of the highest GDP per capita...

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Crossing the line – A new status quo in the East China Sea?

Céline PAJON

Ifri-CIGS Op-Ed Series, 22 October 2012

Deepening their partnership, Ifri and the Canon Institute for Global Studies (CIGS) are launching a series of op-eds, written both by Ifri and CIGS experts. This new series aims at providing the European and Asian public with original and different...

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The Battle over Fire Support: The CAS Challenge and the Future of Artillery

Elie TENENBAUM

Focus stratégique no.35 bis, october 2012

Traditionally, maneuver units are designed for mobility and control of the ground, while supporting forces (artillery, aviation) deliver fires to protect the former and ensure their freedom of action. As a result of the introduction of mobile...

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La Russie au Moyen-Orient

Denis BAUCHARD

Note de l'Ifri, octobre 2012

La position russe, mal comprise en Occident, devant le « printemps arabe » et les crises qui secouent le Moyen-Orient, doit être replacée dans le cadre des lignes de force qui sous-tendent la politique...

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Crise au Mali : " l'Algérie a besoin d'être rassurée " et " la France n'a pas intérêt à ce que la zone soit déstabilisée

Alain ANTIL

Actuelle de l'Ifri, 31 octobre 2012

Interview parue dans La Voix du Nord, le 31 octobre 2012 Au moment où la planification d’une intervention au Mali s’ébauche patiemment, Alain Antil, responsable du programme Afrique subsaharienne à l’IFRI...

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German-Russian Relations: Balance Sheet since 2000 and Perspectives until 2025

Hannes ADOMEIT

Note du Cerfa n°98, octobre 2012

The relationship between Germany and Russia, according to official portrayals in Berlin, is one of ‘strategic partnership’ supplemented by ‘modernisation partnership’. rn The closeness and at times demonstrative cordiality...

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Turquie est-elle prête à une guerre avec la Syrie ?

Dorothée SCHMID

Analyse vidéo de Dorothée Schmid, conférence annuelle EuroMeSCo, IEMED, Barcelone, 5 octobre 2012

Le 3 octobre 2012, des tirs d’obus syriens font 5 morts dans le village turc d'Akçakale, situé à la frontière avec la Turquie. Ankara, très engagé dans le soutien aux insurgés syriens,...

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The WTO and the Customs Union: What Consequences for the Russian Banking Sector?

Dmitri MIROSHNICHENKO

Russie.Nei.Visions, No.66, October 2012

Russia is now a member of World Trade Organization (WTO) and of the Eurasian Customs Union between Russia, Belarus and Kazakhstan. Questions remain over how this new global and regional integration will affect the competitive environment of the...

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Присоединение России к ВТО и Таможенному союзу: влияние на конкуренцию в банковском секторе

Дмитрий Мирошниченко

Russie.Nei.Visions, №66, октябрь 2012

Данная работа посвящена проблеме...

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Débat Obama-Romney : regards croisés franco-allemands

Laurence NARDON, Josef BRAML

Les analyses de Laurence Nardon et Josef Braml, Actuelle de l'Ifri, 23 octobre 2012

Analyses et commentaires parus sur arte.tv :  Dans la nuit du 22 au 23 octobre, le président américain sortant Barack Obama et son rival, le républicain Mitt Romney, se sont retrouvés pour leur troisième...

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How to Create a Public Policy in a Failed State - The Challenge of Securing Land Rights in Eastern Congo

Florence LIEGEOIS, Thierry VIRCOULON

Note de l'Ifri, October 2012

In the Democratic Republic of the Congo (DRC) 32 years of dictatorship and almost ten years of war have bled the country dry and left its administration incapable of providing the population with basic services and the government incapable of...

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Quand les embouteillages " créent " la ville - L'influence de la congestion sur la structure et l'économie urbaines à Accra (Ghana)

Hélène QUENOT-SUAREZ

Note de l'Ifri, October 2012

Les embouteillages se sont développés rapidement dans les villes africaines et deviennent un problème majeur. Ainsi, en limitant la mobilité des biens et des personnes, ils ralentissent la croissance économique....

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The European Coal Market: Will Coal survive the EC's Energy and Climate Policy?

Sylvie CORNOT-GANDOLPHE

Note de l'ifri, October 2012

Executive Summary The European coal industry is at a crossroads. The European Commission (EC) Energy Policy by 2020, the 20/20/20 targets, is not favourable to coal: a 20% decrease in CO2 emissions does not favour coal compared with natural...

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Towards gas-on-gas competition in Europe from trends to reality?

Laura PARMIGIANI

The Energy Editorial, October 2012

Last week Centrica announced having signed a three-year gas supply contract with Gazprom Marketing and Trading UK entirely priced against UK spot gas market (NBP). This move follows other announcements in the sector, such as EON long-term gas supply...

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Is Africa's Recent Economic Growth Sustainable?

Shantayanan DEVARAJAN & Wolfgang FENGLER

Note de l'Ifri, octobre 2012

Hardly a week goes by without an African investors’ conference or growth summit. Portuguese people are looking for jobs in Angola. Silicon Valley companies are arriving in Kenya to learn about Africa’s ICT revolution. The reason behind...

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How does the Tea Party compare with European far right movements?

Adi SIRKES

Chroniques Américaines, October 2012

There is a rich history of far-right political parties in Europe. Long-standing parties such as the French Front National (FN), mostly marginalized since World War II, have enjoyed a resurgence since the 1980’s. Under the very recent...

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Deterring the Weak: Problems and Prospects

James J. WIRTZ

Proliferation Papers no. 43, Fall 2012

Strong states often fail to deter vastly weaker competitors. This paper explores some reasons of this failure and identifies factors that can increase the prospects that deterrence will succeed in these situations. It argues that deterrence fails...

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Pour une relecture du " grand jeu " entre l'Inde et la Chine en Birmanie

Renaud EGRETEAU

Asie.Visions 53, Spetember 2012

Renouvelée par un coup d’état militaire en septembre 1988, la junte birmane est promptement ostracisée par la communauté internationale au cours des années 1990. Seule la Chine maintient ses liens avec la...

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Rare Earths and the East China Sea: Why hasn't China embargoed shipments to Japan?

John SEAMAN

Ifri-CIGS Op-Ed Series, 5 octobre 2012

As tensions persist between China and Japan in the East China Sea, it is interesting to note that one of the most symbolic actions of the previous crisis has yet to make an appearance this time around. The stoppage of rare earth shipments to Japan...

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Capacity mechanisms/ EU or National Issue?

Laura PARMIGIANI

Actuelle de l'Ifri, October 2012

In a competitive energy system, generation investment choices are let to investors. It is then the responsibility of the market actors to invest and ensure peak, medium and base load generation, based on market perspectives and trends. If through...

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The U.S. electorate on the eve of the election

Bruce STOKES

The U.S. Program's Fall Seminar, October 3, 2012

Bruce Stokes (Director, Global Economic Attitudes, Pew Research Center) gives an in-depth analysis of the U.S. electorate on the eve of the 2012 presidential election. Click here to watch the video En partenariat avec l'Ambassade des Etats-Unis...

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Do Presidential Debates Matter in the Campaign?

Bruce STOKES

Bruce Stokes replies to Laurence Nardon, October 2012

The Fall seminar of the United States Program at Ifri took place on October 3, the day of the first presidential TV debate. Director of  "Global Economic Attitudes" at the Pew Research Center, Bruce Stokes gives his analysis of the role these...

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Positioning of Nuclear in the Japanese Energy Mix

Tatsuo MASUDA, Ryiochi KOMIYAMA

Note de l'Ifri, October 2012

Nuclear fission was discovered in the late 1930s. The first application went towards military use, and gradually expanded to civil use such as power generation. Power generation gained importance in two stages: firstly, to shift away from oil in...

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Entreprises et universités russes : de la coopération au recrutement

Tatiana KASTOUEVA-JEAN

Russie.Nei.Reports, n°13, octobre 2012

Pendant la période de transition, les entreprises russes se sont massivement désintéressées des coopérations avec les universités. Déçues par le système éducatif traditionnel, les...

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La mutation du système des partis allemand : bientôt des pirates à bord ?

Stephan KLECHA

Note du Cerfa n°97, septembre 2012

 Le paysage politique allemand, longtemps stable, subit actuellement des modifications profondes. Les partis traditionnels ont de plus en plus de mal à attirer les électeurs et de nouveaux partis obtiennent désormais...

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The GCC States of the Persian Gulf and Asia Energy Relation

Thierry KELLNER

Note de l'Ifri, September 2012

Since the 2000s, China and India's needs for hydrocarbons, coming on top of those of older industrialized Asian countries (Japan and South Korea), have considerably strengthened customer-supplier links between Asia in general and the Persian Gulf,...

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Powering Kuwait into the 21st Century: Adopting a Sustainable Strategy

Maïté de BONCOURT

Note de l'Ifri, September 2012

Over the last ten years, Kuwait's power consumption has doubled. This rising need for electricity has been mainly driven by the fast population growth rate, the increasing need for desalinated water, accounting for 93% of water consumption, and...

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" Hollande l'Africain " ? La politique africaine de la France à la croisée des chemins - Interview de Yves Gounin

L'Afrique en questions n°13,

Hélène Quénot-Suarez, Aurore Loste, Actuelle de l'Ifri, septembre 2012

Contexte Tout comme ses prédécesseurs, François Hollande n’a pas manqué à la promesse de « rompre » avec la « Françafrique »[1]. La modernisation de la...

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Al-Qaeda in a Changing Region

Alia BRAHIMI

Note de l'Ifri, September, 2012

 Dr Alia Brahimi is a Research Fellow at the London School of Economics and Political Science and a Senior Research Associate at the University of Oxford. She is the author of Jihad and Just War in the War on Terror (OUP, 2010).

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Towards a new geopolitics of energy ?

Laura PARMIGIANI

The Energy Editorial, September 2012

First of all, shale oil is starting to take the same dimension as shale gas in the US. Already 51% of US production comes presently from unconventional gas (shale, tight gas and coal-bed methane), and outlooks predict that the US will produce...

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Tensions territoriales autour du Japon : guerre improbable, paix difficile

Céline PAJON

Lettre du Centre Asie 62, August 2012

Cet été, les frictions se sont multipliées autour des territoires disputés entre le Japon et ses voisins (îlots et zones économiques exclusives)[1]. Le maintien du statu quo, qui semblait prévaloir...

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Don't Bank on Change: Finance and regulatory reform in the U.S.

Herman SCHWARTZ

Potomac Paper 15, September 2012

As a number of provisions of the Dodd-Frank Act are entering into force, five years after the beginnings of the financial crisis, Professor Herman Schwartz explains how the U.S. banking community will continue to hurt the interests of the American...

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After the Party Conventions, Obama and Romney in the polls

Laurence NARDON

A video interview, September 2012

 Dr Laurence Nardon,senior resarch fellow and head of the United States Program at Ifri summarizes the key elements regarding the current American presidential elections right after the Party Conventions Click here to watch the video

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Who are the Mormons?

Anne-Lorraine BUJON

A video interview by Laurence Nardon, September 2012

 Anne lorraine Bujon, associate research fellow at Ifri, answers Laurence Nardon about Mormonism in the United States which seems to have entered a new chapter of its history with the presidential candidacy of Mitt Romney. Click here to...

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L'Europe dans les étoiles. La relation franco-allemande dans le spatial.

Christophe VENET

in: Dokumente/Documents 3/2012

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Les réserves en première ligne? Du citoyen-soldat à l'intérim

Michel BAUD

Focus stratégique, no. 39, September 2012

A central piece of national security during two centuries and an essential link between the military and the people, the French reserve forces have considerably decreased over the last decades. Nevertheless, new economic constraints now urge for...

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Le Brésil et le monde arabe: Les limites d'un rapprochement Sud-Sud

Bruno MUXAGATO

Note de l'Ifri, août 2012

Historiquement, le Moyen-Orient n’a pas été une zone prioritaire pour la diplomatie brésilienne, bien que des rapprochements ponctuels se soient opérés2 dans les années 1970 et 1980. Avec...

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Building Security Institutions: Lessons Learned in Afghanistan

Olivier NEOLA

Focus stratégique no.38, July-August 2012

After its rapid military victory over the Taliban, the international community underestimated the resources, time and work that would be required enforce to Security Sector Reform (SSR) in Afghanistan. Even though the Afghan population was...

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The Ongoing Economic Crisis-Series 5. What Precipitated the Economic Bubble in Europe, and How Did It Collapse?

Daisuke KOTEGAWA

Canon-Ifri Paper Series n°11 - July 2012

This series of policy papers, published by Ifri and the Canon Institute for Global Studies, provides a Japanese perspective on the causes, the mechanisms and the consequences of the global economic crisis, as well as the measures implemented by the...

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Russia's Arctic Policy and the Northern Fleet Modernization

Pavel BAEV

Russie.Nei.Visions, No 65, August 2012

The interplay of the foreign, domestic and military dimensions of Russia’s Arctic policy is characterized by peculiar incompatibilities. The position of power secured by the military superiority and ambitious modernization of strategic forces...

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Российская политика в Арктике и модернизация Северного флота

Павел БАЕВ

Russie.Nei.Visions, n°65, август 2012

Внешнее, внутреннее и военное измерения...

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L'insécurité transfrontalière au Cameroun et dans le bassin du lac Tchad

Cyril MUSILA

Note de l'Ifri, juillet 2012

L’insécurité transfrontalière actuelle dans le bassin du lac Tchad s’inscrit dans l’histoire des dynamiques sociopolitiques et économiques de cette région commune au Cameroun, à la...

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Les Enjeux du dialogue stratégique à l'échelle franco-allemande

Lothar RÜHL

Note du Cerfa n°96, juillet 2012

La France et l’Allemagne ont entamé un nouveau « dialogue stratégique », dont l’objectif est de définir une stratégie politico-militaire commune dans les domaines de la sécurité...

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L'irrésistible ascension des mormons américains

Anne-Lorraine BUJON

Potomac Paper 14, July 2012

Mormonism has been making headlines ever since Mitt Romney declared his candidacy to the White House. This 19th century American-born religion puts forth a  set of values that is both original and strong. A better understanding of these values...

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Missile defense: Certainly American, Potentally European (in French)

Vivien PERTUSOT

in Olivier Kempf (ed.), L'Alliance atlantique transformée, Revue Défense Nationale/Economica, Summer 2012, No. 752

The political-strategic objectives of NATO's missile defense seem well-conceptualized by now when it comes to its overall posture, geographical location, and integration within the NATO architecture. The Russian issue remains open to speculation....

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En lisant la déclaration "Rio+20"

Jacques LESOURNE

The Energy Editorial, July 2012

La lecture des 283 articles de la déclaration de « Rio + 20 » avec leur succession de « Nous approuvons… », « Nous soutenons… », « Nous recommandons… » suscite,...

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L'Europe face à la crise de la dette : Les débats politiques allemands

Daniela SCHWARZER

Note du Cerfa n°95, juin 2012

Depuis 2010, la crise de la dette détermine largement la politique européenne de l’Allemagne. Compte tenu du rôle majeur de l’Allemagne en tant que principale garantie des mécanismes de sauvetage, et de...

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La croissance de l'Afrique est-elle une vue de l'esprit ?

L'Afrique en questions n°12,

Hélène Quenot-Suarez, Actuelle de l'Ifri, June 2012

En mai, la Banque mondiale publiait son Africa Development Indicators 2011. Cette publication est toujours attendue car le matériau statistique proposé, toujours précis et commenté, est précieux. A partir...

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Establishing the Rule of Law: the U.N. Challenge in Kosovo

Jean-Christian CADY

Focus stratégique no.34 bis, June 2012

Created on the 10th July 1999 by Security Council Resolution 1244, UNMIK was responsible for restructuring the institutions of a country devastated by war and establishing democratic governance. The security of people and goods and the existence of...

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American society and gay marriage

Kitsy SMITH

Chroniques Américaines, June 2012 (in French)

Début mai, le Président Obama est devenu le premier président des États-Unis à déclarer publiquement son soutien au mariage homosexuel. Il est peu probable que cette déclaration soit suivie d’un...

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Argent et élections aux Etats-Unis: la campagne de 2012

Anne DEYSINE

Potomac paper 13, June 2012

Campaign funding in the U.S. follows a number of rules that are complex and often bypassed. These rules have been upset by recent judicial decisions, and the 2012 electoral campaign has seen the rise of unlimited donations. The impact on the...

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Is Omar Sy an Uncle Tom? Race relations in America and France as seen through "Les Intouchables"

Adi SIRKES

Chroniques Américaines, June 2012

  The Intouchables tells the story of a young Senegalese immigrant named Driss, who has been hired to be the caretaker of Philippe, a rich tetraplegic. The feel-good comedy has been a smashing success in France and across the world, grossing...

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SOMMET EUROPÉEN / CRISE DE L'EURO : ÉLÉMENTS D'ANALYSE PAR LES EXPERTS DE L'IFRI

DOSSIER D'ACTUALITÉ

A la veille d'un sommet européen, de nouveau jugé crucial pour l'avenir de la zone euro et pour la survie du projet européen, quelques éléments d'analyse par les chercheurs de l'Ifri.Etudes, analyses,...

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An Overview of Italy's Energy Mix

Corrado CAMMI, Mattia ASSANELLI

Note de l'Ifri, June 2012

Italy is currently hit by an unprecedented economic, political and social crisis. This changing and uncertain environment affects more than ever the ability to define an energy strategy, which has never really benefitted from a clear vision and a...

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Quand la crise menace la politique extérieure de l'Union européenne

Vivien PERTUSOT

La politique étrangère de l’Union européenne est en crise. L’Europe est en voie de démilitarisation et mise encore sur l’OTAN quand il s’agit de mener des opérations d’envergure. Pour...

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EU GHG Emission Targets: "Mind the gap"

Ilaria LOJODICE

Actuelles de l'Ifri, June 2012

While the actual price of carbon emissions in the EU market is at the extremely low level of €6 per tonne, it is crucial to track European emission trends and to compare them with the commitments of the EU-15 under the Kyoto Protocol and the...

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Drafting an agenda for Asia – Europe cooperation – Thinking outside the box

Françoise NICOLAS

in Boecker, Malte and Armando Garcia-Schmidt (eds), Europe in dialogue, Bertelsmann Stiftung, Gütersloh, 2012.

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Launcher policy in Europe: from symbol to the market?

Christophe VENET

The Europe & Space Series #11, June 2012

Launcher policy will be one of the major issues discussed at the upcoming ESA Council at Ministerial Level. Europe is at the crossroads, as it needs to find the adequate balance between political necessities (ensuring an autonomous access to space)...

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The Ongoing Economic Crisis- 3&4: The US authorities and the financial crisis / Fiscal austerity as a mistake

Daisuke KOTEGAWA

Canon-Ifri Paper Series n°9&10 - June 2012

This series of policy papers, published by Ifri and the Canon Institute for Global Studies, provides a Japanese perspective on the causes, the mechanisms and the consequences of the global economic crisis, as well as the measures implemented by the...

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The Religious Diplomacy of the Russian Federation

Alicja CURANOVIĆ

Russie.Nei.Reports, No.12, June 2012

The Russian Federation is shaping its religious diplomacy (i.e., in brief, the use of the religious factor in foreign policy) and exercises it with a growing efficiency. This is, to a certain degree, a consequence of processes taking place in...

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Les opérations aéroportées: la profondeur stratégique en question

Benoît MICHEL

Focus stratégique no.37, May 2012

Airborne operations draw their strategic importance from the scale and magnitude they provide to air-land operations. Yet, their concept of employment, shaped by their historical legacy may seem unfit to contemporary requirements – especially...

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Campaign finance in the United States

Anne DEYSINE

A video interview by Laurence Nardon, May 2012

The November election campaign is in full swing in the United States, with the new rules authorizing unlimited private financing now in place. How exactly will this unfold? What impact could the this change in financing have on American...

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The Ongoing Economic Crisis- 1&2: Comments on the EU Strategy/The Causes of the Crisis

Daisuke KOTEGAWA

Canon-Ifri Paper Series n°7&8 - May 2012

This series of policy papers, published by Ifri and the Canon Institute for Global Studies, provides a Japanese perspective on the causes, the mechanisms and the consequences of the global economic crisis, as well as the measures implemented by the...

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Soutenir la croissance, limiter les émissions: la Chine est-elle un modèle en matière de politique climatique ?

Thibaud VOÏTA,

Note de l'Ifri, May 2012

La Chine a connu pendant les trente dernières années une crois¬sance sans précédent qui lui a permis de se hisser en 2010 comme deuxième puissance économique mondiale, devant le Japon et derrière...

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Undocumented Workers in Spain and the Politics of Regularization

Inara STÜRCKOW

Center for Migrations and Citizenship - May 2012

By the end of 2004, low migration flow regulation contributed to a high rate of irregularity and hampered adaptation of foreign labor supplies to the demands of the Spanish labor market, contributing therewith to an increase in irregular workers....

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New Economic Development Opportunities for Taiwan in the Post-ECFA Era

Da-Nien LIU, Hui-Tzu SHIH

Asie.Visions 51, April 2012

The main aim of this paper is to analyze the new opportunities for Taiwan’s ongoing economic development in the era following the signing of the Economic Cooperation Framework Agreement (ECFA) between Taiwan and China. The paper begins with an...

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China and Cleaner Coal: A marriage of necessity destined for failure?

John SEAMAN

Asie.Visions 52, April 2012

For China, coal is a crucial source of abundant, indigenous and affordable energy and is a pillar of economic and social stability. From a logic of energy security, and because the industry itself maintains a formidable political presence through...

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Proliferation and Nonproliferation in the Early Twenty-First Century : The Permanent Five Hold the Key to Success

David SANTORO

Proliferation Papers no. 42, Spring 2012

Since the early twenty-first century, the international nonproliferation landscape has experienced a shift from relatively steady proliferation schemes to more complex and diverse challenges. New entities are gaining access to nuclear material and...

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Gazoducs et Géopolitique

Jacques LESOURNE, Laura PARMIGIANI

The Energy Editorial

Les tracés de gazoducs offrent de magnifiques exemples de géopolitique élémentaire.        1) Lorsqu’un pays émetteur approvisionne un ou plusieurs pays récepteurs, les...

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The European Union as an emerging actor in space security?

Christophe VENET, Max M. MUTSCHLER

in: Space Policy 28:2 (2012), p. 118-124

With its draft Code of Conduct for Outer Space Activities, the European Union became visible in the debate on space security. This paper analyses this development, drawing on theoretical concepts in the scholarly debate about the...

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Les budgets de défense en France, entre déni et déclin

Martial FOUCAULT

Focus stratégique n°36, avril 2012

Although defense spending is the fourth budget item in France, it is rarely a matter of public debate. During the past three decades, defense has been affected in turn by the desire to rip the benefit of the post-Cold War “peace...

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France's Partner on a Pedestal: A view driven by pragmatism and envy

Yann-Sven RITTELMEYER, Claire DEMESMAY,

in Almut Möller and Roderick Parkes (dir.), Germany as Viewed by Other EU Member States, EPIN Paper, n°33, June 2012

This paper brings together contributions from a cross-section of EU member states and the Gallup World Poll survey on the question of how Germany is being viewed at this time of economic and political crisis. Even if the findings suggest...

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Ukraine at the Crossroads: Between the EU DCFTA and Customs Union

Olga Shumylo-Tapiola

Russie.Nei.Reports, No. 11, April 2012

After serious decline in the 1990s, Ukraine’s economy finally started its recovery and systemic reform in early 2000. While the economy rapidly grew by 2008, its transformation remained unfinished. Ukraine has three possible roads to...

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Setting up a public policy in a failed State: the challenges of securing property law in Eastern Congo

Florence LIEGEOIS, Thierry VIRCOULON

Note de l'Ifri, April 2012

En république démocratique du Congo (RDC), 32 années de dictature et près de dix ans de guerre ont laissé un pays exsangue, avec une administration incapable de fournir les services élémentaires...

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Les investissements pétroliers chinois au Tchad. À la recherche d'un "gagnant/gagnant" ?

L'Afrique en questions n°11,

Saad Adoum, Actuelle de l'Ifri, April 2012

Saad Adoum est Senior Analyst au sein du Central Africa Project de International Crisis Group. Les récentes querelles pétrolières, du premier trimestre 2012, entre les autorités tchadiennes et la CNPCIC (China National...

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Gouvernance économique européenne : l'Union à la croisée des chemins

Pervenche BERÈS

Note du Cerfa n°94b, avril 2012

La crise a fait avancer un débat sur la gouvernance économique ou sur le gouvernement économique qui ne décollait pas depuis l’adoption du traité de Maastricht. Toutefois, si des actions ont été...

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Evolution de la situation énergétique allemande

Michel CRUCIANI

Note de l'Ifri, April 2012

A la suite de l'accident de Fukushima, l'Allemagne a pris trois décisions majeures pour son industrie électrique : l'arrêt immédiat de huit réacteurs nucléaires, la fermeture accélérée...

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The European space industry, an endangered species?

Christophe VENET

The Europe & Space Series #10, April 2012

The European space industry seems to be in a paradoxical situation: its strategic importance is increasingly recognised, but a European cons­ensus on an integrated industrial policy for space is gaining ground only slowly.

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Gas Routes to Europe: Real Needs and Political Jockeying

Laura PARMIGIANI

Actuelles de l'Ifri, April 2012

The Energy Roadmap 2050 released by the Commission in December 2011 says it all: we will need more gas until 2030. Gas represents the default solution for a transition to an energy system with less GHG emissions. It also has great value as a back up...

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Cruise Missiles and NATO Missile Defense: Under the Radar?

Dennis M. GORMLEY

Proliferation Papers, No. 41, Spring 2012

The purpose of this paper is to demonstrate that the threat of cruise missile proliferation is as equally challenging to NATO as the threat of ballistic missiles. Over the last two decades, the emergence of cruise missiles and UAVs as a threat has...

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Prospects for 6-party talks: Nuclear weapons are a means of survival for Kim Jung Un

Kunihiko MIYAKE

Ifri-CIGS Op-Ed Series, 6 April 2012

Deepening their partnership, Ifri and the Canon Institute for Global Studies (CIGS) are launching a series of op-eds, written both by Ifri and CIGS experts. This new series aims at providing the European and Asian public with original and different...

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Intégration économique : vers la fin de l'exception asiatique ?

Françoise NICOLAS

in S. Boisseau du Rocher (dir.), Asie 2012 – 2013 – Une Asie toujours plus centrale, La Documentation française, Collection Mondes émergents, Paris, 2012

Le processus d’intégration régionale en Asie est donc aujourd’hui à la croisée des chemins, avec des changements à venir dans le mode de fonctionnement de la région et la « division du...

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Greece: How a state in crisis manages its migration crisis

Anna TRYANDAFILLIDOU

Center for Migrations and Citizenship - March 2012

In the past 2 years, Greece has experienced its most severe economic crisis of the post World War II period. While it appeared at first not to have been hit particularly hard by the global economic recession that started in 2008, the effects of the...

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The Democratic Party Under Obama and Beyond

Nicol C. RAE

Potomac Paper 12, March 2012

The Democratic Party relies today on very different segments of the U.S. electorate, making it impossible for a Democratic President to sustain long-term public support. In the context of the current campaign, Prof. Nicol Rae provides an analysis of...

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Consumption in an Uncertain Environment The Paradox of the African Middle Classes

Hélène QUENOT-SUAREZ

Note de l'Ifri, March 2012

Three hundred million people belonging to the middle classes of Africa; three hundred million of potential consumers: an image of this kind is enough to make many an entrepreneur start dreaming. In fact, whereas for many years Afro-pessimism has...

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La présidence polonaise du Conseil de l'Union européenne

Agnieszka LADA

Analyse du CFA n°2, mars 2012

En assumant, pour la première fois, la présidence semestrielle du Conseil de l’Union européenne (UE), en juillet 2011, la Pologne s’est trouvée face à de nombreux défis. Bien...

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A Victorious Anti-insurrection Strategy? The Insurrections of 2010 in the Jonglei State of South Sudan

Marc-André LAGRANGE

Note de l'Ifri, March 2012

  On May 16 2010, a few weeks after its first elections, the government of the semi-autonomous province of South Sudan (GoSS) had to confront two rebellions in the Jonglei Province. South Sudan may appear unified behind the banner of the...

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La France et l'Allemagne face à la crise: doute sur le diagnostic et la méthode

Sylvie GOULARD

Note du Cerfa n°94a, mars 2012

Les dirigeants européens, notamment allemands et français, se sont efforcés de résoudre la crise qui touche l’Europe depuis fin 2009. Des mesures importantes ont été prises par les institutions...

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Comsuption in an unsecure environment: African Middle classes' paradox

Hélène QUENOT-SUAREZ

Note de l'Ifri, March 2012

  « 300 millions de personnes appartenant aux classes moyennes africaines, autant de consommateurs potentiels » : l’image peut faire rêver plus d’un entrepreneur. De fait, alors que l’afro-pessimisme avait...

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L'énergie en 2040 selon Exxon-Mobil

Jacques LESOURNE

The Energy Editorial, March 2012

Dans la forêt des scénarios noirs ou roses qui hantent nos cauchemars ou nos rêves d’avenir, la publication récente du scénario 2040 d’Exxon-Mobil mérite quelque attention. Elle ne porte ni sur...

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The Fukushima Nuclear Accident and a Long-Term Energy Vision for Japan

Tetsuo YUHARA

Canon-Ifri Paper Series n°6 - April 2012

Ifri and the Canon Institute for Global Studies are launching a series of policy papers presenting the analyses of senior Japanese researchers on how the triple disasters that hit the archipelago last March have impacted Japan's economic,...

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Rare Earths and the WTO: Tougher case than it looks

John SEAMAN

Ifri-CIGS Op-Ed Series, 28 March 2012

Deepening their partnership, Ifri and the Canon Institute for Global Studies (CIGS) are launching a series of op-eds, written both by Ifri and CIGS experts. This new series aims at providing the European and Asian public with original and different...

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L'AKP et le mouvement kurde : le temps de la confrontation

Julien CECILLON

Repères sur la Turquie n°8, 21 mars 2011

Dix ans après l’arrivée au pouvoir de l’AKP et après quelques timides avancées, les tensions sont réapparues entre le mouvement kurde et le gouvernement, faisant planer le risque d’un retour aux...

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Is J Street a Passing Phenomenon?

Gilbert N. KAHN

Potomac Paper 11, February 2012

Created in the Fall of 2008, the J Street movement seeks to represent those in the U.S. Jewish community who would like Washington to be more active in supporting a lasting peace in the Middle-East.  According to Professor Gilbert Kahn, while J...

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Dancing with the Bear: Managing Escalation in a Conflict with Russia

Forrest E. MORGAN

Proliferation Papers, No. 40, Winter 2012

"Escalation", the tendency of belligerents to increase the force or breadth of their attacks to gain advantage or avoid defeat, is not a new phenomenon. Systematic thought about how to manage it, however, did not crystallize until the Cold War and...

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La sortie du nucléaire en Allemagne: scénarios de politique énergétique

Brigitte KNOPF, Hendrik KONDZIELLA, Michael PAHLE, Mario GÖTZ, Thomas BRUCKNER, Ottmar EDENHOFER

Note du Cerfa n°93, février 2012

Au-delà des enjeux politiques, la sortie du nucléaire décidée en 2011 par le gouvernement fédéral allemand a d’importantes conséquences sur l’économie et la politique...

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Entre ciel et terre. Le débat air-sol et les défis de l'appui-feu

Elie TENENBAUM

Focus stratégique, no. 35, February 2012

Traditionally, maneuver units are designed for mobility and control of the ground, while supporting forces (artillery, aviation) deliver fires to protect the former and ensure their freedom of action. As a result of the introduction of mobile...

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Post-War Sri Lanka: Roads to Reconciliation

Roundtable discussion report, 9 December 2011

The Center for Asian Studies of the French Institute of International Relations (Ifri) organized on 9 December 2011 a round table discussion regarding the future of the ongoing reconciliation process in Sri Lanka, entitled ‘Post-War Sri Lanka:...

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Le Web en Russie : de la virtualité à la réalité politique ?

Julien Nocetti

Russie.Nei.Reports, N° 10, March 2012

Le contexte international et l’entrée de la Russie dans un cycle électoral placent le Web russe sous tension. D’un côté, la vie politique russe est de plus en plus façonnée par les nouveaux...

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The Economic Opportunities and Constraints of Green Growth - The Case of South Korea

Jae-Seung LEE, Jung-Min YU

Asie.Visions 50, February 2012

The Green Growth Policy in South Korea has symbolized a paradigm shift to cope with climate change, fossil fuel depletion, and global economic recession. The emerging paradigm stands to create new engines for economic growth through green...

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De l'espérance à l'incertitude - L'Europe, l'énergie et le climat. 2008-201

Jacques LESOURNE

Actuelles de l'Ifri, February 2012

En ce début d’année 2012, nombreuses sont les questions qui se posent en ce qui concerne la politique européenne en matière d’énergie et de climat, mais pour les identifier, il faut, au...

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Le Ghana : une démocratie pétrolière en devenir

Mathieu PELLERIN

Note de l'Ifri, décembre 2011

Executive Summary« While we think oil will help, we don’t want to pin all our hopes on it. We believe this is the time for Ghana to take off. But we can only do that through fiscal prudence, by encouraging productive investment and by...

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February Gas Pains in Europe - Coping is not managing. The Italian response to the gas crisis

Laura PARMIGIANI

The Energy Editorial, February 2012

The recent cold spell that gripped much of Europe was a test for the European gas network. In many countries temperatures fell dramatically to -10°C during the first week of February, even dropping a bone chilling - 22°C in some places. ...

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February Gas Pains in Europe - Coping is not Managing

Laura PARMIGIANI

The Italian response to the gas crisis

The recent cold spell that gripped much of Europe was a test for the European gas network. In many countries temperatures fell dramatically to -10°C during the first week of February, even dropping a bone chilling - 22°C in some places. As...

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The Recent Blossoming in Relations between China and Madagascar

Mathieu PELLERIN

Note de l'Ifri, February 2012

The question of the Chinese presence in Madagascar is very accurate. It is an opportunity for us to portray the sino-madagascan relations. We will recall the historicity of the relations existing between China and Madagascar. Then, we will focus on...

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The Expanding Chinese Footprint in Latin America - New Challenges for China, and Dilemmas for the US

Evan ELLIS

Asie.Visions 49, February 2012

The physical presence of China in Latin America is entering a phase of significant expansion, as the logical consequence of the rapid growth over the past decade of its trade, investment, and infrastructure for doing business in the region. The...

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2012, a turning point for Europe in space

Christophe VENET

The Europe & Space Series #9, February 2012

In 2012, several crucial decisions lie ahead, most notably at the ESA Ministerial Council next fall and regarding the status of space within the next MFF of the EU. These will reveal the degree of political will to pursue an ambitious ESP in times...

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Europapolitik: Der SKS-Vertrag polarisiert

Yann-Sven RITTELMEYER

DGAP, Dossier Wahlkampf Frankreich 2012

  Europa findet in Frankreich längst keinen großen Anklang mehr. Da europapolitische Themen schon im Rahmen der Europawahlen keinen großen Zuspruch finden, ist davon bei nationalen Wahlen folglich normalerweise noch weniger...

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Helicopter Warfare. The Future of Airmobility and Rotary Wing Combat.

Etienne de DURAND, Benoît MICHEL, Elie TENENBAUM

Focus stratégique no. 32 bis, January 2012

Military helicopters have evolved into technologically sophisticated weapon systems. Originally designed to counter Soviet armor, attack helicopters now have to cope with a wide spectrum of threats, some of them bringing them back to their...

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Migration Policy and Irregular Workers in the United Kingdom

Danièle JOLY, Khursheed WADIA

Center for Migrations and Citizenship - February 2012

While public opinion and European governments usually present migrants as an outside threat for European societies, in this article, Danièle Joly and Khursheed Wadia focus on the local level to analyze the issue of migrants, in particular...

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Decoding Russia's WTO Accession

Dominic FEAN

Russie.Nei.Visions No. 64, February 2012

As Moscow and the WTO Member States have finally established terms on which Russia will accede to the organization, thoughts turn to the impact of this historic event and the potential for it to play a role in the modernization of the...

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Россия и ВТО, брак по любви или по расчёту?

Доминик Фин

Russie.Nei.Visions n° 64, Февраль 2012

В декабре 2011 года Москва и...

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Les élections taiwanaises vues de Chine

Alice EKMAN

Lettre du Centre Asie 61, février 2012

Comment la Chine a-t-elle suivi et perçu la campagne présidentielle taiwanaise, qui a mené à la réélection le 14 janvier dernier du président sortant Ma Ying-jeou? Plus encore que lors du scrutin de...

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La politique européenne de l'Allemagne à l'heure de la crise de l'euro

Yann-Sven RITTELMEYER, Hans STARK

Allemagne d'Aujourd'hui, n°199, janvier-mars 2012, p. 87-98.

  This article refers to Berlin's point of view regarding the European Union. First of all, it reminds the difficult context of the current debate on the EU in Germany. Press releases and citizens express their rage against the week Euro...

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La politique africaine de l'Allemagne : quelles convergences avec la France ?

Andreas MEHLER et Christian VON SOEST

Note du Cerfa n°92, janvier 2012

Si la concertation entre la France et l’Allemagne constitue une priorité en matière de politique étrangère, la politique africaine, en revanche, échappe largement à cette règle : dans ce...

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Doors Wide Shut? An Update on FDI Regulations in China

Françoise NICOLAS

Asie Visions 48, January 2012

The fears of a rise in economic nationalism in China have been fuelled by a number of recent moves, such as changes in the law on indigenous innovation or the enactment of a national security review (NSR) regulation for M&As by foreign...

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Chinese ODI in France: Motives, Strategies and Implications

Françoise NICOLAS

China Economic Policy Review, vol. 1, n°1, 2012.

Although outward direct investment (ODI) is still very much a developed country phenomenon (with industrial countries accounting for more than 75% of global flows), ODI from the “South” is gaining ground, with China ranking among the...

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Internet Companies in China: Dancing between the Party Line and the Bottom Line

Min JIANG

Asie Visions 47, January 2012

With over 500 million Internet users and 900 million mobile-phone subscribers by mid 2011, the Chinese Internet is an enormous market that has produced the spectacular rise of many Chinese Internet companies and attracted substantial foreign...

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Le conservatisme texan

Laurence NARDON

Potomac Paper 10, January 2012

Texas is the birthplace of a very particular brand of conservatism, shaped by its early history and economic traits. It promotes individualism and limited governement, rigorous moral values, as well as sheer pragmatism on economic issues. Its impact...

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European space governance: the outlook.

Christophe VENET

Report. in: Space Policy 28 (2012), p. 59-60.

For the third year in a row, the Paris-based French Institute of International Relations (IFRI), and the Secure World Foundation (SWF) joined together to organise their annual space conference. The event took place in Brussels on 13 September 2011,...

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The Architect and Fragile States: Development Assistance's Contribution to Global Security

François GAULME,

Note de l'Ifri, December 2011

  Up to Europe’s threshold in the middle of Sahara and Sahel region, a growing insecurity led beyond mere reconsideration of field practice to a whole change of paradigm for multilateral and bilateral aid institutions. Since the end of...

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L'énergie en Allemagne : trois trajectoires possibles de 2012 à 2022

Jacques LESOURNE

The Energy Editorial, January 2012

Au fur et à mesure que les semaines passent, il devient possible de mieux cerner les principales incertitudes susceptibles d’affecter l’évolution du système énergétique allemand de 2012 à 2022. ...

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Libya: Old or New Picture? Risks of political uncertainty for the gas and oil busines

Laura PARMIGIANI

Actuelles de l'Ifri, January 2012

Libya has an opportunity to get back on track. The end of embargoes and sanctions after the conclusion of the “February Revolution”  is favoring a fast production growth. For the IEA the oil production should recover and reach...

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The European Power System - Decarbonization and Cost Reduction: Lost in Transmissions

Maïté JAUREGUY-NAUDIN

Note de l'Ifri, January 2012

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Europe’s energy policy is commonly defined by three axes of equal importance: security of supplies, competitiveness and sustainable development. The European Commission is mandated to develop the policy tools that allow the...

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Einwanderungspolitik: Innenpolitische und globale Herausforderungen

Nele Katharina WISSMANN

DGAP, Dossier Wahlkampf Frankreich 2012

  Spätestens seit dem Zeitungsinterview von Nicolas Sarkozy in der konservativen Zeitung „Le Figaro“ und seiner Rede über die Werte der französischen Republik vom 19. Februar in Marseille zeichnet sich...

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Université fédérale de l'Oural, une future "Harvard régionale"?

Tatiana KASTOUEVA-JEAN, Tatiana MECHKOVA

Russie.Nei.Reports, n°9, janvier 2012

Cette monographie s'inscrit dans le cadre du projet de recherche « Zoom sur les universités russes », qui analyse une série d'établissements d'enseignement supérieur russe (EES). Elle est consacrée...

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The U.S. Oil and Gas Boom

John BRODMAN

Actuelles de l'Ifri, January 2012

 A  funny thing happened in the last few years when no one was paying attention. J.R. Ewing, the legendary Texas oilman, and his wife Sue Ellen sold Southfork, their ranch near Dallas, and moved to a new home in Pennsylvania (Northfork?)....

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From 'Looking' to Engaging - India and East Asia

G.V.C. NAIDU

Asie.Visions 46, December 2011

The Look East policy (LEP), launched in the early 1990s, was intended to engage India more closely with the East Asian region, but it met with only limited success initially, for India was not seen to be a major contributor either to regional...

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Digital Hoplites. Infantry Combat in the Information Age

Pierre CHAREYRON

Focus stratégique no. 30 bis, December 2011

FELIN, the world's first "integrated soldier system", will enter service in the French Army this year. Throughout history, infantrymen have sought to capitalize on technology while seeking the best compromise between three basic requirements:...

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One Year Before the Election: Countdown to a Second Term?

Report of the 10th Annual Conference on the United States, December 2011

Ifri's December conferences have become a staple event for Europeans eager to understand the evolutions underway in the United States. For our tenth edition, we discussed the main specificities of the U.S. judiciary system and their impact on...

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La présidence du Conseil européen: entre rupture et continuité

Yann-Sven RITTELMEYER

in Véronique Charléty et Michel Mangenot (dir.), "Le système présidentiel de l'Union européenne après Lisbonne", Strasbourg, ENA et Université de Strasbourg, 2011, p. 125-136.

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The Rotating Presidency under the Lisbon Treaty: From Political Leader to Middle Manager?

Yann-Sven RITTELMEYER, Simone BUNSE, Steven VAN HECKE,

in Peter Bursens et Steven Van Hecke (dir.), "Readjusting the Council Presidency. Belgian Leadership in the EU", Academic and Scientific Publishers, 2011

The introduction of the Lisbon Treaty entailed the most fundamental changes to the rotating presidency to date. This contribution analyses the institutional framework under which the 2010 Belgian Presidency of the Council of Ministers operated. It...

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The Institutionalization of the European Council Presidency : Institutional Dependence and Franco-German Inflections

Yann-Sven RITTELMEYER

Politique européenne, n°35, 2011, p. 55-82

Following its pragmatic emergence in the EU political landscape, the Presidency of the European Council was the most visible part of the rotating Presidency until the entry into force of the Lisbon Treaty. An in-depth analysis of this function shows...

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What future for the French military presence in Ivory Coast?

L'Afrique en questions n°10

Tobias Koepf, Actuelle de l'Ifri, December 2011

Tobias Koepf est chercheur invité au sein du programme Afrique subsaharienne dans le cadre du programme TAPIR (Transatlantic Post-Doc Fellowship for International Relations and Security). Fin janvier 2012, le président ivoirien...

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Le Ghana : une démocratie pétrolière en devenir

Mathieu PELLERIN

Note de l'Ifri, December 2011

Executive Summary « While we think oil will help, we don’t want to pin all our hopes on it. We believe this is the time for Ghana to take off. But we can only do that through fiscal prudence, by encouraging productive investment and by...

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L'interaction civilo-militaire dans la politique de sécurité allemande : le cas de l'Afghanistan

Hans-Georg EHRHART

Note du Cerfa n°91, décembre 2011

L'interaction civilo-militaire fait partie de l'approche de « sécurité interconnectée » que l'Allemagne emploie en Afghanistan. Cette contribution analyse la signification conceptuelle de cette interaction, explique...

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Legislative and presidential elections in DRC: stakes and outcomes

L'Afrique en questions n°9,

John Smith*, Actuelle de l'Ifri, December 2011

Le 28 novembre 2011, la Commission Électorale Nationale Indépendante (CENI) organisait les élections législatives et présidentielles en République démocratique. Quelques 18 000 candidats se...

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Key trends in the European Earth observation sector

Christophe VENET

The Europe & Space Series #8, December 2011

An ambitious EO policy could bring significant benefits to Europe both regarding the fight against climate change and the competitiveness of its EO industry and service sectors.

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France: The Evolution of a Nuclear Exception

Corentin BRUSTLEIN

Chapter published in Harsh PANT (ed.), Handbook of Nuclear Proliferation, Abingdon, Routledge, 2012, pp. 116-131.

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Is Turkey an Economic Exception?

Conference report

Ifri roundtable, December 6th, 2011

Speakers : François FAURE, head of country-risk division at BNP-Paribas   Esen ÇAĞLAR, economist at the Economic Policy Research Foundation of Turkey (Türkiye Ekonomi Politikaları Araştırma Vakfı -...

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Etablir l'état de droit au Kosovo. Succès et échecs des Nations unies.

Jean-Christian CADY

Focus stratégique no. 34, November 2011

Created on the 10th July 1999 by Security Council Resolution 1244, UNMIK was responsible for restructuring the institutions of a country devastated by war and establishing democratic governance. The security of people and goods and the existence of...

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The EU and the crisis: Do we need more integration?

Vivien PERTUSOT, Jacques MISTRAL, Philippe MOREAU DEFARGES, Françoise NICOLAS, Yann-Sven RITTELMEYER, Hans STARK, Nele Katharina WISSMANN

Note de l'Ifri, december 2011

The European Union is facing a tremendous challenge: coming out of the crisis unified. Every summit is both labeled the one of all hopes and the one of the last chance. Information keeps coming in, which hampers a good comprehension of the...

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Блогеры и государство, цифровой дуализм в России

Алексей Сидоренко

Russie.Nei.Visions n° 63, декабрь 2011

В статье анализируется влияние...

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Russian Digital Dualism: Changing Society, Manipulative State

Alexey SIDORENKO

Russie.Nei.Visions No. 63, December 2011

The article studies the effect of the Internet on Russian society in the 2000s, as well as the complex relations between the Internet, groups of digital activists and the manipulative state. The Internet creates new spaces for politicians and...

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Innovation Policy Challenges for Japan: An open and global strategy

Kazuyuki MOTOHASHI

Asie Visions 45, November 2011

Productivity is increasingly important in the Japanese economy as an aging and shrinking population is expected to constrain labor input. Thus, the creation of innovation is critical for realizing economic growth and maintaining Japan's...

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The use of space for civil protection in Europe

Christophe VENET, Laurence NARDON

The Europe & Space Series #7, November 2011

Europe is increasingly considering space as a useful tool to support Civil Protection (CP). Through a demand-driven approach, it intends to create new services tailored to the needs of the CP community.

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Wrong Road to Harvard

Tatiana KASTOUEVA-JEAN

Research Europe, 24 November 2011

Russia dreams of its own Harvard; or several, given the country’s size. But despite making all the right moves, Russia is unlikely to achieve its higher education goals.

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Inondations et politique en Thaïlande

Charuwan LOWIRA-LULIN

Lettre du Centre Asie 60, novembre 2011

Quatre mois après la victoire du parti Phuea Thai (« Pour la Thaïlande ») aux élections législatives, amenant au poste de premier ministre Yingluck Shinawatra, la sœur de Thaksin, ancien premier ministre...

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La culture stratégique de la politique étrangère allemande

Henning RIECKE

Note du Cerfa n°90, novembre 2011

  Affichant sa volonté d’assumer ses responsabilités dans les interventions internationales, mais s’abstenant lors du vote de la réso-lution du Conseil de sécurité des Nations unies sur la Libye,...

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L'Europe de l'énergie: des politiques à contre-couran

Jacques LESOURNE

The Energy Editorial, November 2011

Les politiques de l’énergie de l’Union Européenne et des Etats-membres n’ont pas pour but d’obtenir des prix de vertu.Elle n’ont comme finalités que :1)    Assurer aux...

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En matière d'énergie, l'idéologie est mauvaise conseillère

Maïté JAUREGUY-NAUDIN

Actuelle de l'Ifri, 21 novembre 2011

Texte paru sur LeMonde.fr le 21 novembre 2011 S'il est légitime de s'interroger sur la part future de l'énergie nucléaire dans la production de l'électricité française, qu'implique l'horizon de temps...

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Evolution des prix de l'électricité aux clients domestiques en Europe occidentale

Michel CRUCIANI

Note de l'Ifri, November 2011

  La présente étude a exploité les bases de données contenant les informations les plus précises, les plus constantes dans le temps et les plus homogènes entre États, celles de la Commission...

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Gas Exports in Turkmenistan

Luca VASANCZKI

Note de l'Ifri, November 2011

Executive Summary The Caspian region has been at the center of attention since Europe began seeking alternative routes to natural-gas resources. Turkmenistan has the potential to become an important gas exporter to Europe. As a landlocked country,...

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La France face à la sortie allemande du nucléaire

Jacques LESOURNE

The Energy Editorial, November 2011

Au fur et à mesure que les semaines passent, la situation créée pour la France par la sortie allemande du nucléaire se clarifie. Nous devons d’ores et déjà être conscients de trois...

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Russian Gas - Reminder of Yesterday Presaging Tomorrow?

William C. RAMSAY

The Energy Editorial, November 2011

One can’t help but be struck by the irony earlier this week of Russian President (ad-interim) Medvedev celebrating the landing of gas in Lubmin Germany from the Nordstream gas pipeline from Russia while Former President and...

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" The "Unquiet Allies". French-American Intelligence Relations during the First Indochina War "

Elie TENENBAUM

Studies in Intelligence, Vol. 55, No. 3, 2011, pp. 25-37.

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Apprendre ou disparaître? Le retour d'expérience dans les armées occidentales

Corentin BRUSTLEIN

Focus stratégique no. 33, October 2011

Whether in times of war or in times of peace, uncertainty is an inherent characteristic of conflicts. It is in this unpredictable environment that armies operate, and so they must constantly adapt in order to remain effective political instruments....

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Economic Dimension of Space

Christophe VENET

in: Brünner, Christian/Soucek, Alexander (eds.): Outer Space in Society, Politics and Law. Vienna: SpringerWienNewYork (2011).

Space activities can be justified by a broad array of reasons, ranging from trans-utilitarian components (such as curiosity, discovery, knowledge, fascination, inspiration) to more utilitarian aspects (markets, jobs, communications, mobility,...

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Political Dimension of Space

Christophe VENET

in: Brünner, Christian/Soucek, Alexander (eds.) Outer Space in Society, Politics and Law. Vienna: SpringerWienNewYork (2011).

Due to the wide number of space applications solving earthly problems in a broad range of issue-areas, space activities have a clear political dimension. In this article, the origins and causes of this increasing political relevance of space after...

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Migrations and Revolutions

Emanuela Paoletti

Reflections on the Recent Events in North Africa from an International Relations Perspective - October 2011

The promise of democracy enshrined in the "Arab Spring" has been accompanied by significant developments in migration flows across North Africa and to Europe. With political turmoil sweeping across North Africa and the Middle East, hundreds of...

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The Great East Japan Earthquake and Sino-Japanese Reconciliation

Yoshiki MINE

Canon-Ifri Paper Series n°5, October 2011

Ifri and the Canon Institute for Global Studies are launching a series of policy papers presenting the analyses of senior Japanese researchers on how the triple disasters that hit the archipelago last March have impacted Japan's economic,...

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Vers un nouveau saut générationnel des forces aériennes chinoises ?

Yves-Heng LIM

Lettre du Centre Asie 59, October 2011

Alors que la dernière série des F-22 avant abandon de la production sortaient des usines Lockheed et Boeing, Hu Jintao confirmait, en janvier 2011, les premiers tests du nouveau chasseur furtif, le J-XX, par les forces aériennes...

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Lecture: Das Amt und die Vergangenheit: Deutsche Diplomaten im Dritten Reich

Nele Katharina WISSMANN

dans: Politique étrangère Automne, 2011/3

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Kosovo - une indépendance supervisée

Odile PERROT

Analyse du CFA n°1

Le Kosovo est considéré comme un « État indépendant sous supervision internationale ». La communauté internationale y joue un rôle inédit, celui de superviser et d’accompagner...

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European Space Governance: the Outlook.

A conference organized by Ifri and the Secure World Foundation, Brussels, 13 September 2011

The Ifri/SWF conference of 13 September 2011 provided an overview of the evolution of European space governance. It was convened almost two years after the adoption of the Lisbon Treaty and five months after the release of the European Commission...

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Brésil - Maghreb : Globalité nécessaire et enjeux économiques stratégiques

Elodie BRUN

Le Maghreb face aux nouveaux défis mondiaux, octobre 2011

Les relations qu’entretient le Brésil avec les pays du Maghreb peuvent paraître paradoxales. D’un côté, l’Algérie, le Maroc et la Tunisie ne semblent pas représenter des priorités de...

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La Turquie après la guerre froide. Cavalier seul

Dorothée SCHMID

Grande Europe n°37, octobre 2011

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Le budget européen à l'heure de la crise- Positions allemandes relatives au CFP 2014-2020

Robert KAISER

Note du Cerfa n°89, octobre 2011

Survenue dans le contexte de la crise économique et financière, la proposition de cadre financier pluriannuel 2014-2020 présentée par la Commission européenne en juin 2011 a provoqué des réactions...

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In Defense of Deterrence: the Relevance, Morality and Cost-Effectiveness of Nuclear Weapons

Bruno TERTRAIS

Proliferation Papers, no.39, Fall 2011

Since 1945, nuclear deterrence has frequently been the target of continuous criticism on strategic, legal and moral grounds. In the past five years, however, the renewed debate on nuclear disarmament has been accompanied by an increase in such...

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Japon / Inde : Vers une coopération nucléaire?

Céline PAJON

Asie.Visions 44, October 2011

Les relations entre l'Inde et le Japon se sont fortement développées depuis une dizaine d'années. Si Tokyo et Delhi ne connaissent pas de différends particuliers, leur rapprochement n'est pas exempt de défis,...

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U.S.-Moroccan Relations How Special ?

Carol MIGDALOVITZ

Maghreb Facing New Global Challenges, October 2011

U.S.-Moroccan ties have sometimes been described as a "special relationship." This paper explores the bilateral relationship to investigate how special it really is. How did the two countries first establish what became a longlasting association and...

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Gazprom and the EU: Raiding the Gas Companies

William C. RAMSAY

The Energy Editorial, September 2011

It was a matter of time before the Commission competition authorities looked into the business arrangements between Gazprom and its European partners.  Some would ask why it took so long.  For years Gazprom has used its capital budgets to...

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"Transnistrian Conflict after 20 Years"

Dominic FEAN, Witold Rodkiewicz (chief editor, project leader)

A Report by an International Expert Group

The result of an initiative put forward in 2010 by the Soros Foundation Moldova (East East: Partnership Beyond Borders Program) with the aim of attracting new foreign expertise to provide a fresh look at the ‘frozen conflict’ in the...

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Toward the end of force projection? II. Operational responses and political perspectives

Corentin BRUSTLEIN

Focus stratégique, no. 21 bis, September 2011

For more than a decade, US defense circles have been concerned about the emergence of capabilities and strategies, which, as they spread, risk imperiling the United States’ position in the world by their ability to disrupt or prevent force...

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European Task Force On Irregular Migrations

Five Country Reports - September 2011

FOREWORD Ayesha Saran, Programme Manager - Migration and Europe at the Barrow Cadbury Trust, partner of the ETFIM Project: Since its establishment in 1920, the Barrow Cadbury Trust has been committed to supporting the most vulnerable and...

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Commission communication of the EU Energy External Policy: Was there an alternative?

Laura PARMIGIANI

The Energy Editorial, September 2011

EU is the world’s largest net energy importer and consumer, so why do its Members continue to negotiate individually with the rest of the world rather than as one big market with a big voice? This is the most obvious question being posed by...

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Japan: How Should Funds Be Raised for Rebuilding After the Disaster?

Megumi KASHIWAGI

Canon-Ifri Paper Series n°4, September 2011

Ifri and the Canon Institute for Global Studies are launching a series of policy papers presenting the analyses of senior Japanese researchers on how the triple disasters that hit the archipelago last March have impacted Japan's economic,...

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Italy, Russia's Voice in Europe ?

Nadezhda ARBATOVA

Russie.Nei.Visions No. 62, September 2011

Italy is one of Russia's most important partners in Europe. They have established extensive cooperation in practically all areas: economic cooperation is at a very high level, and on most issues of world politics Russia and Italy's positions are...

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Италия, голос России в Европе ?

Надежда АРБАТОВА

Russie.Nei.Visions n° 62, Сентябрь 2011

Италия является одним из наиболее...

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U.S. Demographics: the Hispanic Boom

Navtej S. DHALIWAL

Potomac Paper 9, September 2011

As confirmed by the 2010 Census, Hispanics have become the largest and most dynamic ethnic minority in the United States. While still facing many difficulties, this rather diverse group is undergoing important changes in terms of political...

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Trans Caspian Gas - A Worthy Teething Ring for Europe's Energy Diplomats

William C. RAMSAY

The Energy Editorial, September 2011

As an early task in its efforts to build a common external energy policy, the Commission has announced it will turn its attention to bringing the vast gas resources of Turkmenistan to European consumers.  This will be an excellent place for the...

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Intelligence and Nuclear Proliferation: Lessons Learned

Keith A. HANSEN

Proliferation Papers, no. 38, Summer 2011

Intelligence agencies play a fundamental role in the prevention of nuclear proliferation, as they help to understand other countries' intentions and assess their technical capabilities and the nature of their nuclear activities. The challenges in...

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De l'embarras à l'opportunité : l'UE face au vote sur la Palestine à l'ONU

Vivien PERTUSOT

Actuelles de l'Ifri, 20 september 2011

Lors de la session de l’Assemblée générale des Nations Unies, le Président du Conseil européen Herman Van Rompuy prendra la parole à la tribune au nom de l’Union Européenne. Une...

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Activists without borders? The trips to Israel and the Palestinian territories organized by activists from France

Marc HECKER

in Stéphanie Latte Abdallah and Cédric Parizot (eds), A l'ombre du Mur. Israéliens et Palestiniens entre séparation et occupation, Actes Sud, 2011

Pro-Palestinian and pro-Israeli groups based in France regularly organize trips to the Middle East. These trips can take different forms which reflect the diversity among pro-Israeli and pro-Palestinian groups. For instance, they can be organized...

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Quand le vent du " printemps arabe " souffle sur le Golfe Persique

Mohammad-Reza DJALILI et Thierry KELLNER

Note de l'Ifri, Septembre 2011

À l'exception notable des cas de Bahreïn et du Yémen, les zones du golfe Persique et de la péninsule Arabique ont été relativement épargnées par la vague de protestation qui a balayé le...

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Zionism: how militant oppositions lead to multiple interpretations

Marc HECKER

Mots. Les langages du politique (ENS Editions), nr 96, Summer 2011.

Language has sparked many tensions in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, even more so than in any other war. The term “Zionism” has come to create oppositions between pro-Israeli and pro-Palestinian activists. While pro-Israelis have a...

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L' "anti-environnementalisme", nouveau thème des conservateurs américains

Yves-Marie PEREON

Potomac Paper 8, September 2011

Opposing environment protection policies has become a posture de rigueur for U.S. radical conservatives. This theme finds itself at the crossroads of several currents of American conservatism: a distrust of scientific elites, trust in the Manifest...

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U.S. Foreign Policy and the Israeli-Palestinian Conflict: A View from Palestine

Sara ROY

Août 2011

How will the US respond to the changing Palestinian and Arab paradigm? Will it try to reduce the deepening gap between American policy as it has historically been defined and new Palestinian and Arab aspirations? Will the US be willing to work with...

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La politique américaine vis à vis de la révolution tunisienne

Amine AIT CHAALAL

Juillet 2011

Une nouvelle page de l'histoire des pays arabes est en train de s'écrire sous nos yeux. Le point de départ en a été le geste désespéré du jeune Mohamed Bouazizi le 17 décembre 2010 à...

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East Asian Regional Economic Integration: A Post-Crisis Update

Françoise NICOLAS

Asie.Visions 43, September 2011

To the surprise of many analysts, the outbreak of the global financial crisis (GFC) in 2008 did not leave East Asian economies unscathed. The objective of the paper is to examine the implications of the GFC for the regional economic integration...

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Allemagne: Marathon électoral sur fond des traumatismes internationaux

Nele Katharina WISSMANN

dans: Ramses 2012, pp.130-133.

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Dreams and Nightmares - Australia's Past, Present and Future in Asia

Tom CONLEY

Asie.Visions 42, August 2011

This paper argues that Australian governments of both political stripes have responded pragmatically and effectively to the rise of China, the relative decline of the United States and the increased assertiveness of the Association of Southeast ...

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Special Farming Zones and Land-Use Planning for Reviving the Agricultural Industry

Kazuhito YAMASHITA

Canon-Ifri Paper Series n°3, August 2011

Ifri and the Canon Institute for Global Studies are launching a series of policy papers presenting the analyses of senior Japanese researchers on how the triple disasters that hit the archipelago last March have impacted Japan's economic,...

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The impact of the European Space Policy on space commerce

Christophe VENET, Kai-Uwe SCHROGL

in: Smith, Lesley Jane /Baumann, Ingo (Eds.): Contracting for space. Contract practice in the European space sector. Farnham: Ashgate (2011).

The article provides an overview of the impact the policy framework for space activities has on commercial activities in Europe. It shows that the development of a space policy framework on the European level has, from the beginning, aimed at...

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Space in the financial and economic crisis

Christophe VENET

in: Schrogl, Kai-Uwe/Pagkratis, Spyros/Baranes, Blandina (Eds.): Yearbook on Space Policy 2009/2010: Space for society. Vienna: SpringerWienNewYork (2011).

The purpose of this article is to analyse the impact of the financial and economic crisis on the space sector from a political point of view. Its focus is on the institutional space sector rather than on commercial space activities. In addition,...

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Involving ʺneo-urbansʺ in the political game The example of Senegal

Alain ANTIL

Note de l'Ifri, August 2011

  A paper brought out last year treating the “Hunger Riots had made it possible, among other things, to point out the extreme difficulties encountered by the authorities in power when trying to control urban populations. Current...

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Les aléas d'une politique non annoncée et ses acteurs

Louis BALTHAZAR : intervention à la conférence

Actuelles de l'Ifri, 30 août 2011

Intervention à la conférence « Les États-Unis et le monde arabe » du 23 mai 2011 organisée par le programme Maghreb/Moyen-Orient de l'Ifri. L'exceptionnalisme américain constitue une entrave...

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Space Weather and NEOs in the European Space Policy

Christophe VENET, Laurence NARDON

The Europe & Space Series #6, August 2011

Although often overshadowed by a focus on security concerns, Space weather and NEOs are important elements of Europe’s SSA program.

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Le "regime change", de George Bush à Barack Obama

Alexandra DE HOOP SCHEFFER

Actuelles de l'Ifri, August 10, 2011

En 2009, le président Barack Obama hérite d'un monde arabe figé et il se contentera jusqu'au début des révoltes arabes du statu quo, malgré son discours du Caire de juin 2009 qui visait à briser...

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Le changement du paysage géopolitique de l'énergie

Jacques LESOURNE

Actuelles de l'Ifri, August 2011

Au cours de l'année 2011, le paysage mondial de l'énergie a évolué, soit à la suite d'événements survenus au cours de l'année, soit par la pise de conscience des effets...

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Energy Efficiency versus the EU ETS: Counterproductive Tribalism in the Commission

Maïté JAUREGUY-NAUDIN

The Energy Editorial, July 2011

On 22 June 2011, a proposal for increased Energy Efficiency was presented by the European Commission. The energy efficiency directive was intensely negotiated and faced strong internal opposition from a number of players. DG Climate officials have...

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IEA Crisis Management - Evolving with the Risks

William C. RAMSAY

The Energy Editorial, July 2011

Last week the IEA chose not to renew its June strategic stock release.  It was the right decision.  The volumes of strategic crude and product taken up by the market will be reaching refineries now and incremental volumes produced in the...

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A Look at the IEA 2011 Release of Strategic Oil Reserves

Devin GLICK

Actuelles de l'Ifri, July 2011

On June 23, 2011, the International Energy Agency (IEA) coordinated the release of 60 million barrels of emergency stocks in response to the disruption of oil production in Libya due to civil unrest. This announcement eleicted a mexied reaction from...

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Kanal Istanbul: Pipedream or Politics ?

Christian KELLER

Actuelles de l'Ifri, July 2011

Istanbul has a history of grandeur. From the Byzantines to the Ottomans, the city of Istanbul has been designed as, in the words used by Emperor Napoleon, the capital of the world. There was a sense of grandeur, too, when Prime Minister Recep Tayyip...

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L'Allemagne face au printemps arabe

Almut MÖLLER

Note du Cerfa, n°88, juillet 2011

Le printemps arabe a imposé une réorientation de la politique étrangère allemande en Afrique du Nord, où l’Allemagne a renforcé son engagement en multipliant les initiatives. Pour Berlin,...

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A Tragic Tale of Corn and Congress

William C. RAMSAY

The Energy Editorial, July 2011

Ever since Iowa landed the privilege of holding the first Presidential primary, no candidate has the political courage to confront the $11 billion subsidy price tag of US corn ethanol.  Everyone agrees we need to dilute our supply and price...

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Restoring Health Care and Welfare Services after the Great East Japan Earthquake

Yukihiro MATSUYAMA

Canon-Ifri Paper Series n°2, July 2011

Ifri and the Canon Institute for Global Studies are launching a series of policy papers presenting the analyses of senior Japanese researchers on how the triple disasters that hit the archipelago last March have impacted Japan's economic,...

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A victourious counter-insurgency strategy? 2010 insurgencies in the province of Jonglei, South-Sudan

Marc-André LAGRANGE

Note de l'ifri, juillet 2011

    Le 16 mai 2010, quelques semaines à peine après ses premières élections, le gouvernement de la province semi-autonome du Sud-Soudan (GoSS) dut faire face à deux rébellions dans la province du...

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U.S-ALGERIAN SECURITY COOPERATION AND REGIONAL COUNTERTERRORISM

Alexis Arieff

Maghreb Facing New Global Challenges,juillet 2011

This paper explores the recent evolution of security cooperation between the United States and Algeria, which have forged a strong partnership on counterterrorism despite lingering mutual distrust. The United States has strengthened its defense...

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Retour du Caire. Premier bilan d'une révolution inachevée

Denis BAUCHARD

Actuelle de l'Ifri, July 15, 2011

Lorsque l'on déambule aujourd'hui sur la place Al-Tahrir cinq mois après le début des événements révolutionnaires, on se demande comment cette place disgracieuse a pu être le site mythique de la...

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Egypte. La révolution aux pieds d'argile ?

Vivien PERTUSOT

in RAMSES 2012, september 2011

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Bruxelles ou l'Europe ? Le multilatéralisme à l'épreuve

Vivien PERTUSOT

in RAMSES 2012, september 2011

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Toward Higher Household Consumption? An Up-to-Date Analysis of China's Economic Transition

Alice EKMAN

Asie.Visions 41, July 2011

For more than two decades, China's economy has been growing at an average rate of close to 10 percent. As a result of this stellar performance, China ascended to the rank of the world's second largest economy in 2010, surpassing Japan.Despite these...

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Toward the End of Force Projection? I. The Anti-Access Threat

Corentin BRUSTLEIN

Focus stratégique, no. 20 bis, July 2011

Force projection has become a general posture and a fundamental dimension of the influence Western powers intend to exert over the world by means of their armed forces. However, for the last fifteen years, Western states' adoption of expeditionary...

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Incertitudes sur la PSDC - Une nécessaire réflexion franco-allemande

Andreas MARCHETTI, Louis-Marie CLOUET

Visions franco-allemandes, n°19, juillet 2011

Une année après la présentation d'un « Agenda franco-allemand 2020 »  en février 2010, Paris et Berlin peinent toujours à agir de concert en matière de défense, comme le...

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Unconventional Gas: A Game Changer for Transport Too?

Maïté de BONCOURT

Notes de l'Ifri, July 2011

  A new technology trend, the development of natural gas vehicles, is emerging in the transport sector. While not new this technology is now being simultaneously revived by the discovery of significant amounts of unconventional gas, by the...

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The Evolving Role of Southeast Asia in Global FDI Flows

Stephen THOMSEN, Misuzu OTSUKA and Boram LEE

Asie.Visions 40, July 2011

This paper traces the evolution of FDI in ASEAN and discusses future prospects for the region as a host - and increasingly home - to FDI. Southeast Asia has long been a focal point for FDI by OECD-based firms. In the 1990s Southeast Asia was...

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What the North Caucasus Means to Russia

Aleksey MALASHENKO

Russie.Nei.Visions, No. 61, July 2011

The crisis in the North Caucasus has had a negative impact across all of Russia. Its immediate consequences include instability in the country's southern regions, interethnic tensions and terrorist attacks that regularly occur not only in the...

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Особенности и эволюция терроризма на Северном Кавказе

Павел БАЕВ

Russie.Nei.Visions, n° 60, Июль 2011

Начиная с лета 2009 года в восточной части...

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The use of space for maritime security in Europe

Christophe VENET, Laurence NARDON

The Europe & Space Series #5, June 2011

The EU is currently developing a Maritime Security Strategy. Space should be integrated in that effort, given its potential for maritime surveillance.

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The Caucasus: a Hotbed of Terrorism in Metamorphosis

Pavel BAEV

Russie.Nei.Visions, No. 60, July 2011

Since summer 2009, instability in the eastern part of the North Caucasus has escalated, a security threat against which the Russian leadership cannot find a strategy. Despite a maximum-intensity counterinsurgency campaign, the rebels have been able...

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Что значит Северный Кавказ для России ?

Алексей МАЛАШЕНКО

Russie.Nei.Visions, n° 61, Июль 2011

Кризис на Северном Кавказе оказывает...

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Elections en Thaïlande : le raz de marée de l'opposition

Charuwan LOWIRA-LULIN

Lettre du Centre Asie 58, July 2011

Le parti d'opposition Phuea Thai (Pour la Thaïlande), mené par Yingluck, la sœur cadette de l'ancien premier ministre Thaksin Shinawatra, vient de remporter les élections législatives du 3 juillet 2011, en obtenant la...

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The 2012 Election: Who will be the GOP Candidate?

Laurence NARDON

Chroniques Américaines, July 2011 (in French)

Coupant l'herbe sous le pied à d'éventuels challengers venus de la gauche de son parti, le président Obama s'est déclaré candidat à l'investiture démocrate début avril. En revanche, le paysage...

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La Californie en 2011: entre Dynamisme et Entraves

Gabrielle DURANA

Potomac Paper 7, June 2011

California enjoys a strong economy, backed by a strong immigration. Traditionally, this strength was reinforced by consistent investments from Sacramento, allowing for infrastructure development and education policies. In past decades, however, the...

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La réorganisation de la Bundeswehr - La quadrature du cercle

Franz-Josef MEIERS

Note du Cerfa, n°87, juin 2011

    La Bundeswehr doit subir la transformation la plus importante de son histoire, pour renforcer de manière durable « [son] efficience, [son] efficacité et [sa] capacité d'intervention ». Les principaux...

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La guerre des hélicoptères: L'avenir de l'aéromobilité et de l'aérocombat

Etienne de DURAND, Benoît MICHEL, Elie TENENBAUM

Focus stratégique No. 32, June 2011

Military helicopters have evolved into technologically sophisticated weapon systems. Originally designed to counter Soviet armor, attack helicopters now have to cope with a wide spectrum of threats, some of them bringing choppers back to their...

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Transports: le gaz non conventionnel donnera t-il un coup de frein à l'électrique ?

Maïté de BONCOURT

The Energy Editorial, June 2011

La peur de la fin du pétrole, la nécessité de réduire les émissions de CO2 pour combattre le changement climatique et le problème de l’urbanisation rampante associée aux émissions de...

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Thaïlande : le tourment démocratique

Charuwan LOWIRA-LULIN

Asie.Visions 39, June 2011

La Thaïlande a connu des troubles politiques importants au printemps de l'année 2010. Un tel déchaînement de violences s'explique par le délitement du système politique au cours des dernières...

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NATO Partnerships: Shaking Hands or Shaking the System?

Vivien PERTUSOT

Focus stratégique, No 31, May 2011

The new Strategic Concept takes stock of the past ten years but outlines only modest objectives for the future of NATO. Partnership falls under the third core task, cooperative security. A subsequent partnership policy was unveiled, but has provided...

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Economic Policies Following the Great East Japan Earthquake

Keiichiro KOBAYASHI

Canon-Ifri Paper Series n°1, June 2011

Ifri and the Canon Institute for Global Studies are launching a series of policy papers presenting the analyses of senior Japanese researchers on how the triple disasters that hit the archipelago last March have impacted Japan's economic,...

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L'Europe, l'énergie et le chaos

Jacques LESOURNE

The Energy Editorial, June 2011

La politique européenne de l’énergie dont les Etats et les autorités européennes étaient si fières est en train de tomber dans le chaos. La décision allemande de sortie rapide du...

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The EU internal market - a stake or a tool in European-Russian gas relations. The case of new member states gas policy

Agata LOSKOT-STRACHOTA

Actuelles de l'ifri, June 2011

Since 2010 we have observed a new quality in EU energy policy. It is related to the European Commission’s more or less direct engagement in the bilateral gas relations of a part of the new member states – Poland, Bulgaria and Lithuania...

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Le missile de croisière naval: un moyen pour quelle stratégie ?

Corentin BRUSTLEIN

Paru dans Centre d'Etudes Supérieures de la Marine, Le missile de croisière naval: quelles ruptures ?, pp. 43-50.

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Russia's Nuclear Forces: Between Disarmament and Modernization

Pavel PODVIG

Proliferation Papers, no. 37, Spring 2011

Nuclear weapons have traditionally occupied an important place in Russia’s national security strategy. As Russia and the United States have been reducing their nuclear arsenals since the end of the Cold War, their relationship has undergone a...

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L'université Goubkine : réservoir de cadres pour le secteur pétrolier et gazier

Tatiana KASTOUEVA-JEAN

Russie.Nei.Reports, n° 8, juin 2011

Cette monographie s'inscrit dans le cadre du projet de recherche « Zoom sur les universités russes » qui vise à analyser une série d'établissements d'enseignement supérieur russe (EES). Elle est...

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OPEC: It is about more oil - not quotas

William C. RAMSAY

The Energy Editorial, June 2011

OPEC has certainly gone out of its way to show how little relevance it has in today’s oil market.  It has successfully imported all the political rhetoric and malaise of some of its most unstable members.  To be dictated by the...

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La coopération Europe/Maghreb face aux mutations géostratégiques mondiales

Abderrahmane Mebtoul

Programme "Le Maghreb dans son environnement régional et international", avril 2011

Pièce maîtresse dans la région euroméditerranéenne, le Maghreb est sollicité par l'Union européenne, et plus récemment par les Etats-Unis, dans le cadre d'une compétition entre ces deux...

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Le "modèle chinois": une chimère

Gilbert ETIENNE

Lettre du Centre Asie 57, June 2011

En 2004, Joshua Cooper Ramo lance le "Beijing Consensus"[1], antidote au "Washington Consensus" des années 1990 qui prônait démocratie et  néolibéralisme. Suivez l'exemple chinois (un régime autoritaire...

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Les partis politiques turcs à la veille des législatives de juin 2011

Julien CECILLON

Repères sur la Turquie n°7, 6 juin 2011

Retour sur la scène partisane en Turquie à la veille des élections législatives: cadre d'existence, financement, sociologie et programmes dans la campagne de 2011.

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Les relations économiques du Maghreb avec la Chine et l'Inde

Françoise NICOLAS

Afkar/idées, n° 29, mars 2011.

La montée en puissance de la Chine et de l’Inde domine les débats économiques depuis quelques années déjà. Poursuivant une stratégie d’internationalisation résolue, les entreprises...

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La crise du parti libéral allemand

Oskar NIEDERMAYER

Note du Cerfa, n°86, juin 2011

  Dès la fondation de la République fédérale d’Allemagne, et durant trois décennies, le FDP a exercé la fonction de parti charnière indispensable à la formation de...

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What's in a name? Market-based Instruments for Biodiversity

Emma BROUGHTON, Romain PIRARD

Health and Environment Reports, n° 8, May 2011

The use of Market-based Instruments (MBIs) for the management of biodiversity and ecosystem services – carbon trading schemes, payment for ecosystem services, mitigation banking, etc. – is currently booming. But the definition...

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Protecting Nuclear Installations: The difference between industrial safety and national security

William C. RAMSAY

The Energy Editorial, May 2011

There is a gritty public debate going on in Europe about what threats should be considered in conducting stress tests on existing nuclear power plants or in establishing safety criteria for new build nuclear power.  The catastrophe of Fukushima...

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Economic Constraint and Ukraine's Security Policy

Dominic FEAN

Russie.Nei.Reports, No. 7, May 2011

Since winning the 2010 presidential elections in Ukraine, Viktor Yanukovych has worked hard to repair Kyiv's relationship with Moscow. Early in his tenure, Yanukovych signed a package of treaties which appeared to exchange a reduction in the price...

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Un "modèle" turc pour les révoltes arabes ?

Dorothée SCHMID, Marc SEMO

Politique internationale n°131, printemps 2011, p. 131-147.

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No Longer the ‘Reactive State': Japan's Pro-Active Free Trade Posture

Aurelia George MULGAN

Asie.Visions 38, May 2011

In late 2010, the Kan government proclaimed a very ambitious trade agenda, leaving no doubt as to its commitment to free trade. The Basic Policy on Comprehensive Economic Partnerships aimed to promote "high-level economic partnerships with major...

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German Nuclear: Green is good Politics

William C. RAMSAY

The Energy Editorial, May 2011

In polarized politics, the voter must take on faith the wisdom inherent in the principled political position.  Who cannot be impressed by the nuclear catastrophe at Fukushima, especially after living through the fallout from Chernobyl? ...

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L'Allemagne et les "clubs G"

Katharina GNATH et Claudia SCHMUCKER

Note du Cerfa, n°85, mai 2011

Afin de pouvoir défendre ses intérêts - avant tout en matière de politique économique - sur la scène mondiale et coordonner les approches politiques au niveau international, l'Allemagne investit...

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"Turquie/Monde arabe : quel rôle pour la Turquie ?"

Compte-rendu de séminaire

Mai 2011

L'objectif de ce séminaire était de revenir sur la transformation des relations entre la Turquie et les pays arabes au cours de ces dix dernières années. Au-delà des tensions historiques héritées de...

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Decoupling the Oil and Gas Prices - Natural Gas Pricing in the Post-Financial Crisis Market

Miharu KANAI

Note de l'Ifri, May 2011

This paper looks into natural gas pricing in the post-financial crisis market and, in particular, examines the question whether the oil-linked gas pricing system has outlived its utility as global gas markets mature and converge more rapidly than...

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The crisis in Burkina Faso : the divorce of the regime and the people?

L'Afrique en questions n°8,

Hélène Quénot-Suarez, Actuelle de l'Ifri, May 2011

La crise que traverse le Burkina depuis fin mars peut étonner dans ce pays réputé dans la sous-région pour sa paix civile. Pourtant, la « situation nationale », comme la nomment les Burkinabè, est...

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Franco-Turkish visions of a Republic. Interview with Baskın ORAN

Baskın ORAN, Dorothée SCHMID

Note franco-turque n°6 - May 2011

For a long time, the Turkish Republic created by Mustafa Kemal Atatürk was regarded by France's elites and political class as a sister republic: secular and Jacobin, the concrete embodiment of the universalism of the shared values of the French...

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The development of Public-Private Partnerships in the European satcom sector

Christophe VENET, Laurence NARDON

The Europe & Space Series #4, May 2011

Public-Private Partnerships (PPPs) could help to enhance the societal benefits of communication satellites. However, European public entities must avoid the mistakes made during the Galileo concession negotiations.

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Élections législatives turques de juin 2011 : les règles du jeu

Julien CECILLON

Repères sur la Turquie n°6, 19 mai 2011

Régime politique, mode de scrutin, enjeux politiques et institutionnels : retour sur le cadre juridique des élections législatives turques.

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Les relations Inde-Allemagne, entre dynamisme économique et déphasage géopolitique

Christian WAGNER

Note du Cerfa, n°84, mai 2011

  Les relations entre l’Inde et l’Allemagne présentent un aspect contrasté en raison de la situation indienne elle-même, tiraillée entre modernité et croissance d’une part, pauvreté et...

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Die Herausforderungen der europäischen Bildungspolitik: Ein Balaceakt zwischen "Europe of knowledge" und "European excellence"

Nele Katharina WISSMANN

Europa und die Welt 2020: Entwicklungen und Tendenzen, edited by Andreas Marchetti/Louis-Marie Clouet, Schriften des Zentrum für Europäische Integrationsforschung (ZEI), Vol. 74, Baden-Baden: Nomos 2011

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Hoplites numériques. Le combat d'infanterie à l'âge de l'information

Pierre CHAREYRON

Focus stratégique, n. 30, April 2011

FELIN, the first "integrated soldier system" in the world, will be effective this year in the French Army. Throughout history, infantrymen have tried to capitalize on technology while trying to arbitrate between the three basic requirements that are...

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Fukushima and Democracy

Jacques LESOURNE

The Energy Editorial, May 2011

The double disaster of Fukushima, a natural disaster comprising an earthquake and a tsunami and a large-scale industrial nuclear disaster, behoves all countries to consider the lessons which they can draw from it.But there are two possible ways to...

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Political Oil Prices - A Measured Response if Any

William C. RAMSAY

The Energy Editorial, May 2011

Oil prices are becoming an increasingly worrisome factor in today’s economies.  They have risen dramatically over the past 6 or 7 months and are now driving inflation in many economies and acting as a drag on nearly all.  They are...

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Integration or Imitation? EU Policy towards its Eastern Neighbourgs

Katarzyna PELCZYNSKA-NALECZ

Programme Geremek, May 2011

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Les mythes sur le déclin de la classe moyenne en Allemagne

Roman Herzog Institut, Dominik H. ENSTE, Vera ERDMANN, Tatjana KLEINEBERG

Note du Cerfa, n°83a, avril 2011

  Le débat sur la « classe moyenne » donne lieu à des malentendus et est source de conflits, alimentant un débat dans les médias allemand sur un risque de déclassement des classes moyennes....

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Equité sociale dans l'OCDE : Où se situe l'Allemagne ? Indicateurs de gouvernance durable 2011

Thorsten HELLMANN, Daniel SCHRAAD-TISCHLER, Robert SCHWARZ

Note du Cerfa, n°83b, avril 2011

Cette étude analyse l’équité sociale des pays de l’OCDE, dont l’Allemagne, au moyen de plusieurs indicateurs. L’étude révèle que la pauvreté monétaire a...

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Europe confronting the degradation of Turkish- Israeli relations: Is there room for arbitration?

Dorothée SCHMID

Israeli European Policy Network Papers, May 2011

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The resurgence of relations between China and Madagascar

Mathieu PELLERIN

Note de l'Ifri, mars 2011

L’acuité de la question chinoise à Madagascar nous offre l’occasion de dresser un état des lieux, inexistant à ce jour, des relations sinomalgaches.Après un rappel de la profondeur historique des...

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La ruée sur les terres agricoles. Quel impact pour l'Afrique?

Alain Antil

Programme "Le Maghreb dans son environnement régional et international", Janvier 2011

« Accaparement des terres africaines », « ruées sur les terres africaines », « ruée sur l’or vert africain », « nouvelle colonisation » : depuis deux ans, le sujet fait...

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"Digital Kremlin": Power and the Internet in Russia

Julien Nocetti

Russie.Nei.Visions, No. 59, April 2011

The Russian Internet, which has undergone considerable development in the last decade, remains subject to constant scrutiny from the Kremlin. Digital technology has posed a challenge to the governance and political legitimacy of the ruling class,...

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Кремль "ВКонтакте": власть и интернет в России

Жюльен НОСЕТТИ

Russie.Nei.Visions, n° 59, Апрель 2011

Кремль с большим вниманием следит за...

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Making Sense of One Health

Aline LEBOEUF

Cooperating at the Human-Animal- Ecosystem Health Interface. April 2011

This study aims at showing and making sense of the One Health approach, according to which it is impossible to defeat infectious disease without working at the interface between human health, animal health and the environment. The study also...

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La coopération militaro-industrielle au coeur de la relation indo-russe

Gilles Boquérat

Asie.Visions 37, April 2011

Le renforcement des capacités militaires de l'Inde, qui passe par une nette augmentation du budget consacré à l'acquisition d'armement à l'étranger, suscite bien des convoitises. Cet intérêt est encore...

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The Electric Vehicle in the Climate Change Race. Tortoise, Hare or Both?

Maïté de BONCOURT

Note de l'Ifri, January 2011

Executive Summary Europe is seeking ways to decrease the growing negative impact of passenger cars on climate, currently responsible for up to 12% of total EU CO2 emissions. After biofuels in the nineties and hydrogen in 2000, the new answer to...

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Répondre à l'urgence politique méditerranéenne

Dorothée SCHMID

BEPA Monthly Brief, April 2011, Issue 46

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Gas Pains - What to do about France's Shales

William C. RAMSAY

The Energy Editorial, April 2011

Like other countries in Europe, France has the potential to produce both oil and gas from shale.  In the Paris Basin, where oil has been exploited for decades, oil shale quite similar to the Bakken play in North America has considerable promise...

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The Governance of Energy Poverty in Southeastern Europe

Stefan BOUZAROVSKI, Robert SARLAMANOV, Saska PETROVA

Europe du Sud-Est n°4, March 2011

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Francs-tireurs et Centurions. Les ambiguïtés de l'héritage contre-insurrectionnel français

Etienne de DURAND

Focus stratégique, n. 29, March 2011

The war in Afghanistan and David Galula’s reputation in the United States have revived France’s counterinsurgency legacy. This legacy must be divided into two separate periods: the colonial era and later on the wars of decolonization...

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Le modèle économique turc: entre succès et écueils résurgents

Rémi BOURGEOT

Repères sur la Turquie n°5, 11 avril 2011

Forte de la stabilité de ses banques dans la crise et d’une croissance de 8.9% en 2010, l’économie turque a de nouveau suscité l'engouement international, conformément à son modèle...

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The G20 from Seoul to Cannes: Towards a global governance committee

LIM Wonhyuk, Françoise NICOLAS

Rapport de l'Ifri, April 2011

After two years of existence at the Heads of State and Government level, the Group of 20 (G20) has reached a turning point. In this new context, a number of questions need to be addressed-in particular, as to how to ensure the transition from a...

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Obama Remarks on Energy: Ball in Congressional Court

William C. RAMSAY

The Energy Editorial, April 2011

President Obama has made clear that in the 2012 election, he intends to defend his record on energy from the middle.  Starting his remarks with US oil dependence, President Obama tackles the hearty perennial of US energy xenophobia.  Like...

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The rush for agricultural lands. What impact on Africa?

Alain ANTIL

Note de l'Ifri, january 2011

« Accaparement des terres africaines », « ruées sur les terres africaines », « ruée sur l'or vert africain », « nouvelle colonisation » : depuis deux ans, le sujet fait...

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The Water in a Cup of Tea - a Water and Energy Primer

William C. RAMSAY

The Energy Editorial, March 2011

Ever give a thought to how much water there is in your cup of tea?  I know the volume in the cup is about 8 ounces – but it is hot - hopefully around 100 degrees Celsius or 212 Farenheit.  So you had to heat it up one way or another...

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La réorientation de la croissance chinoise

Jacques MISTRAL

Note de l'ifri, mars 2011

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European Energy Policy: Energy Savings Glass 2/3 Empty

Yamina SAHEB

The Energy Editorial, March 2011

Summing up Europe’s climate policies suggests we still haven’t grasped the full potential for energy savings. We act as if we were living in a system with infinite resources easily exploited by human innovation and ingenuity. We focus on...

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Japan's Nuclear Crisis - a Time for Support

William C. RAMSAY

The Energy Editorial, March 2011

These are terrifying moments.  No one could ever have imagined that the Japanese nuclear sector could fall victim to such a seismic event.  No country has spent more time building safeguards against seismic events than the Japanese who...

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Mieux gouverner la zone euro : le fragile compromis franco-alllemand

Christian DEUBNER

Note du Cerfa, n°82, mars 2011

  Pour de nombreux observateurs allemands, la politique de l'Union européenne (UE) pendant la crise financière a été trop fortement marquée par les conceptions françaises et aurait enfreint des...

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Rising (oil-linked) gas prices - a message from shale ga

William C. RAMSAY

The Energy Editorial, March 2011

One benefit that should flow soon from large new sources of shale gas that have been and will be unleashed into world markets – is the realization that gas prices linked to oil prices don’t make sense any more.  The counterintuitive...

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Doing Business in Russia: Informal Practices and Anti-Corruption Strategies

Alena LEDENEVA, Stanislav SHEKSHNIA

Russie.Nei.Visions, No. 58, March 2011

To understand corporate corruption in Russia and to develop both anti-corruption policies at the macro level and anti-corruption strategies at the enterprise level effectively we need to move beyond the predominant corruption paradigm and to...

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Бизнес в России: неформальные практики и антикоррупционные стратегии

Алена ЛЕДЕНЕВА, Станислав ШЕКШНЯ

Russie.Nei.Visions, n° 58, март 2011

Для понимания корпоративной коррупции в...

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Un leadership par la crédibilité - Prospectives franco-allemandes sur l'avenir de l'UE

Andreas MARCHETTI, Louis-Marie CLOUET

Visions franco-allemandes n°18, mars 2011

  Ces Visions franco-allemandes présentent quatre scénarios d’avenir de l’Union européenne (UE) à l’horizon 2020. L’UE dispose incontestablement de ressources politiques et économiques...

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Energy Efficiency: The Commission's complicated calculations

Jacques LESOURNE

The Energy Editorial, March 2011

Who hasn’t heard of the 3x20, those pillars of European energy policy?  And yet who is able to give their exact definition?Recently, the Commission announced that current efforts are insufficient to achieve the third goal, concerning the...

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The effects of Baghdad politics on Kurdistani gas prospect

Sam WILKIN

Actuelles, March 2011

This paper examines the effects of internal Iraqi politics on the potential for exporting Kurdistani natural gas.  It examines Baghdad’s policy with regards to both oil and gas, and predicts what effects it will have on Kurdistan’s...

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GMES, the second flagship

Christophe VENET, Laurence NARDON

The Europe & Space Series #3, March 2011

The Global Monitoring for Environment and Security (GMES) Program is often overshadowed by what is perceived to be the flagship program of European space, Galileo. As a matter of fact, GMES is just as important and faces many similar challenges.

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La posture stratégique indienne face au défi pakistanais

Guillem MONSONIS

Focus stratégique, no.28, february 2011

In 1998, Pakistan conducted its first nuclear tests, transforming the regional strategic balance. India's previous posture, based on the Sundarji doctrine, was found to be inadequate in this new context. To break this strategic deadlock, India...

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Migrations et développement: l'enjeu environnemental et l'avenir des politiques migratoires

François GEMENNE

Programme "Le Maghreb dans son environnement régional et international" - Mars 2011

This paper analyzes the future of migrations related to climate changes and environment degradations. He shows how the dominant public reasoning remains inappropriate for addressing these issues, because of the Western/Northern countries'...

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Les économies asiatiques face à la crise économique et financière

Françoise NICOLAS

Questions internationales, La Documentation française, n°48, mars-avril 2011.

Dix ans après la crise financière de 1997-98, les économies d’Asie orientale traversent à nouveau une zone de turbulence, sous l’effet de la contagion de la crise économique globale....

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L'Etat palestinien en question

Denis BAUCHARD

Notes de l'Ifri, mars 2010

La marche vers un Etat palestinien est longue et ardue, même si, sur le plan juridique, la création de deux Etats, l'un juif, l'autre arabe, a été prévue dès le plan de partage adopté par le Conseil...

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Developing Research in Russian Universities

Irina DEZHINA

Russie.Nei.Visions, No.57, February 2011

This article addresses the key features and the state of research in Russian higher education establishments. It examines measures taken to support research in universities and to integrate R&D with higher education since the fall of the Soviet...

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Развитие науки в российских вузах

Ирина ДЕЖИНА

Russie.Nei.Visions, n°57, Февраль 2011

В статье рассматриваются вопросы...

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What is a Think Tank?

Thierry de MONTBRIAL

February 28, 2011

When I was laying the foundations for the French Institute of International Relations (IFRI) 2 in 1978 and 1979, only a select few in France were familiar with the English term „think tank‟ and had at least an approximate idea of what it...

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Peut-on gouverner la mondialisation ?

Jacques MISTRAL

Note de l'ifri, février 2011

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Strategic Stability in the Cold War: Lessons for Continuing Challenges

David S. YOST

Proliferation Paper, no.36, Winter 2011

During the Cold War, the phrase “strategic stability” gained currency both as a foreign policy objective and as an apt way of describing the fact that the United States and the Soviet Union never actually went to war. To what extent...

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Renewables in Transport: Directive 2009/28/EC - Devils in its Details

Sam WILKIN

Actuelles de l'Ifri, February 2011

This Actuelle precedes a longer and more exhaustive paper on Electric Vehicles, under the title "The Electric Vehicle in the Climate Change Race: Tortoise, Hare or both?" by Maïté de Boncourt As part of the 3*20 targets reached in...

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Reassessing the Role of the Media in Pakistan

Nazir HUSSAIN

Lettre du Centre Asie 56, February 2011

Despite spells of authoritarianism, Pakistan's rulers have never fully been able to subdue the media. In a world where the constant flow of information defies borders, such an endeavor becomes even more difficult. Even the state-controlled Pakistan...

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Le PKK dans l'impasse?

Julien CECILLON

Repères sur la Turquie n°4, 7 février 2011

Dopé depuis 2004 par l’instabilité irakienne, le PKK connaît aujourd’hui une crise : le mouvement est cerné sur le plan diplomatique et confronté à un problème de légitimité...

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Will there ever be a European Gas and Electricity Market ?

Jacques LESOURNE

The Energy Editorial, February 2011

A year ago, I would have responded to this question rather positively.  Nowadays, I am not so sure.  My relative optimism before was based on the replacement of a group of monopoly-holding (at least regionally) national operators, by an...

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Arctic Solutions: The Frozen (Thawing) Relations of the High North

Christopher SUMMERS

Note de l'Ifri, February 2011

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EU Council Feb 4: Strength in Unity

William C. RAMSAY

The Energy Editorial, February 2011

Community officials and heads of EU states and governments will meet this Friday at a Council called by President Herman VAN ROMPUY, to address energy security.  There are many critical topics that could be on the table, but there is some...

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Les camps de réfugiés et la guerre. Du sanctuaire à l'enfermement humanitaire ?

Marc-Antoine PEROUSE de MONTCLOS

Focus stratégique no.27, January 2011

Refugee and IDP camps, intended to protect civilians affected by conflicts and natural disasters, have an undeniable strategic importance, and their management can be critical for the resolution of crises. During the Cold War, camps – often...

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Les Balkans vus de Berlin aujourd'hui

Franz-Lothar Altmann

Note du Cerfa, n°81, janvier 2011

  La Chute du mur et la réunification ont fait de l’Allemagne le partenaire privilégié des Etats de l’Europe du Sud-Est, à même de les soutenir dans leur intégration européenne. Les...

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Un schéma migratoire reconfiguré, dans les faits et dans l'approche politique

Mehdi LAHLOU

Programme "Le Maghreb dans son environnement régional et international" - Février 2011

This Note de l'Ifri is the third contribution to The European migration policies from a Southern perspective project, supported by the OCP group.

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German Energy Policy

Jacques LESOURNE

The Energy Editorial, January 2011

On the 28th September 2010, Angela Merkel announced her government’s publication of an “energy concept” describing the target which the Federal Republic hoped to give itself regarding its energy consumption in 2050.  Although...

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China FDI in France: Challenges and Opportunities

Françoise NICOLAS

Transnational Corporations Review, vol. 2, n° 4, December 2010.

Taking France as a case study, the paper suggests explanations for the presence of Chinese firms, assesses in detail the push and pull factors influencing their activities and provides a tentative assessment of possible impacts. The paper shows...

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Final Call for a European Space Strategy

João M. Santos

Europe.Visions, n°8, janvier 2011

Space poses both an opportunity and a challenge for Europe. And so does the new provision of the Lisbon Treaty – article 189 TFEU – that awards the EU an explicit competency on Space. According to most stakeholders, this new EU...

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The French Armenian Diaspora and Turkey: The possibility of dialogue?

Michel MARIAN et Christian MAKARIAN

26 January 2011

  Foreword For several decades, French persons of Armenian origin have played a special role in Franco-Turkish relations.  History explains this.  Armenians originally came to France fleeing the massacres at the end of the Ottoman...

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The Sovereign Debt Crisis and the Future of the Euro

Jacques MISTRAL

Note de l'Ifri, July 2010

The specter of sovereign defaults is back. The roots of a sovereign debt crisis are deep and concern all the industrialized countries. In 2010, those fears coagulated on Greece because Greece was the worst offender. Disgusted by the political...

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Energy Efficiency: Smart but not Sexy

Yamina SAHEB

The Energy Editorial, January 2011

Marie C.DONNELLY, DG Energy, reported that the EU is “unlikely to achieve a 20% reduction on the current set of policies” 1 by 2020. According to her, based on a modelling exercise, the estimate of energy savings “would be...

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Caveats to Civilian Aid Programs in Counterinsurgency. The French Experience in Afghanistan

Amaury de FELIGONDE

Focus stratégique, No 24 bis, December 2010

Amaury de Féligonde has just spent one year in Kapisa and Surobi as a project manager within the Afghan-Pakistan Interministerial Unit. Back in France, he expresses his personal views and draws conclusions from his experience. Thus, he...

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Russian Civil-Military Relations: Is There Something New with Medvedev ?

Thomas GOMART

Civil-Military Relations in Mdevedev's Russia, Stephen J. Blank, Editor

These three chapters originated in an SSI conference in January 2010 and go to the heart of a question of vital significance for both Asia and Russia, namely, what are Russia's prospects in Asia? The three papers outline the challenges Russia...

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The G20 and the Challenge of International Financial Re-regulation

Jacques MISTRAL

Note de l'Ifri, septembre 2010

The crisis, it is now widely accepted, means that markets failed. Meeting for the first time in Washington in November 2008, the G20 embarked in a ride of re-regulation. Months of negotiations later, it dramatically appears different to agree on...

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Les doubles nationaux, enquête sur les nouveaux entrepreneurs au Maroc

Marie BASSI, Christophe BERTOSSI

Programme "Le Maghreb dans son environnement régional et international", décembre 2010

  A partir d'une enquête de terrain réalisée au printemps 2010, cette étude part d'un constat empirique : des Marocains vivant dans un pays du Nord (France, Suède, États-Unis, Canada) et qui, pour...

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What Now for Obama?

Larry J. SABATO

Potomac Paper 6, January 2011

Larry J. Sabato, Professor of Politics at the University of Virginia, provides us with solid historical references and tools of analysis to understand midterms in general and those of 2010 in particular.  He points to the damaging effect of...

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How the Chinese See Russia

Bobo Lo

Russie.Nei.Reports, No. 6, December 2010

This essay examines Chinese attitudes toward Russia as a great power, neighbor, partner and competitor. China is in the midst of one of the most remarkable transformations in history.  During this dramatic period, the relationship with Russia...

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Education et formation : entre "Europe de la connaissance" et "excellence européenne"

Nele Katharina WISSMANN

L'Europe et le monde en 2020 Essai de prospective franco-allemande. Andreas Marchetti/Louis-Marie Clouet (éd.), Villeneuve d'Ascq: Septentrion 2011

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L'Islam et les ONG islamiques au Niger

Sylvain TOUATI

Article - janvier 2011

Sylvain Touati est chercheur associé au programme Afrique subsaharienne de l'Ifri. Cet article est paru à l'hiver 2011 dans les Carnets du CAP et est diffusé avec leur aimable autorisation. Pour citer l'article...

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L'économie allemande en sortie de crise. Une surprenante résilience

Rémi LALLEMENT

Note du Cerfa, n°80, décembre 2010

    Déjouant la plupart des prévisions, l’économie allemande se rétablit avec une rapidité surprenante, à peine un an après la crise la plus sévère qu’elle ait...

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The Politics of Amnesty in the Niger Delta. Challenges Ahead

Kathryn NWAJIAKU-DAHOU

Note de l'Ifri, décembre 2010

Armed groups, many affiliated to the Niger Delta-wide political organisation MEND, the Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta, proliferated throughout the oil producing states, particularly from early 2006 onwards. In January 2006, MEND...

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Involving ʺneo-urbansʺ in the political game. The example of Senegal

Alain ANTIL

Note de l'Ifri, december 2010

Une note rédigée l’an dernier concernait les « émeutes de la faim[1] » en Afrique subsaharienne, et avait permis, entre autre, de pointer l’extrême difficulté des pouvoirs en place...

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Global Governance of Biodiversity : New Perspectives on a Shared Challenge

Mireille Jardin, Raphaël Billé et al., Emma BROUGHTON

Health and Environment Reports, n° 6, December 2010

This report aims to provide a first mapping of the global governance of biodiversity, through an investigation of the interactions between the various actors, institutions, norms, tools and processes that structure it. It chooses to do so by...

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Israel's Immigrant Parties: An Inefficient Russia Lobby

Olena BAGNO, Zvi MAGEN

Russie.Nei.Visions No.56, December 2010

Since 2009 the influence of immigrant party Israel Beiteinu on foreign and security policy in Israel has grown. The party won 15 seats in the 2009 parliamentary elections and its leader, Avigdor Lieberman, became the Minister of Foreign...

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Влияние русскоязычных политических партий на внешнюю политику Израиля

Олена БАГНО, Цви МАГЕН

Russie.Nei.Visions n° 56, Декабрь 2010

Влияние партии иммигрантов «Наш дом...

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Galileo, the long road to European autonomy

Christophe VENET, Laurence NARDON

The Europe & Space series #2, december 2010

Galileo is one of the most ambitious programs ever managed by the EU. As such, it illustrates the challenges and the opportunities offered by the development of a European Space Policy at the political, industrial, economic and international...

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La Communauté de l'Energie : un bilan cinq ans aprè

Adélaïde BOODTS

Note de l'Ifri, December 2010

Il y a cinq ans, le Traité fondateur de la Communauté de l'énergie était signé à Athènes. Cette Communauté a été mise en place spécifiquement pour l’Europe du...

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La contribution japonaise en Afghanistan

Fumio SHIMIZU

Lettre du Centre Asie 55 - décembre 2010

L'opinion exprimée dans ce texte n'engage que son auteur. [1] Neuf ans après la chute du régime taliban, l'Afghanistan continue de faire face à de grands défis pour assurer sa stabilisation et son...

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Les perspectives du Shale Gas dans le monde

Bruno WEYMULLER

Note de l'Ifri, January 2011

Introduction L’arrivée du shale gas aux États-Unis a surpris par son caractère inattendu et la rapidité de son essor. La surprise vient aussi de ce que cette nouveauté concerne une énergie fossile...

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Observatoire de l'Asie du Nord-Est - Septembre 2008-août 2010

Céline PAJON, Valérie NIQUET

Rapport de l'Ifri, Paris, December 2010

Ces notes ont été rédigées dans le cadre de l'Observatoire stratégique de l'Asie du Nord-Est, conduit avec le soutien de la Délégation aux affaires stratégiques (DAS) du ministère de la...

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Beyond the Midterms: The Outlook for the Obama Administration

Report of the Annual Conference on the United States, December 2010

        One month after the midterm elections, it was time to step back and reflect upon the state of affairs at the time and future direction of President Obama’s Administration and deal with which campaign...

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Will we drive electric on Asian batteries?

Maïté de BONCOURT

The Energy Editorial, December 2010

The development of the electric car market, supported by public funding, needs to be monitored closely. Currently, except for Renault benefiting from its electric partnership with Nissan, batteries for electric vehicles will most likely be...

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Cancun : l'Union européenne n'a pas les moyens de ses ambitions

Maïté JAUREGUY-NAUDIN

The Energy Editorial, December 2010

Published in La Trubune, December 3, under the title "Cancun : l'Europe ne donne pas l'exemple".Parce qu’elle a porté le protocole de Kyoto sur les fonts baptismaux, l’UE peine à renoncer au « leadership »...

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L'Indonésie face à la montée en puissance économique de la Chine

Jean-Raphaël CHAPONNIERE

Asie Visions 36, December 2010

L'Indonésie est l'un des rares pays qui, doté de ressources naturelles, a réussi à diversifier son économie en s'engageant dans une stratégie de promotion des exportations manufacturières....

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L'approche transatlantique s'impose : Pour une initiative " éco-écologique " franco-allemande

Nele Katharina WISSMANN, Katrin SOLD

Dokumente/Documents 4/2010

  L’Union européenne a su laisser son empreinte sur un sujet incontournable à l’échelle internationale : la politique climatique. Ce thème est ainsi devenu le sujet phare de la politique...

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Neue Impulse aus Paris und Berlin? Finanzmarktreform im transatlantischen Spannungsverhältnis

Nele Katharina WISSMANN, Katrin SOLD

Dokumente/Documents 4/2010

  Les relations transatlantiques occupent une place centrale dans les politiques étrangères de la France et de l’Allemagne. Néanmoins, des dissensions voient régulièrement le jour entre les...

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L'intégration des immigrés d'origine turque en Allemagne

Martina SAUER

Note du Cerfa, n°79, novembre 2010

  Les questions d’immigration et d’intégration, focalisées particulièrement sur la minorité turque, ont été au cœur du débat politique en Allemagne cet automne, avec la...

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Serbia's Economy in a regional, EU and international context

Adélaïde BOODTS

South-East Europe n°3, December 2010

Issue d’un ensemble plus vaste qu’était la Yougoslavie, la Serbie, comme ses voisins, a fait face à un défi de taille. Ce défi consistait notamment à mettre en place un système économique...

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Fragile colosse du monde multipolaire

Thomas GOMART

Revue des deux mondes, octobre-novembre 2010, p 76-84

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Des Directives à la Charte: Une lecture critique de la politique européenne de lutte contre la discrimination raciale

Dorothée PRUD'HOMME

Note du programme Migrations, Identités, Citoyenneté, Novembre 2010

Depuis une quinzaine d'années, l'Union européenne met en place des outils législatifs, institutionnels, financiers et politiques pour lutter contre la discrimination raciale de façon cohérente et...

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The evolving architecture of space and security

Christophe VENET, Laurence NARDON

The Europe & Space series #1, november 2010

Today, Europe is taking initiatives both to prevent space weaponization and to develop space militarization. While national States remain the central players in this regard, the intergovernmental European Space Agency is increasingly involved in...

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Russia's Earth Observation Activities: Overview and Prospects for Expanded Cooperation with Europe

Christophe VENET, Jana ROBINSON

ESPI Perspectives 41, november 2010

Since the 1990s, cooperation between Europe and Russia in space has steadily expanded and became institutionalised. While successful projects were undertaken in areas like human spaceflight, launchers, space science or exploration, cooperation in...

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L'ONU, Pygmalion malhabile: la fragilité du nation building au Timor

Dominique LECOMPTE

Focus stratégique, no. 26, November 2010.

Lorsque le 25 octobre 1999 les Nations unies sont chargées d’administrer le Timor-Leste et de le mener à l’indépendance, le territoire est en ruine. Les Indonésiens ont saccagé les infrastructures, le...

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Les citoyens face à la défense européenne

André DUMOULIN

Europe.Visions, n°6, November 2010

De toute évidence, la politique européenne de sécurité et de défense navigue à vue et dépend du volontarisme des Etats membres englués dans les affres budgétaires. La recomposition de...

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European Defence Economy Afflicted by the Crisis

Olivier JEHIN

Europe.Visions, n°7, November 2010

The European defence sector generates €86 billion annually – and that is only taking into account the 2009 turnover of the European defence industry for the three areas - aeronautics, land forces and naval forces.  It is also a...

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Syria: Russia's Best Asset in the Middle East

Andrej KREUTZ

Russie.Nei.Visions, No.55, November 2010

Russia's foreign policy towards Syria and the Greater Middle East is generally not aggressive. It is a defensive policy aimed mainly at developing its traditional political and economic interests in the region and protecting its Southern borders. It...

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Сирия: главный российский козырь на Ближнем Востоке

Андрей КРЕЙЦ

Russie.Nei.Visions, n°55, Ноябрь 2010

Российская внешняя политика по...

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La Lutte contre le changement climatique suppose cohérence et rationalité

Jacques LESOURNE

The Energy Editorial, November 2010

A La fin de la Seconde Guerre Mondiale, quand la France manquait d’énergie pour la reconstruction et recrutait des mineurs pour ses houillères hors de la métropole, l’idée que les choix...

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2020 And Beyond: 2050 in light of the Copenhagen Accord

Christoph MEYER

Actuelles de l'Ifri, November 2010

At the end of the Copenhagen Conference of December 2009, the attending parties failed to agree on a legally binding commitment, but ultimately signed the Copenhagen Accord. The countries signing this accord took different engagements in respect to...

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Montrer la guerre asymétrique? L'exemple de la communication israélienne (2000-2009)

Marc HECKER, Thomas RID

in Israël et son armée, Etudes de l'Irsem, n°3, 2010.

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The Continuing Story of Europe and Space Security

A Conference organized by Ifri and the Secure World Foundation, Brussels, Oct 4th and 5th, 2010

While European institutions continue to discuss the use of space for security as well as the need for a stable space environment, the United States organized a series of space reviews this past year.  To explore these issues and foster an...

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Europe in electoral campaign : a cross-national analysis of the media

Yann-Sven RITTELMEYER, Nathalie BRACK et Cristina STANCULESCU

Politique européenne, n° 31, 2010, p. 173-203

  By means of a analysis of newspapers from ten countries, this article analyzes the nature of electoral campaigns for the June 2009 European Election. It assesses the "second-order" character of these campaigns and the degree of...

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Les déplacements de population comme outils de contre-insurrection. Le programme des hameaux stratégiques au Sud-Vietnam

Elie TENENBAUM

in Guerres mondiales et conflits contemporains, n°139, automne 2010, pp. 119-141.

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‘‘I'm Not a Feminist, But…'', a Comparative Analysis of the Women's Movement in the United States and France

Page Somerville ROBINSON

Potomac Paper 4, September 2010

The emergence of feminist movements over the last centuries provides a fascinating case study of the U.S.-French relationship. Based on regular exchanges et discussions as early as the 18th Century, theorists and activists have shared a growing...

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Où va l'École américaine?

Sylvie LAURENT

Potomac Paper 5, October 2010

The Obama administration has set out to reform the secondary school system. The main goal is to bridge the achievement gap between ethnic groups in the country. In line with former efforts, the administration seeks to apply free-markets principles...

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Migrations and Développement: a need for coherent policies adapted to reality

Jacques OULD AOUDIA

"The Maghreb in its regional and international environment" programme - October 2010

Migration is a universal phenomenon rising complex issues in sending countries as in receiving or transit countries. Yet, issues and stakes linked to the migratory phenomenon are often simplified by public debates as in public policies supposed to...

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8ième sommet des rencontres Asie-Europe (ASEM) - 4-5 octobre 2010 à Bruxelles - Le fossé entre les ambitions affichées et la réalité du rapport de force entre l'Europe et la Chine

Lettre du Centre Asie 54 - octobre 2010

Jamais un sommet de l'ASEM n'a produit une déclaration conjointe aussi longue et exhaustive que lors de cette 8ième réunion de haut niveau à Bruxelles réunissant 48 membres[1], dont pour la première fois, la...

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Electric Cars Charging Standards: Does it matter?

Maïté de BONCOURT

Actuelles de l'Ifri, October 2010

At the Paris Motor Show every car manufacturer presented its own electric car version: full electric or plug-in, urban or familial, private or utilitarian. One could have a look at these cars, but not open their “reservoir”as most of the...

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L'Allemagne et le contrôle parlementaire des services de Renseignement

Thorsten WETZLING

Note du Cerfa, n°78, octobre 2010

  Au cours des dernières années, la place du Renseignement dans la politique de sécurité contemporaine, ainsi que les enjeux qu’il représente pour la démocratie, se sont considérablement...

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The Upcoming Midterms: How Will Obama Fare?

Laurence NARDON

Chroniques Américaines, october 2010 (in French)

Le 2 novembre prochain ont lieu les élections de mi-mandat aux Etats-Unis. Les 435 membres de la Chambre des représentants et un tiers des sénateurs remettent leur siège en jeu, ainsi que cette année, 39 des ...

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Wind Power: a Victim of Policy and Politics?

Maïté JAUREGUY-NAUDIN

Note de l'Ifri, October 2010

Executive Summary In December 2008, as part of the fight against climate change, the European Union adopted the Energy and Climate package that endorsed three objectives toward 2020: a 20% increase in energy efficiency, a 20% reduction in GHG...

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France's Return into NATO. French Military Culture and Strategic Identity in Question

Anne-Henry DE RUSSE

Focus stratégique, No 22 bis, October 2010

More than 40 years after the unilateral decision by General de Gaulle to withdraw French forces from NATO's integrated military command, President Sarkozy decided that France would reintegrate the Atlantic Alliance’s military structure,...

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Electric Cars: the Orient and the Occident

Maïté de BONCOURT

The Editorial Energy, October 2010

China is looking ahead and thinking electric. The Chinese government recently announced the release of $15 billion in a “Manhattan-style” venture to support electric vehicle (EV) research, standardisation and development as part of its...

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"Soft Power" russe : discours, outils, impact

Tatiana KASTOUEVA-JEAN

Russie.Nei.Reports, n°5, octobre 2010

"En investissant dans les outils du « soft power » et de la « public diplomacy », la Russie souhaite, d'une part, améliorer son image internationale et, d'autre part, maintenir son rôle de puissance...

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Le débat sur la gouvernance fédérale au Pakistan

Gilles Boquérat

Asie Visions 33, September 2010

Avec l'adoption du 18e amendement en avril 2010, le Parlement pakistanais entendait, entre autre réformes, tourner la page des habitudes centralisatrices qui avait eu la faveur de la plupart des dirigeants du pays, notamment militaires, et...

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Evolution of the Australia-Japan Security Partnership: Toward a Softer Triangle Alliance with the United States?

Takashi TERADA

Asie.Visions 35, October 2010

This paper examines how and why the Australia-Japan defense and security partnership has evolved, what policy implications this new partnership has for the U.S.-Japan alliance system, and what constraints the further advancement of trilateral...

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La Chine dans le commerce international : un positionnement original mais fragile

Françoise NICOLAS

Accomex, n° 93, mai/juin 2010

D’une économie repliée sur elle-même à l’époque maoïste, la Chine est devenue en moins d’une trentaine d’années une puissance commerciale de premier plan, ravissant à...

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Nordstream: Just-in-time ?

William C. RAMSAY

The Energy Editorial, September 210

Last week the gritty Russian/Ukrainian gas relationship was back in the press.  This time the issue appeared to be Ukraine’s efforts to secure lower prices for its consumers – perhaps even on a par with Russia’s domestic...

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Migrations, remittances and development - Comparing experiences from Mexico and Maghreb

Flore GUBERT

"The Maghreb in its regional and international environment" programme - September 2010

The potential synergy between development and migration has become a key feature of most international migration politics. However, this relationship is far from evident. Flore Gubert helps better understand the complexity of this relationship...

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Spat in the East China Sea Offers Lesson on Raw Material Dependence

John SEAMAN

The Energy Editorial, September 2010

There is a valuable lesson to be learned about raw material dependence from the tensions between China and Japan in the East China Sea. It’s not about the oil and gas that is thought to be stored under the seabed in disputed waters, but rather...

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China-India Relations: Strategic Engagement and Challenges

ZHANG Li

Asie Visions 34, September 2010

Sino-Indian relations have become increasingly significant and produced widespread implications. The evolving bilateral relationship is reasonably seen as a result of their shifting strategies and the ever-changing global politico-economic...

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Rare Earths and Clean Energy: Analyzing China's Upper Hand

John SEAMAN

Note de l'Ifri, September 2010

An ominous resource crunch in the so-called “rare earth elements” is now threatening the development of a number of key industries from energy to defense to consumer electronics. As key components in the latest generation of...

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Les universités privées, "mal-aimées" de l'enseignement supérieur russe

Tatiana KASTOUEVA-JEAN

Russie.Nei.Reports n°4, septembre 2010

Cette monographie s'inscrit dans le cadre du projet de recherche « Zoom sur les universités russes » qui vise à analyser une série d'établissements d'enseignement supérieur russe (EES). Elle est...

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Contre-insurrection et action psychologique: tradition et modernité

François GERE

Focus stratégique, no.25, September 2010

Les conflits d’aujourd’hui se déroulent dans un environnement technologique bien plus sophistiqué que pendant la période de la décolonisation. De nouveaux moyens aisément accessibles permettent aux...

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Financing health policy in Germany

Rolf SCHMUCKER

Note du Cerfa, Nr. 77, August 2010

  Depuis le milieu des années 1970, tous les gouvernements fédéraux ont essayé de freiner la hausse des dépenses de la Gesetzliche Krankenversicherung (GKV), le système légal d’assurance...

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Schleichender Systemwechsel: Zur Finanzierungsreform der Gesetzlichen Krankenversicherung in Deutschland

Rolf SCHMUCKER

Note du Cerfa, Nr. 77, August 2010

Der Ausgabenanstieg in der Gesetzliche Krankenversicherung (GKV), vor allem aber der Anstieg der Beitragssätze und die damit verbundenen Belastungen für Arbeitgeber und Versicherte, ist in der deutschen Gesundheitspolitik seit langem ein...

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Carbon Dioxide Emissions: 17 Years ans still Talking

Christoph MEYER

Actuelles, July 2010

The 15th annual Conference of the Parties in Copenhagen last year saw delegations from 192 countries come together in an attempt to establish a global climate agreement for 2012 before the end of the first commitment period of the Kyoto protocol...

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Политика России на дальнем Востоке: существует ли альтернатива Китаю?

Стивен БЛАНК

Russie.Nei.Visions, n°54, Август 2010

Российские исследователи, такие как...

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Russia's Far East Policy: Looking Beyond China

Stephen BLANK

Russie.Nei.Visions No.54, August 2010

Russian writers like Dmitri Trenin have called developing the Russian Far East (RFE) a civilizational task. At the same time Moscow has acknowledged that developing the RFE is the foundation for any successful Russian claim to an independent great...

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United States Nuclear Posture: Between Discourse and Pragmatism

Corentin BRUSTLEIN

in RAMSES 2011, September 2010

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German military engagement in Afghanistan: conditions, assessment, outlook

Markus KAIM

Note du Cerfa, 76, July 2010

Since the beginning of 2010, German authorities have become conscious of the fact that they cannot continue to maintain the Bundeswehr’s involvement in Afghanistan with a majority of the German population opposing it. It is clearly understood...

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Deutschlands Einsatz in Afghanistan: Die sicherheitspolitische Dimension

Markus KAIM

Note du Cerfa, Nr. 76, Juli 2010

Bei der internationalen Afghanistan-Konferenz am 28. Januar 2010 sollten aus deutscher Sicht, die Ziele und Instrumente der internationalen Gemeinschaft, die für den Wiederaufbau des Landes eine Rolle spielen, auf den Prüfstand...

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Kosovo : deux ans après la déclaration d'indépendance

Sébastien GRICOURT

South-East Europe n°2, July 2010

Two and a half years after its declaration of independence, on 17 February 2008, Kosovo moves barely towards the affirmation of its sovereignty. Serbia does not give up and counts on the forthcoming advisory opinion of the International Court of...

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La coopération civile en Afghanistan. Une coûteuse illusion?

Amaury de FELIGONDE

Focus stratégique, no.24, August 2010

L'auteur de ce Focus stratégique vient de passer un an en Kapisa et Surobi en qualité de chef de projet au sein de la Cellule Interministérielle Afghanistan Pakistan. De retour en France et s'exprimant à titre...

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The Tea Party Movement: Further Analysis

Laurence NARDON

Chroniques Américaines, July 2010 (in French)

A quelques mois des élections de mi-mandat, le Parti républicain bénéficie des mauvais sondages du président Obama et envisage des résultats électoraux satisfaisants.  Les Républicains...

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MALE Drones: Europe's Options ?

Louis-Marie CLOUET, Laurence NARDON

Note de l'Ifri, July 2010

European countries, lead by France, are expected to take a decision soon on the development and acquisition of MALE drones. Their choices will be crucial not anly for the preservation of European operational sovereignty in military terms but also...

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Crise en Thaïlande et manipulation politique

Charuwan LOWIRA-LULIN

Lettre du Centre Asie 53, July 2010

Les derniers événements violents qu'a connus la Thaïlande entre mars et mai 2010 se sont terminés dramatiquement avec plus de 80 morts, plusieurs milliers de blessés, militaires et manifestants, l'incendie de...

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Results of the "Reset" in US-Russian Relations

R. Craig NATION

Russie.Nei.Visions, No.53, July 2010

The administrations of Barack Obama and Dmitry Medvedev have committed to a process of "resetting" US-Russian relations on a foundation of mutual interests and pragmatic collaboration. In the year since the agenda was originally articulated the...

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Российско-американские отношения: первые результаты "Перезагрузки"

Р. Крэг НЭЙШН

Russie.Nei.Visions, n°53, Июль 2010

Администрации Барака Обамы и Дмитрия...

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Fiscal Deficit, Crowding Out, and the Sustainability of Economic Growth: The Case of the Indian Economy

Sunitha RAJU, Jaydeep MUKHERJEE

Asie Visions 31, July 2010

This study examines the long-run relationship between the fiscal deficit, the crowding out of private capital formation and net exports for the Indian economy during the period from 1980-81 to 2008-09. Applying unit root tests and cointegration...

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An Analysis of North Korea's Principal Trade Relations

Hyung-Gon JEONG, Hokyung BANG

Asie Visions 32, July 2010

The Direction of Trade Statistics by IMF is the most representative statistical data for bilateral trade with North Korea. However, IMF statistics underestimate North Korea's international trade since they do not classify inter-Korean trade as...

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Une nouvelle paralysie politique au Japon ?

Céline PAJON

Lettre du Centre Asie 52, July 2010

Les élections partielles du 11 juillet à la chambre haute japonaise (sangiin) ont conduit à une cuisante défaite pour la coalition gouvernementale. Le renouvellement portait sur la moitié des 242 sièges du...

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To Put an End To Criticism Towards Aid

Gérald Liscia

Outline of Current Trends

Introduction : Alors que l’on s’interroge de façon de plus en plus vive sur l’impact et l’efficacité des politiques d’aide au développement, il devient nécessaire, pour éclairer ce...

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Potential Strategic Consequences of the Nuclear Energy Revival

Charles D. FERGUSON

Proliferation Papers, no. 35, Summer 2010

Renewed interest throughout the globe in harnessing nuclear energy has raised concern about security threats from states and non-state actors while holding out the promise of more electricity for more people. The focus of this paper is on assessing...

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La France et l'Allemagne face à la crise de l'euro : A la recherche de la convergence perdue

Pascal KAUFFMANN et Henrik UTERWEDDE

Visions franco-allemandes n°17, juillet 2010

L'actualité européenne récente a été marquée par un certain nombre de controverses franco-allemandes depuis le début de la crise économique de 2007 et de la crise budgétaire et...

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Les armées britanniques. Un modèle en crise

Pierre CHAREYRON

Focus stratégique, no. 23, July 2010

  Le Royaume-Uni est entré dans l'ère de l'après 11 septembre avec un modèle d'armée repensé à la fin des années 1990 en fonction de deux grands axes de réflexion. L'absence de...

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De facto Trade Integration and Exchange Rate Policies in East Asia

Françoise NICOLAS

in Andreosso-O'Callaghan, B. and B. Zolin (eds), Current Issues in Economic Integration: Can Asia Inspire the West?, Ashgate, London, 2010.

  Economic integration in East Asia has proceeded along very different lines from the European Union experience. While de facto and de jure regional trade integration have gone hand in hand in the latter case, economic interlinkages have kept...

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Ianoukovitch et la politique étrangère ukrainienne : retour à l'équilibre ?

Dominic FEAN

Politique étrangère 2:2010

Article only available in French.

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European Space Activities in the Global Context

Christophe VENET, Wolfgang RATHGEBER

in: Schrogl, K-U./Baranes, B./Rathgeber, W./Venet, C. (Eds.): Yearbook on Space Policy 2008/2009: Setting New Trends. Wien: SpringerWienNewYork (2010)

The article provides a comprehensive overview of global space activities in 2008/2009 with a special focus on Europe. It first acknowledges the transversal nature of space activities by linking them to the broader economic and political trends. It...

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Developments in Space Programmes and Technologies Throughout the World and in Europe

Christophe VENET, Wolfgang RATHGEBER

in: Schrogl, K-U./Baranes, B./Rathgeber, W./Venet, C. (Eds.): Yearbook on Space Policy 2008/2009: Setting New Trends. Wien: SpringerWienNewYork (2010)

2008 and 2009 saw particularly important developments in the specific areas of space transportation, space sciences and exploration, satellite applications and technology developments. The article conducts a thorough review of these trends, adopting...

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An Azeri-Turkish deal on gas - a partnership renewed

Agata LOSKOT- STRACHOTA

The Energy Editorial, June 2010

  The package of the Azeri-Turkish gas agreements signed in Istanbul on 7 June in the presence of President Ilham Aliyev and Prime Minister Recep Erdogan certainly makes cooperation easier in a sector which both parties consider to be...

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Les Etats-Unis et l'Union Européenne: le constat de 17 ans d'évolution (1990-2007)

Jacques LESOURNE, Maïté JAUREGUY-NAUDIN

The Energy Editorial, June 2010

Quatre séries de chiffres suffisent à rendre compte des similitudes et des différences entre les évolutions de l’Europe et des Etats-Unis dans la lutte contre le changement climatique, de 1990, année de la...

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Russian Gas Diplomacy

William C. RAMSAY

The Energy Editorial, June 2010

Thank goodness our early warning systems during the cold war were not structured so we could see the flash at the same time we heard the warning.  On Monday, the Russians notified the Europeans under an “Early Warning” agreement...

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Maghreb countries' economic projection on sub-Saharan Africa

Nezha Alaoui

The Maghreb in its regional and international environment

While largely interrupted by the colonial period premise, trade relations between the Maghreb and sub-Saharan Africa have enjoyed a new boom  with the independence era. However, until the end of the 1990s, the African policy of the three...

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Chinese and Indian economic presence in the Maghreb

Françoise NICOLAS

The Maghreb in its regional and international environment

One of the major events of the last couple of decades has been the rise of China and India, reflected by their increasingly important economic presence in the world, both in terms of trade flows and of foreign direct investments. Africa, which has...

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The United States' economic strategy and presence in the Maghreb

Kassim BOUHOU

The Maghreb in its regional and international environment

Before the 9/11 events, US-Maghreb relations were growing stronger, especially after the United States had long left the floor to the Maghreb’s “natural” European partner. Therefore the American action in this region was in line...

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The Gulf Cooperation Council in the Maghreb: exchange and investment strategies

Radhi Meddeb

The Maghreb in its regional and international environment

       The Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) is a regional organization which was created in 1981, reassembling six Arab countries together: Saudi Arabia, Kuwait, Bahrain, Oman, Qatar, and the United Arab Emirates (UAE)....

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Tuaregs' relations to States: the case of Algeria and Libya.

Dida Badi

Note de l'Ifri, 2010, The Maghreb in its regional and international environment

The industrial revolution underwent by Europe in the 18th century has triggered the need for the major colonial powers to find new markets for their manufactured products. It is in this colonial competitive framework that European explorers...

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Arabs and Tuaregs in colonial and Malian armed forces: a story in trompe-l'oeil

Charles Grémont

The Maghreb in its regional and international environment

This contribution consists in analyzing the unifying or opposing relations between the central State-power and the southern part of central-Saharan populations, mainly Arabs and Tuaregs, within the relational framework of colonial and Malian armed...

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Trafficking in the Sahel-Saharan zone: features and stakes

Jean-Luc Peduzzi

The Maghreb in its regional and international environment

On November 5th 2009, a cocaine-loaded Boeing 727 aircraft arriving from Venezuela was discovered torched and emptied on a makeshift airstrip in the Malian desert (Gao region). The sahel-saharan area is clearly a contact zone between very distant...

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Morocco and its "new border". A critical lecture of Morocco's economic African strategy

Alain Antil

The Maghreb in its regional and international environment

Since Mohammed VI came into power, Morocco’s African policy has undergone notable change in comparison to his predecessor’s period. Strictly speaking, this evolution does not break with the past but is rather synonymous with continuity,...

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Controlling trafficking or losing the North : notes on trafficking in Mauritania

Alain Antil

The Maghreb in its regional and international environment

Our interest in this topic stems both from our annual visits to Mauritania which started fifteen years ago, and the tiny amount of research noticed on trafficking in this country. Indeed, trafficking is an important phenomenon in the Islamic...

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Understanding the Issue of U.S. Military Bases in Okinawa

Céline PAJON

Asie.Visions 29, June 2010

The failure of Prime Minister Hatoyama to transfer the dangerous U.S. military base of Futenma out of Okinawa hastened his resignation, announced on June 2nd. The issue of U.S. bases in Okinawa is indeed particularly complex because it combines...

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Ampo at 50: The Faltering US-Japan Relationship

Gavan MCCORMACK

Asie.Visions 30, June 2010

For the last 50 years the governance of the US-Japan alliance has often been characterized by secret diplomacy and discretionary choices. In the post-war period Japan's strategic choices have given overall priority to sustaining a strong security...

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Les réformes sociales Hartz IV à l'heure de la rigueur en Allemagne

Brigitte LESTRADE

Notes du Cerfa n°75, juin 2010

  Le débat autour du dispositif « Hartz IV » d’aide aux chômeurs de longue durée introduit par le gouvernement Schröder en 2005, a été relancé avec force au début de...

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Chinese Perceptions of the Utility of Nuclear Weapons. Prospects and Potential Problems in Disarmament

Jing-dong YUAN

Proliferation Papers, no. 34, Spring 2010

This paper takes a careful look at China's perceptions of the role of nuclear weapons in its national security policy and defense posture. This is important because China is perceived to be the only country among the five original nuclear-weapon...

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Кремлевский путь в Мекку: Саудовская Аравия в российской дипломатии

Жюльен НОСЕТТИ

Russie.Nei.Visions, n° 52, Июнь 2010

Отношения между Россией и Саудовской...

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From Moscow to Mecca: Russia's Saudi Arabian Diplomacy

Julien Nocetti

Russie.Nei.Visions, No. 52, June 2010

Relations between Russia and Saudi Arabia have never been as friendly as they were in 2009. After years of tension over Saudi support for Islamist fundamentalism in the post-Soviet space and Russia's proximity to Iran and Iraq, Moscow and Riyadh...

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De facto and de jure regional economic integration in East Asia: How do they interact

Françoise NICOLAS

Singapore Economic Review, vol. 55, No 1, April 2010, pp. 7-25.

A salient feature of the East Asian region is the persistent discrepancy between the progress in de facto and de jure economic integration. East Asia has long been said to be the champion of loose regional economic integration, with deepening...

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Internet et politique aux Etats-Unis

François VERGNIOLLE de CHANTAL

Potomac Paper 3, June 2010

The growing use of the internet by citizens (blogs, social networks, on-line donations, etc...) certainly impacts the way politics are done in the United States. However, the internet may not be as democratizing a political tool as it seems. The...

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The Financial Challenges of the Sub-Saharan Africa Telecoms Boom

Henri Tcheng, Jean-Michel Huet, Mouna Romdhane

June 2010

Telecom industry has taken a significant place within of the economy of most African countries. In this aspect, it is an undeniable source of economic growth and development. It impacts on the financial sphere at three levels. Firstly, telecom...

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Saving Wind from its Subsidies

William C. RAMSAY

The Energy Editorial, June 2010

European subsidies for wind energy are too high and unspecific.  They risk frustrating their own objective.  Anyone with some property, a limited amount of capital and some initiative can become a wind baron.  Politicians have...

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ICT and health systems in Africa

Jean-Michel Huet, Mouna Romdhane et Henri Tcheng

Note de l'Ifri, June 2010

An increasing number of projects in the health sector in Africa draw on Information and Communication Technologies (ICT). ICTs can help us answer, if only partially, the three main challenges posed to health in Africa: promote health insurance,...

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Die MALE Drohnen: Handlungsperspektiven für Europa

Louis-Marie CLOUET, Laurence NARDON

Note de l'Ifri, Mai 2010

Die europäischen Länder, Frankreich allen voran, müssen umgehend eine Entscheidung bezüglich der Entwicklung und Anschaffung von Drohnen des Typs MALE (Medium Altitude Long Endurance) treffen. Ihre Beschlüsse werden...

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La France dans l'OTAN. La culture militaire française et l'identité stratégique en question

Anne-Henry de RUSSÉ

Focus stratégique no.22, June 2010

Plus de quarante ans après la décision unilatérale du général De Gaulle de retirer les forces armées françaises du commandement intégré de l’OTAN, le président Sarkozy a...

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MALE UAVs: Which Choices for Europe?

Louis-Marie CLOUET, Laurence NARDON

Note de l'Ifri, May 2010

Les pays européens, France en tête, doivent prendre sans tarder une décision en matière de développement et d’acquisition de drones MALE. Leurs choix seront cruciaux non seulement pour préserver la...

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Japan's ambivalent diplomacy on climate change

Céline PAJON

Health and Environment Reports, n° 5, May 2010

Japan often pictures itself as an environmental leader. While many examples of Japan’s actions against climate change are in line with global climate change norms, others can be in opposition to them. This study, based on first hand...

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Russia and Turkey: Rethinking Europe to Contest Outsider Status

Richard SAKWA

Russie.Nei.Visions, No.51, May 2010

International relations in Europe are now entering a period of flux as the legacy of the cold war wanes and the "outsider" countries, notably Russia and Turkey, are rethinking their mutual relations as well as their place in the world. The current...

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Выйти из положения "аутсайдеров": Россия, Турция и альтернативные концепции Европы

Ричард САКВА

Russie.Nei.Visions, n°51, май 2010

По мере затихания отзвуков холодной...

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Jurassic Oil

William C. RAMSAY

The Energy Editorial, May 2010

Why do we have to drill through a mile of water and then three miles of rock to get oil?  Surely there are better options in the world’s geologic resource base than deep, acidic, high pressure deposits that threaten the waters and coasts...

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Europe in Russian Foreign Policy: Important but no longer Pivotal

Thomas GOMART

Russie.Nei.Visions, No.50, May 2010

It is now necessary to ask ourselves what place Europe holds in Russian foreign policy, given the recent developments in the latter. Indeed, Europe is by far Russia's most important partner. Nevertheless, Russia is developing a discourse of emerging...

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Европа в российской внешней политике: необходимый, но недостаточный партнёр

Тома ГОМАР

Russie.Nei.Visions, n° 50, Май 2010

Недавняя эволюция российской внешней...

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Vers la fin de la projection de forces ? II. Parades opérationnelles et perspectives politiques

Corentin BRUSTLEIN

Focus stratégique no.21, May 2010

For more than a decade, US defense circles have been concerned about the emergence of capabilities and strategies, which, as they spread, risk imperiling the United States’ position in the world by their ability to disrupt or prevent force...

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Turkey's "French Problem"

Semih IDIZ

Note franco-turque, n° 3, mai 2010

Depuis plusieurs années la relation bilatérale franco-turque traverse une phase de crise et de réajustements. Le schéma traditionnel de relation, marqué par une histoire diplomatique très ancienne remontant...

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A Shadow over the Himalayas: India's Tibet Problem

Prem Shankar JHA

Asie.Visions 28, May 2010

This article explains the central role of the Tibetan issue in complicating Sino-Indian relations. It analyses three years of building tensions between China and India over, nominally, the Arunachal Pradesh that could very well have led to conflict....

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Disaster in Gulf not a Disaster for Obama

William C. RAMSAY

The Energy Editorial, May2010

Pundits argue that the BP accident in the US Gulf is a final nail in the coffin of President Obama’s energy and environment legislation.  They conclude that American energy and environment policy will be left in disarray with little hope...

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L'avenir des Verts allemands : vers un parti charnière ?

Christoph EGLE

Note du Cerfa n°74, mai 2010

En trente ans, les Verts ont pu s’implanter durablement dans le paysage politique allemand et exercer une influence considérable sur la vie politique allemande grâce à leur participation à différents...

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Vers la fin de la projection de forces ? I. La menace du déni d'accès

Corentin BRUSTLEIN

Focus stratégique no.20, April 2010

Force projection has become a general posture and a fundamental dimension of the influence Western powers intend to exert over the world by means of their armed forces. However, for the last fifteen years, Western states' adoption of...

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A Smiling Medveded

William C. RAMSAY

The Energy Editorial, April 2010

In Denmark last Tuesday, President Medvedev said he had a smiling face for the world. Not surprising. The deal he is reported to have done with President Yanukovitch should bring smiles to many Russian faces – mostly in the Kremlin. However,...

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Russia's Greater Middle East Policy: Securing Economic Interests, Courting Islam

Mark N. KATZ

Russie.Nei.Visions, No.49, April 2010

Russia's foreign policy toward the Greater Middle East is not an aggressive, anti-Western one, but a defensive policy aimed more at protecting Russian economic interests, working with virtually any government that opposes Sunni radicalism, and...

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Российская политика на Большом Ближнем Востоке или искусство дружить со всеми

Марк Н. КАТЦ

Russie.Nei.Visions, n° 49, Апрель 2010

Не являясь ни агрессивной, ни...

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North Korea's Nuclear Weapons Development: Implications for Future Policy

Jonathan D. POLLACK

Proliferation Papers, no. 33, Spring 2010

Despite the resumption of high-level diplomatic contact between Washington and Pyongyang in late 2009, realization of a non-nuclear Korean Peninsula remains a very remote prospect, with the DPRK insisting that a peace agreement between the U.S....

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Copenhagen's Legacy is Ambiguity

William C. RAMSAY

2010 Annual Conference Report

  The third Ifri Annual Energy Conference held at the Plaza Hotel, Brussels in February 2010 posed the question: “How do we begin effectively to close the gap between climate change policies and current practices – or put another...

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European Energy Treaty: Right Problems Wrong Answe

William C. RAMSAY

The Energy Editorial, April 2010

Jacques Delors’ Notre Europe has rendered a considerable service to European energy policy thinkers, but his proposed European Energy Treaty is the wrong answer.  Notre Europe has well identified the challenges of the next decades in...

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Le partenariat économique Allemagne – Russie : une interdépendance assumée

Christian MEIER

Note du Cerfa n°73, avril 2010

Depuis 2007, l’Allemagne a perdu son statut de premier pays partenaire commercial de Moscou, au profit de la Chine. Les répercussions de la crise financière et économique internationale ont entraîné un recul...

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Energy Security, Transnational Pipelines and China's Role in Asia

John SEAMAN

Asie.Visions 27, April 2010

In recent decades, China's transformation from a regional energy supplier to one of the world's largest net energy importers, in particular with regards to oil and gas, has led to an increasing sense of energy insecurity in Chinese policy circles....

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Deutsch-Russische Wirtschaftsbeziehungen 2005-2010: Bestimmungsfaktoren, Praxis und Perspektiven

Christian MEIER

Note du Cerfa, Nr. 73, April 2010

    2005 war Deutschland Russlands bedeutendster Handelspartner, der wichtigste ausländische Investor und der größte internationale Gläubiger. Ende 2007 hat Deutschland dennoch den Spitzenplatz unter den...

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Les nouveaux horizons de la diplomatie turque

Dorothée SCHMID

Questions internationales n°42, mars-avril 2010

Longtemps, la politique étrangère turque a obéi à un certain nombre de préceptes fondamentaux stables et idéologiquement identifiables, notamment un alignement sur l’Occident dans le cadre de...

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Moldova: A Status Quo of EU Institutional Relations

Florentina HARBO

South-East Europe n°1, April 2010

The barbed wire at the Prut River, on the Republic of Moldova’s (Moldova) border with Romania and, thus, with Europe will be removed by March 2010. This way, the last soviet “wall” will be torn. Maybe this symbolic action will open...

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Coming in from the Cold: An Update on North Korea's External Economic Relations

Françoise NICOLAS

Asie.Visions 26, April 2010

This brief analysis of the current external economic relations of the DPRK leads to a number of conclusions. First, the North Korean economy maintains very limited exposure to the outside world and, as a result, to external influence. In terms of...

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The Palestinian State In Question

Denis BAUCHARD

Note de l'Ifri, Paris, March 2010

La marche vers un Etat palestinien est longue et ardue, même si, sur le plan juridique, la création de deux Etats, l'un juif, l'autre arabe, a été prévue dès le plan de partage adopté par le Conseil de...

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L'Ukraine bleue : un pays européen non-aligné ?

Susanne NIES

Quels changements, notamment énergétiques ?

Viktor Ianoukovitch, quatrième président de l’Ukraine depuis l’indépendance du pays, a été investi le 25 février 2010. Il avait emporté la victoire contre sa rivale Ioulia Timochenko au...

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Der Europäische Auswärtige Dienst. Deutsch-französische Initiativen für die europäische Diplomatie

Yann-Sven RITTELMEYER, Samy SAADI

Dokumente - Zeitschrift für den deutsch-französischen Dialog, Verlag Dokumente GmbH, 2010, n°2, p. 11-14

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Climate Change: When the Media play the Role of Speculators

Jacques LESOURNE

The Energy Editorial, March 2010

Climate change, the risks it implies, the time horizons it imposes and the extent of possible consequences it threaten are exposing how the media deals with public issues.From 2008 to 2010, the media has behaved like a market speculator.  From...

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Feue la taxe carbone, vers une écotaxe européenne ?

Maïté JAUREGUY-NAUDIN

The Energy Editorial, March 2010

La taxe carbone était une bonne idée et reste un outil adapté à la lutte contre le changement climatique et aux réductions d’émissions qu’elle exige. Une première mouture, imparfaite mais...

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Последствия экономического кризиса для внутренней и внешней политики России

Джеффри МАНКОФФ

Russie.Nei.Visions, n°48, Март 2010

Новое повышение цен на нефть позволило...

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Who Needs OPEC - Russia steps up to the Plate ?

William C. RAMSAY

The Energy Editorial, March 2010

News that Conoco will sell off a significant portion of its Russian holdings is couched in terms of various corporate strategies that make all this perfectly normal.  Conoco is said to need cash and will anyway have a 10% share remaining in...

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Internal and External Impact of Russia's Economic Crisis

Jeffrey MANKOFF

Russie.Nei.Visions, No.48, March 2010

Even though Russia's economy has returned to growth-on the back of higher oil prices-the financial crisis of 2008-09 will continue to reverberate across Russian politics and foreign policy. Domestically, the crisis has called into question the...

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German power options: Lack of clarity will be costly

Christian SCHÜLKE

The Energy Editorial, March 2010

The German environment minister Norbert Röttgen (CDU) revived the German debate about the future of nuclear power in February when he argued for a limited lifetime extension of Germany’s nuclear plants. His statements created much dissent...

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L'Université technique Bauman : un atout majeur de la politique industrielle russe

Carole SIGMAN

Russie.Nei.Reports n°3, mars 2010

Cette monographie s'inscrit dans le cadre d'un projet de recherche, « Zoom sur les universités russes », qui vise à analyser une série d'établissements d'enseignement supérieur russe....

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Trans Saharan Gas Pipeline: Mirage or real Opportunity?

Benjamin AUGE

Note de l'Ifri, March 2010

Summary: 8 % of worldwide gas reserves are located on the African continent. Its relative economic weakness and the almost total absence of gas networks leads to a very reduced interior consumption (almost nonexistent outside Algeria and Egypt)...

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Crises et défis de l'industrie automobile allemande

Helmut BECKER

Note du Cerfa n°72, mars 2010

Secteur clé de l'économie allemande, l'industrie automobile paie des erreurs stratégiques d'investissements, des charges sociales élevées et un manque de flexibilité, conséquence de...

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Security of Supply is indivisible

William C. RAMSAY

The Energy Editorial, March 2010

The European gas market has an unusually large number of moving parts just now.  Demand forecasts are buffeted by announcements of great expectations in de-carbonizing the energy mix, differing expectations on the longer term economic growth...

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Violence in the Bush: How International Peacebuilding faces Land-use Conflicts

Florence LIEGEOIS, Thierry VIRCOULON

Note de l'Ifri, February 2010

Following the conflict in Ituri (1999-2003), the International Community deployed different peacebuilding programs in this north-eastern district of the Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC). Built around a concept of democratic transition at the...

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From Kunming to Mandalay: The New "Burma Road"

Abel TOURNIER, Hélène LE BAIL

Asie.Visions 25, March 2010

From Kunming to Mandalay: The New "Burma Road". Developments along the Sino-Myanmar border since 1988. The present paper aims to describe the vitality and complexity of bilateral trade along the Sino-Myanmar border. Three aspects have been...

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Soutien santé: le défi afghan

Aline LEBOEUF

Focus stratégique no. 19, February 2010

Contrairement aux progrès continus réalisés par la médecine civile, les améliorations en matière de traitement et d'évacuation des blessés de guerre dépendent d'abord de la...

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Serbia moving ahead towards trade liberalization with EU?

Adélaïde BOODTS

South-East Europe Briefing, March 2010

An Interim Agreement on Trade and Trade related aspects (ITA), signed between the European Community and Serbia in April 2008, entered into force on February 1, 2010. This ITA, as a part of the Stabilization and Association Agreement,...

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EU 2020: Can we afford another failed Lisbon Strategy?

Maïté de BONCOURT

Shortcomings and future perspectives

On 3rd of March, the European Commission will publish its final proposal for the new EU 2020 strategy, which will replace the Lisbon Agenda. A few days ahead, we may ask: were lessons drawn from past mistakes? Does the current commission draft look...

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"Hunger riots" in Senegal: A pointer to the current governance failure

Alain ANTIL

Note de l'Ifri, March 2010 (In French)

"Hunger riots", a stock phrase used to describe protests at the end of 2007 / beginning 2008 in around thirty countries world-wide, mostly African States, places different phenomena into one group. In this paper, we will focus on the case of...

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The Development of Road Networks in China: Miscalculations and Inequalities

Kun-Chin LIN

Asie.Visions 24, February 2010

China has some of the densest road networks of any developing country, accounting for the vast majority of paved roads among lower- and middle-income countries. However, statistical data at the national and provincial levels show two puzzling...

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Yudhoyono, héros de l'épopée indonésienne ? Cent jours pour convaincre, cinq ans pour l'histoire.

Eric FRECON

Lettre du Centre Asie 51, February 2010

L'Indonésie apparaît de plus en plus comme un possible Etat-pivot pour les Etats-Unis. A cette fin, Yudhoyono s'emploie à consolider les piliers politiques, sociaux et économiques de l'archipel. Le défi est exaltant...

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Pakistan : Le conflit perdure entre la Cour Suprême et le Président

Isabelle SAINT-MEZARD

Lettre du Centre Asie 50, February 2010

En annulant en décembre 2009 l'Ordonnance de Réconciliation Nationale, la Cour Suprême a mis en échec le  Président du Pakistan. La question qui se pose aujourd'hui est de savoir s'il peut survivre...

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Russia, China and the United States: From Strategic Triangularism to the Postmodern Triangle

Bobo LO

Proliferation Papers, n° 32, Winter 2010 / Russie.Nei.Visions, No.47, February 2010

Over the past decade, there has been much talk about a new world order, in which American "unipolarity" would be superseded by more equal arrangements between the great powers. One such idea is a return to the Russia-China-US triangle. In truth,...

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On U.S. Institutions and the Radical Media

Laurence NARDON

Chroniques Américaines, February 2010 (in French)

L’élection du républicain Scott Brown au poste de sénateur du Massachusetts en janvier dernier est un coup difficile pour l’administration Obama.  Avec cette élection, la majorité...

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Getting Carbon Out: Tougher Than it Looks. An Assessment of EU, US & Chinese Pledges

Maïté JAUREGUY-NAUDIN

Note de l'Ifri, February 2010

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Au coeur de l'Amérique ? Le mouvement des Tea Parties

Anne-Lorraine BUJON

Potomac Paper 2, February 2010

Since the beginning of 2009, conservatism in America has morphed into a spontaneous and decentralized form called the Tea Party Movement. Anne-Lorraine Bujon, a distinguished commentator on U.S. policy and society, analyses this new phase in...

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President Obama Snubs Europe: The US Perspective on the EU

Devon WEIDEMANN

February 2010

Devon Weidemann, MA in International Relations from the University of Kent, Ifri Brussels Introduction With the ratification of the Lisbon Treaty completed the EU is undergoing profound institutional changes. How does the US perceive the EU and...

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Россия, Китай и США: Прошлое и будущее стратегического треугольника

БОБО ЛО

Russie.Nei.Visions, n° 47, февраль 2010

На протяжении последнего десятилетия...

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Africa in Questions n°7: How did a year of political crisis in Madagascar turn out?

Jean-Éric Rakotoarisoa, Mathieu Pellerin

February 2010

Contexte : La crise malgache, inaugurée avec les tristes évènements du 26 janvier 2009 [1], a aujourd’hui un an et aucune perspective de sortie de crise n’est apparue. Les accords de Maputo II (9 aout 2009) et...

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Vers la création de nouveaux Etats en Inde ?

Gilles Boquérat

Lettre du Centre Asie 49, February 2010

En annonçant le 9 décembre 2009 le lancement du processus de création de l'Etat du Telengana, situé dans la partie occidentale de l'actuel Andhra Pradesh, le ministre de l'Intérieur indien, P. Chidambram, a...

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Palestine: A State? What State?

Jean-François LEGRAIN

Note de l'Ifri , Paris, January 2010

L'Autorité palestinienne (AP) a été mise en place dans le cadre de l'approche américaine de la question du Proche-Orient qui s'était imposée à la communauté internationale à l'issue de...

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The Financial Challenges of the Sub-Saharan Africa Telecoms Boom

Henri Tcheng, Jean-Michel Huet, Mouna Romdhane

Note de l'Ifri, January 2010

Telecom industry has taken a significant place within of the economy of most African countries. In this aspect, it is an undeniable source of economic growth and development. It impacts on the financial sphere at three levels. Firstly, telecom...

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The Institutions of Energy Governance in China

Philip ANDREWS-SPEED

Note de l'Ifri, January 2010

International collaboration, in any form, requires trust, and such trust is built on understanding. In the case of collaboration in the field of energy, potential partners need to have an appreciation of frameworks for energy governance in each...

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Chinese Direct Investments in France: No French Exception, No Chinese Challenge

Françoise NICOLAS

International Economics Programme Paper, IE PP 2010/02, Chatham House, January 2010.

China’s direct investment in France remains surprisingly low evencompared to other EU states although the targets are quitesimilar, being heavily biased towards export-support and servicesrather than industrial activities. In terms of...

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Georgia, Obama, the Economic Crisis: Shifting Ground in Russia-EU Relations

TIMOFEI BORDACHEV

Russie.Nei.Visions No.46, January 2010

The firmly entrenched stagnation of relations between Russia and the European Union is leading to mutual dissatisfaction and even distrust. The failure of current institutions and practices to adapt to the challenges of the international political...

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Les Irlandais et le Traité de Lisbonne : Acte II

Marie-Claire CONSIDERE - CHARON

Depuis que le traité de Lisbonne est entré en vigueur, le blocage institutionnel provoqué par le rejet dudit traité, à 53,4 % des voix, par l’électorat irlandais, fait désormais figure de...

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Грузия, Обама, экономический кризис: отношения Россия/ЕС в контексте последних событий

ТИМОФЕЙ БОРДАЧЕВ

Russie.Nei.Visions, n °46, Январь 2010

Утвердившаяся в отношениях России и...

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Le décrochage démographique France - Allemagne

Reiner KLINGHOLZ, Stephan SIEVERT

Visions franco-allemandes n°16, janvier 2010

Au-delà d'un vieillissement continu et rapide de leurs sociétés, la France et l'Allemagne connaissent des évolutions démographiques radicalement opposées : un accroissement de la population totale en France...

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Oil Markets Rangebound ?

William C. RAMSAY

The Energy Editorial, January 2010

  We have heard admonitions about peak oil and that we have already passed the geologic peak of world oil production capacity.  On the other hand, the IEA warns that if we continue our present patterns of energy consumption, we will need...

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Le billet vert et la versatilité du modèle économique américain

Jacques MISTRAL

Revue d'économie financière

Article de Jacques Mistral, Revue d'économie financière.

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La transformation, pour quoi faire ? Défis d'aujourd'hui et de demain

John GORDON IV

Focus stratégique no. 11bis, January 2010

The term "transformation" is often heard in Western – especially U.S. – military circles. "Transformation" is generally intended to convey the notion of major, productive change for the future that will result in improved military...

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Hospital Chains in India: The Coming of Age?

Bertrand LEFEBVRE

Asie.Visions 23, January 2010

In many countries, the provision of hospital care is turning into an industry with the increasing presence of large corporate hospital chains. Along with public agencies and small private operators, corporations are now investing in the Indian...

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The Changing Economic Relations between China and Korea : Patterns, Trends and Policy Implications

Françoise NICOLAS

The Journal of the Korean Economy, vol. 10, No 3, December 2009.

The economic rise of China and its integration into the globalization process is undoubtedly one of the most important developments of the past decades. The objective of the paper is to examine the changing nature and structure of the Korea-China...

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L'Union, ou les institutions de la diplomatie sans la diplomatie ?

Dominique DAVID

Les Actuelles de l'Ifri, January 2010

L'optimisme généré par la ratification finale du traité de Lisbonne ne pouvait être que modéré, fugace... Certes le traité garantit que l'Union continuera à fonctionner tout en...

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Serbie: cap 2014 ?

Adélaïde BOODTS

Les actuelles de l'Ifri, Europe du Sud-Est, janvier 2010

Le 22 décembre 2009, la Serbie a déposé sa candidature en vue d'une adhésion à l'UE. Le contexte y était favorable: quelques jours auparavant, la libéralisation des visas avait été mise...

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Updating the Debate on Turkey in France, on the 2009 European Elections' Time

Alain CHENAL

13 January 2010

  Foreword Turkey has become a recurrent issue in France's domestic political debate, following the referendum campaign on the European Consti­tutional Treaty in spring 2005.  While the question of Turkish EU membership is itself...

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In Search of the Nuclear Taboo: Past, Present, and Future

William C. POTTER

Proliferation Papers, n° 31, Winter 2010

One of the most puzzling - if positive - phenomena of the past half century is the non-use of nuclear weapons. This essay seeks to probe the underpinnings of nuclear weapons restraint, the strength and durability of the so-called nuclear "taboo" -...

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U.S. Space Policy in 2009-2010: Towards New Choices?

Laurence NARDON

Note de l'Ifri, January 2010

Congress and the Administration have launched a series of space policy reviews in 2009, regarding in particular Nasa's exploration policy, the loosening of ITAR regulations and space security. On each of these issues, the U.S. governement may adopt...

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Le partenariat économique Chine - Allemagne : une interdépendance croissante

Margot SCHÜLLER

Note du Cerfa n°71, janvier 2010

L'ascension de la Chine au statut de principal partenaire économique de l'Allemagne en Asie repose sur plusieurs facteurs. Un réseau institutionnel étroit d'organisations publiques et privées joue un rôle...

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Clausewitz and the offense-defense balance

Corentin BRUSTLEIN

Stratégique, no. 97/98 (2010), pp. 95-122. (in French)

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Palestine: un Etat? Quel Etat?

Jean-François LEGRAIN

Note de l'Ifri, janvier 2010

L'Autorité palestinienne (AP) a été mise en place dans le cadre de l'approche américaine de la question du Proche-Orient qui s'était imposée à la communauté internationale à l'issue de...

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Le Service européen pour l'action extérieure: Comment la diplomatie franco-allemande peut servir la diplomatie européenne

Yann-Sven RITTELMEYER, Samy SAADI

in : Louis-Marie Clouet, Hans Stark (dir.), Radioscopies de l'Allemagne 2010, Paris, IFRI, 2010, p. 313-318

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Chroniques éléctorales américaines 17 (October 2009)

Anne TOULOUSE

The Judiciary System (in French)

Lorsqu’au petit matin du 8 novembre 2000 il est apparu que le décompte des votes de la Floride était dans les limbes, Al Gore a annoncé, dans l’heure qui a suivi son refus de concéder l’élection,...

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REACH. A new paradigm for the management of chemical risks.

Olivier FUCHS

Health and Environment Reports, n° 4, December 2009

With the Regulation REACH (EC) No 1907/2006, adopted on the 18th of December 2006, the European Union (EU) aims to ensure a high level of protection of human health and the environment while enhancing innovation and competitiveness. This new...

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Urbanization and Real Estate Investment in China

Guillaume ROUGIER-BRIERRE et Guillaume JEANNET

Asie.Visions 22, December 2009

The move away from a planned economy and the apprenticeship of capitalism, which is sometimes uncontrolled in the real estate sector, have led to a series of imbalances between cities and the countryside. It is possible to think that the worst...

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US Unilateral Iran Sanctions - Coalition Busting

William C. RAMSAY

The Energy Editoriali, December 2009

The US Congress is getting closer to making the same mistake it made in the US sanctions frenzy late last century.  The Iran Refined Products Sanctions Act currently before the Congress has many of the same coalition busting characteristics of...

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Doubts about Nabucco Don't Originate in China - Look to Europe

William C. RAMSAY

The Energy Edtorial, Decembre 2009

On December 12 President Berdymukhamedov of Turkmenistan and President Hu Jintao of China inaugurated the first flows of gas through the Chinese pipeline from Turmenistan to China.  This is an 1800 km pipeline to transport up to 40 bcm/y of gas...

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Forces et faiblesses des modèles économiques : débat franco-allemand sur la crise et ses conséquences

Christophe BLOT, Stefan KOOTHS

Visions franco-allemande n°15, décembre 2009

Plus sensible à la conjoncture internationale, par le rôle moteur du commerce extérieur, l'Allemagne a subi de plein fouet l'effondrement de l'investissement et de la demande mondiale. En France, les enchaînements...

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Food Consumption and Food Safety in China

Jean-Marc CHAUMET et Franck DESEVEDAVY

Asie.Visions 21, December 2009

Nowadays it is not so much food security but food safety that is the preoccupation of the Chinese authorities. China seems to have recently discovered that without an adequate regulatory system in place it is impossible to curb food-related crises....

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Actes du colloque tenu au Sénat : La Turquie pendant la Présidence française de l'Union européenne

15 décembre 2009

Conférence organisée par le programme "Turquie contemporaine" de l'Ifri en partenariat avec TESEV (Turkish Economic and Social Studies Foundation). Les séances ont lieu au Palais du Luxembourg, Salle Clemenceau, 15 rue de...

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Implementing the EU Climate and Energy Package with the Economic Crisis

Cécile KEREBEL

Note de l'Ifri, December 2009

The reinforcement of European Union’s climate policy in the decade to come was prepared and decided in 2007-2008 via the EU Climate and Energy Package. But in the meantime, the economic conditions have radically changed. This new study...

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One Year Into the Obama Administration, What Has Really Changed?

Report of the Annual Conference on the United States, December 2009

        On the occasion of Barack Obama's Nobel Peace prize-giving ceremony a live TV broadcast from Oslo, was organized by Ifri and the Embassy of the United States. The annual conference on the United...

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Les élections au Bundestag 2009 : Campagne électorale, résultats et formation du gouvernement

Manuela GLAAB, Michael WEIGL

Note du Cerfa, n°70, décembre 2009

La soirée électorale du 27 septembre 2009 n'a pas été riche en surprises. Comme les sondages l'avaient suggéré pendant plusieurs mois, l'Union chrétienne-démocrate/Union...

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Ukraine : A transit Country in Deadlock ?

Susanne NIES

Note de l'Ifri, December 2009

Should we consider Ukraine a transit country in deadlock, and reduce its energy role just to that of a transit country? Definitely not, because Ukraine is at once a large gas consumer and producer, and possesses massive storage capacity. But the...

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The Terror Fringe

Marc HECKER

Marc Hecker and Thomas Rid, Policy Review, nr 158, December 2009 - January 2010, pp.3-19.

The Afghan-Pakistan border region is widely identified as a haven for jihadi extremists. But the joint between local insurgencies and global terrorism has been dislocated. A combination of new technologies and new ideologies has changed the role of...

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Rural Land Issues as a factor of crisis in Sub-Saharan Africa: South Africa, Côte d'Ivoire, Kenya

Nancy Andrew, Alfred Babo, Claire Médard, Alain Antil

Note de l'Ifri, December 2009

Summary : One of the most important cross-section thematic across Sub-Saharan Africa is rural land issues. It is going to play a crucial role for the future of African societies. The agricultural sector is still representing a major position either...

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What Is China to Us ? Westernizers and Sinophilles in Russian Foreign Policy

ANDREI TSYGANKOV

Russie.Nei.Visions, No. 45, December 2009

As China's role in shaping the world grows, Russia is increasingly unable to resist its neighbor's economic and political influence. As a result, Russia's China discourse has evolved from the one dominated by Westernizers to one largely controlled...

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Les Turcs et la France : le regard de deux communautés

Gaye PETEK et Nicole POPE

3 décembre 2009

  Les Turcs et la France : le regard de deux communautés Le texte suivant rassemble deux contributions destinées à éclairer les regards croisés de deux communautés particulièrement...

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L'Amérique et le défi chinois

Jacques MISTRAL

Actuelles, décembre 2009

L'interdépendance commerciale et financière entre la Chine et l'Amérique est sans précédent historique. Elle est si dense que l'expression « ChinAmérique » s'est imposée avec succès...

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L'engagement culturel : la politique culturelle extérieure de l'Allemagne après 1989

Julia SATTLER

Note du Cerfa, n°69, novembre 2009

La chute du rideau de fer et la réunification de l'Allemagne ont bouleversé les données de politique étrangère qui avaient façonné l'Auswärtige Kulturpolitik (la politique culturelle...

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US, European and Chinese proposals for Copenhagen : looking behind the numbers

Maïté JAUREGUY-NAUDIN

The Energy Editorial, December 2009

US, European and Chinese proposals for Copenhagen: looking behind the numbers With Copenhagen a couple of days away, how do the pledges of the three main CO2 emitters - China, US and EU27 - compare? The US proposal reflects what is currently...

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Que sera demain le modèle industriel de l'Amérique ?

Jacques MISTRAL

Revue trimestrielle Sciences Po, décembre 2009

Revue trimestrielle Saint Guillaume N°157, Association de Sciences Po.

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"Западники" и " синофилы" во внешней политике России

АНДРЕЙ ЦЫГАНКОВ

Russie.Nei.Visions, n°45, декабрь

По мере возрастания роли Китая на...

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Numerology in the Second Nuclear Age

Michael KREPON

Proliferation Papers, n° 30, Fall 2009

The nuclear numbers game has changed. During the Cold War, deterrence strategists claimed that the nuclear balance mattered, even at extraordinarily high numbers. By this musty logic, the United States now has more deterrence leverage against Russia...

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La protection du territoire national par l'armée de Terre. Fondements, limites et perspectives

Marie-Dominique CHARLIER

Focus stratégique n°18, November 2009

Cette étude analyse le recours à l'armée de Terre en vue d'assurer la protection du territoire national. Dans la logique du Livre blanc qui a consacré le continuum sécurité-défense, l'auteur...

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